vladimirralev

5 ms·

1.
by vladimirralev 2mo ago
100% agree. Plus you can easily instruct it to use inspiration from unspecified unrelated and counterintuitive concepts at random and in parallel. The "jump" is not "on" by default because it would waste tokens on high r
2.
by vladimirralev 4mo ago
Yes, might as well just give those $2500 to the landlords directly and skip the middle-man. It reads like a joke.
3.
by vladimirralev 10mo ago
Today's high-end LLMs can do a lot of unsupervised work. Debug iterations are at least junior level. Audio and visual output verification is still very week (i.e. to verify web page layout and component reactivity). Once the visual mod
4.
by vladimirralev 1y ago
Yes you are making my point exactly, I just gave you a link to the official federal reserve website that values gold at $42 and you still refer to it as a conspiracy theory. Surely they could have fixed this by now if it was a typo or a con
5.
by vladimirralev 1y ago
Well, please show me any mainstream finance media that questions it. The Fed has a monthly press conference, I don't think they were asked even once in the last 10 years at least... Most of the buying now is from Asia supposedly.
6.
by vladimirralev 1y ago
It's a little bit broader than this. In the Fed there is the so called "statutory price for gold" and it's not limited to gold certificates. Any gold in the Fed would be priced at $42 by law. The fact that they don'
7.
by vladimirralev 1y ago
Good time to remind everybody that the Fed, the US central bank, prices gold at $42.22 for some reason and nobody questions it ever. And all those dignified educated respectable board members and econ PhDs give speeches about science-based
8.
by vladimirralev 1y ago
I am fascinated your comment is buried down here with absolutely no discussion. Money printing is undoubtedly the biggest factor in this particular inflation spike, but something is quietly steering the narrative away from it almost everywh
9.
by vladimirralev 1y ago
If AI is the cause, it will only stimulate investment in more AI and accelerate the layoffs though. And because they don't have other tools, looks like this is exactly what they are going to do. Investment tends to concentrate massivel
10.
by vladimirralev 1y ago
They say "these results are completely general for any probability distribution with zero mean and a finite covariance matrix with rank much larger than the number of steps". It's not clear to me if that condition implies the
11.
by vladimirralev 1y ago
LOL this is unexpectedly well done.
12.
by vladimirralev 1y ago
I've seen both replit and cline agents iteratively debug hard problem with massive amount of log lines. They can do it already.
13.
by vladimirralev 1y ago
It is still doing a great job for a few frames, you could keep it more anchored to the state of the game if you prompt it. Much like you can prompt coding agents to keep a log of all decisions previously made. Permanenece is excellent, it s
14.
by vladimirralev 1y ago
It's not ideal, but you can prompt it with an image of a game frame, explain the objects and physics in text and let it generate a few frames of gameplay as a substitute for controller input as well as what it expects as an outcome. I
15.
by vladimirralev 1y ago
He is not using appropriate models for this conclusion and neither is he using state of the art models in this research and moreover he doesn't have an expensive foundational model to build upon for 2d games. It's just a fun proje
16.
by vladimirralev 1y ago
A company can figure out the premium and just average it out across the pax who book thru them. Further they could risk-manage no-shows or other bad behaviour based on ratings and feedback. It's just wasting everybody's time to go
17.
by vladimirralev 1y ago
It's placed at 10. Below claude-3.5-sonnet, GPT 4.1 and o3-mini.
18.
by vladimirralev 1y ago
Dark forest theory is about very advanced civilisations not engaging with anything around them. Limited resources are not an issue in this case. You can easily just do everything in parallel with AI or other automated control system, using
19.
by vladimirralev 1y ago
Dark forest theory is wrong. Staying undetectable is always inferior to both staying undetectable and safely deploying varyingly detectable decoy targets at safe distance to probe the situation and gather intelligence.
20.
by vladimirralev 1y ago
But also "the memory" of the random walk can be encoded in a state itself. In your example you can just keep accumulating the visited nodes, so your state space will be now the space of tuples of nodes from your initial space.
21.
by vladimirralev 2y ago
Predicating the argument on a unified EU is a mistake. US was a good ally in NATO, certainly better than most EU countries. If this split can occur between US and "EU", it's almost certain a similar split will occur within th
22.
by vladimirralev 2y ago
The Fed has a few papers on this issue. Their conclusion is basically that the young will eventually inherit the wealth and market forces will force a redistribution. Thus it solves itself eventually. I personally think that the Fed papers
23.
by vladimirralev 2y ago
1. Is personal spending and wages growing with GDP? Answer in no. How is it fair for government spending to track and exceed GDP, but personal not to follow? GDP itself is a flawed metric that politics push to overstate. 2. This is all true
24.
by vladimirralev 2y ago
Similarly we can look at that past 20 years of Euro/Yen/Pound against Argentinian Peso and conclude that it's all fine? Dollar is strong against other currencies only because of the global competitive devaluation. USD is losi
25.
by vladimirralev 2y ago
And it's not so much that the stock market is booming, rather the value of the dollar is imploding. Those are equivalent statements but media chose to preset the "number go up" picture. Reality is for every number that "
26.
by vladimirralev 2y ago
Real wages are not up for low earners. This is such an obvious math flaw I can't understand how nobody is challenging it. Real wages are adjusted for average inflation based on all consumers. However low earners experience much higher
27.
by vladimirralev 2y ago
> can't force people to understand economics People were actively deceived along the way. Do you remember that intially Yellen (and Powell together) called the inflation "not broad enough to be considered inflation", then
28.
by vladimirralev 2y ago
> massive influx of personal anecdotes a.k.a. sampling from the distribution of interest. Once you have enough anecdotes, you actually have a representative distribution of the real thing. Selection may be biased but you can weight those
29.
by vladimirralev 2y ago
It used to be a casino. Now it's a matter of monetary policy transmission and a national security issue. They fully and shamelessly embraced the wealth effect as the driving force of the economy. Market always has to go up or else bad
30.
by vladimirralev 2y ago
It depends. Some banks will ask for root origin of funds. Say you earned some money 20 years ago, invested them with various brokers into stocks all over the world, real estate etc. And then cashed a large sum into your account. If any one

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