vessenes

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841.
by vessenes 1y ago
OK, I just added books until you told me I had too many. Fun idea! I have a couple of suggestions: * UI - once someone clicks "Add" you really should remove that item from the suggested list - it's very confusing to still see
842.
by vessenes 1y ago
I like Kimi too, but they definitely have some benchmark contamination: the blog post shows a substantial comparative drop in swebench verified vs open tests. I throw no shade - releasing these open weights is a service to humanity; really
843.
by vessenes 1y ago
For sure - same topics! Slack definitely changed things. I'd guess largely for the worse when it comes to knowledge work. But it definitely everted meeting time into all the time, which means there's less scheduled meetings. Clo
844.
by vessenes 1y ago
> thus undermine all attempts for actual class mobility Who exactly receives these class mobility benefits and who does not are at the center of a multi-decade culture war in the US, with lines drawn on all sides. It's definitely a
845.
by vessenes 1y ago
okay digging in to my vague memories - it was claimed as 25 hours, and posted by a charismatic-ish internet gadfly in the early 2000s, Philip Greenspun: here's a slashdot link about the story: https://developers.slashdot.org
846.
by vessenes 1y ago
GPT 5 codex is definitely a step up from o3. I could use o3 still for chat, but prefer 5-thinking. Do you still use o3?
847.
by vessenes 1y ago
oAI is growing rapidly at over $1bn a month in revenues, maybe as much as $2bn if you read between the lines from Sam's interviews. Over 7 years will they see $38bn of revenue demand against inference? ABSOLUTELY. Is it an incredibly g
848.
by vessenes 1y ago
You'll have your shot at shorting oAI soon apparently. I'm in a lot of these threads on the bull side, and I'll say - please be careful if you do, and only short what you can afford to lose. I'm sure the stock will be cr
849.
by vessenes 1y ago
The reason you're getting slightly downvoted, I think, is that you need to answer this question first: which of the 15T tokens are you going to evaluate for forgetting? And, please explain how doing that is different than doing anothe
850.
by vessenes 1y ago
Productivity matters, both to the companies that pay these workers, and to people's wellbeing and mental health. I don't know the numbers today but in the 2000s, on average, corporate engineers had 35 hours a week of meetings. At
851.
by vessenes 1y ago
This summary of the US logic for top tier schools is totally inaccurate, by the way. The very best schools in the US: to choose a relatively uncontroversial list, MIT, Stanford, Harvard, Princeton, Yale -- all have need blind admissions, me
852.
by vessenes 1y ago
My worry with this approach is that you don’t get enough people who believe change making is good, and society loses out. Calling out shitty plans and people is great. But probably it should be less than like 10% of the time spent if we wan
853.
by vessenes 1y ago
Message well received. This dynamic seems endemic, sadly. I’ve recently banned myself from just these interactions because like you say there’s a lottt of energy in the topics, and that energy can be toxic and highly appealing to many, incl
854.
by vessenes 1y ago
The article tracks some good historical quotes. But it doesn’t seem to try and steel man the other side, that is, what’s oAI worth without its workers and an attached for profit company? To the extent the answer is ‘much lower’ then he coul
855.
by vessenes 1y ago
I think you’re stuck in some sort of weird culture war head canon here. Building a platform that lets journalists choose their monetization and be independently wealthy enough to write what they want is awesome. Using that platform to denig
856.
by vessenes 1y ago
It’s sad when such a brilliant credentialed economist starts criticising things he’s either uninformed about or pretending to be. It matters because there’s a pervasive voice in American media that denigrates change makers; hackers if you w
857.
by vessenes 1y ago
Needs - who knows? Chooses to? Apparently. That said I wouldnt be surprised if he makes more at substack annually than he did for the prize - about $1mm. As to his own investment returns we don’t know, but early as 2016 he cautioned that ap
858.
by vessenes 1y ago
Nope. I’m just saying Krugman’s substack is likely by percentage currently his primary revenue source. In fact it’s what makes substack a great platform - unlike medium which came before it and ad networks which came before that - substack
859.
by vessenes 1y ago
Perhaps you missed the point of my story - publishing books is not lucrative. Or the second point - I have direct knowledge of economics for famous authors
860.
by vessenes 1y ago
No it’s almost certainly true. If you’d like some estimates you should read up on scott Alexander’s pre and post substack revenues. For writers with large followings substack is like a 10-100x monetization boost over other options. Source:
861.
by vessenes 1y ago
I told myself this would be rage bait and I shouldn’t click. And I clicked. So I got what I deserved. But > Andreessen struck me as interesting because he made Netscape, the first real usable browser and it really did change things in a
862.
by vessenes 1y ago
I at least like to be informed - I sense you disagree with my hot take.. Any concrete thoughts other than performative eye rolling?
863.
by vessenes 1y ago
I think it’s generally more accurate to say that charitable assets are likely either locked to charitable purposes or need a fair valuation in case of disposal or wind down. I don’t know all the details here, but I would guess it’s enough o
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by vessenes 1y ago
I’ve written about it at some length here, but tldr: their ops are super profitable, likely 1bn per month net income right now. Their R&D costs are immense. You need to believe a story in which their R&D is a waste and other Competi
865.
by vessenes 1y ago
Jacques, I've been reading and enjoying your posts here for at least 15 years. (Thank you for your service.) But I think you're totally incorrect on this; oAI is going to be one of the enduring tech consumer brands built in this h
866.
by vessenes 1y ago
They are chronically online and reading uninformed headlines by fellow youth. Combined with a feeling that they don't like this wave of GenAI, you get a lot of uninformed hate that's deeply felt, and probably reasonably felt. But
867.
by vessenes 1y ago
There's so, so much misinformation about this out there. For example - every US nonprofit starts as a plain old vanilla C corporation, and then applies for 501(c)3 status which the IRS may or may not grant . It's a privilege to
868.
by vessenes 1y ago
downvoted -- this is a low quality comment, and worse, it's uninformed. Texas may be lower reg than NASDAQ at launch, and it may compete for business that way, and consumers may or may not like this and may or may not benefit from it.
869.
by vessenes 1y ago
I think you're wrong. The concentration is for a host of reasons. Witness the large number of cities and countries that have tried to create a local Silicon Valley competitor unsuccessfully over the last 25 years. The data centers I th
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by vessenes 1y ago
This is the opposite of true. It's actively wrong. Location is almost everything; people move to financial and tech centers for a reason -- it matters where you are and who you know.

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