vladimirralev

11 ms·

61.
by vladimirralev 5y ago
There is place for both systems. Most crypto people have made peace with the fact that they can lose it all. People overestimate conventional finance. Conventional finance is incredibly flimsy if you dig into it. Leveraged beyond repair, du
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by vladimirralev 5y ago
Don't count on it going away ever. The programming languages/frameworks landscape is set to explode. It won't be possible to hire people based on experience with you specific languages and frameworks. The only equaliser is co
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by vladimirralev 5y ago
Print debugging is perhaps just a sloppy version of debug logging. I can't quite tell if the author is arguing against DEBUG/TRACE logging which is the gold standard in debugging, particularly in low reproducibility and multi-thre
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by vladimirralev 6y ago
It's not greed. The chair of the Fed sat on national television and said they flooded the system with cash and will not stop until everybody gets it while ignoring any stretched valuations or inflation signals. All bubbles are policy d
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by vladimirralev 6y ago
Competitive programming problems are often designed with intended solution technique in mind first so whatever the trendy thing to do is finds its way into the competitions. Segment trees used to be popular but less so now because it's
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by vladimirralev 6y ago
The poor can only take high premium inflation adjusted loans. Inflation doesn't reduce the burden. The poor would generally make minimum wage ($7.25 in the US for about 15-20 years now). Same people who say there is no inflation call t
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by vladimirralev 6y ago
Small and short term programs are still prudent because the value of the loan is a tiny fraction of the expected wages for the demographic. Every bank will lend to anybody some amount just because it's a virtual certainty that over the
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by vladimirralev 6y ago
I think a key point here is "productive lending". You still need banks to have vested interest in loaning out money that they think will be paid back. Thus banks need to verify the credit-worthiness of the borrower, the collateral
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by vladimirralev 6y ago
I think your priority queue is doing O(nlogn) sort for every insert https://github.com/npretto/pathfinding/blob/master/src/algo/... This should be a heap with O(logn) insert instead to be truly
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by vladimirralev 6y ago
Central banks and governments pretty much already committed to drive a planned economy. EU subsidises farmers (among others) to sell goods at cheap prices, which causes consumer prices to drop and in the end the ECB says inflation is too lo
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by vladimirralev 6y ago
In the advertised forms, absolutely horrible idea, why would anyone introduce so much uncertainty in the monetary system is beyond me. There are smart ways to do it though, such as doing it in a second-tier currency that buys only essential
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by vladimirralev 6y ago
The vast majority of these finds come from honeypots where any unaccounted packet is already 100% an attack. Honeypots often run alongside legitimate systems and may have several different levels of firewall to sieve different vectors or as
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by vladimirralev 6y ago
He gives the gold ban as an example of "failure" for governments to ban it. He thinks the technology behind bitcoin is somehow so advanced that it is even better protected from governments than gold is. Those are his main points.
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by vladimirralev 6y ago
I have a lot of respect for Raul Pal, but when he talks about crypto you start to see his limits in understanding. He still thinks governments can't ban crypto if they wanted, he is very wrong about that. He also thinks that government
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by vladimirralev 6y ago
There is another side of this. Unemployment. Unlike 2000 or 2008, right now would be a terrible time to start a software business because jobs in software are plentiful, wages are so high. So you have to take out bigger loans with more risk
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by vladimirralev 6y ago
I can't recommend enough this lecture https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iTMn0Kt18tg It's about FFT but it goes through the (less known) polynomial multiplication foundation which seems more practical and related to
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by vladimirralev 6y ago
I did some research on this in my spare time. It's about as likely as the long term side effects of the covid19 itself(unknown), but to a lesser extent. If we take the Flu vaccine for example, it causes some autoimmune disease at rate
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by vladimirralev 6y ago
There is a simpler model that works very well across the whole world. Rent is tied to the price of real estate, which is tied to the purchasing power of the average person living in the area. At some point it's not even worth for the r
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by vladimirralev 6y ago
Like China https://www.reuters.com/article/us-asml-holding-usa-china-in...
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by vladimirralev 6y ago
That's amazing. Shortly after the Powell interview, in a speech a wall street insider insisted the whole reason for 60 minutes interview is so that financial advisors can have a leg to stand on in case they get sued for buying stocks i
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by vladimirralev 6y ago
My guess is buybacks skew + weight from the previous quarters.
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by vladimirralev 6y ago
When you take a 10-year moving average, it's not going to pick up anything abnormal for a while. And the Shiller PE is intended to smooth out the cycles, it doesn't work well when the last cycle itself lasted the whole 10 years.
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by vladimirralev 6y ago
That's easy. You come up with that number because the market organically came up with it thru supply and demand. You could argue the government interfered unfairly but the price is the price either way.
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by vladimirralev 7y ago
Let's consider a recent example. The massive Fed/Treasury coordinated $2T+ bailout from last week. This thing came as a surprise to most us. Prior to this we saw 10 days of "weird" bullish activity. Market was going up o
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by vladimirralev 7y ago
That's pretty outrageous without presenting an economic model that justifies the decision at such volume. Are they picking winners and losers or are they really optimising something? No way to know.
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by vladimirralev 7y ago
The transition from a larger population to a smaller one means the less workers will have to temporary fund the social programs of a large number of retired people. The retired people will also be the largest voting block and will dominate
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by vladimirralev 7y ago
Two podcasts, very high quality, but are paid subscriptions, $15 a month or so each. I have no affiliation: 1. Real Vision - finance - https://www.realvision.com/tv/home 2. Peter Attia The Drive - health - https:&#x2F
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by vladimirralev 7y ago
Real wage increase is the same as nominal wage, bigger than productivity increase. Real wages already have productivity and inflation factored in, so any extra nominal increase would be beyond productivity. > Even that doesn't neces
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by vladimirralev 7y ago
> Hard disagree. Inflation is affected by wages, but it's not a 1:1 relation I am talking about "real wages" to avoid the gotchas associated with nominal wage and inflation definitions. I think this makes the controversy g
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by vladimirralev 7y ago
The other day I got one of those insightful hedge fund newsletters with a deep dive in inflation and unemployment. The dynamics are really complicated but one thing is unequivocal, the moment real wages go up the inflation catches up and th

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