vanniv

15 ms·

91.
by vanniv 7y ago
The big issue here is that garbage bags do not have to be food-safe. They could be made with materials that would leach harmful compounds into the food, or packaged in unsanitary conditions.
92.
by vanniv 7y ago
In case anybody is still looking at the case numbers (especially in NY) and wondering why they keep kinda not going down even though things look better, we are actually still increasing testing rates (despite what you may have heard) As I s
93.
by vanniv 7y ago
It may be so. Although, it seems apparent that there were not millions of cases before we started looking, given that hospitals here were not overrun like they were in New York. About a month ago, I did some poking around with the CDC FluVi
94.
by vanniv 7y ago
Many of my local restaurants are buying extra 50lb flour sacks and making 2lb ziplock bags of flour go customers to buy. They are having no problem getting their delivery each day, and they barely have half the custom, so they have plenty
95.
by vanniv 7y ago
I was terribly sick in early February, in CA. I went to my urgent care multiple times as I got worse. The doctor tested me for influenza, but told me that he was seeing hundreds of patients, all day every day, with "an unusual flu&quo
96.
by vanniv 7y ago
It probably is working, but it also seems likely that locking everyone in their houses reduces spread -- so three weeks after lockdown, there are fewer sick people to find each day. It actually is likely that the decrease in cases is more d
97.
by vanniv 7y ago
The IHME model is, at least in America, the most widely reported model, and is reportedly being relied upon by Dr. Fauci and the Trump Administration for the bulk of their own forecasting. I tend to read a lot of left-leaning and right-lean
98.
by vanniv 7y ago
The IHME model has been revised every 2-3 days. It has always assumed that lockdowns would be everywhere and would be observed. Every new revision in the last 20 days has been a revision downward in death rate. 10 days ago, the 95% confid
99.
by vanniv 7y ago
Yeah, in the last two days there is increasing evidence that there's something else going on in at least some patients beyond "pneumonia resulting in ARDS" That tweet is interesting. Some folks are starting the theorize that
100.
by vanniv 7y ago
In the absence of other viable treatments, the efficiency isn't really important. Frankly, if it is only modestly effective, it should still be given to everyone without contraindications. Efficiency only becomes important in a year or
101.
by vanniv 7y ago
So much effort is going in to the propaganda war against Hydroxychloroquine, it's really terrifying to watch.
102.
by vanniv 7y ago
Do you want the government to come in and seize your products? Because this is how you get that to happen. (And yesterday, it started to look like we were going down that path, slowly -- with talk of the Defense Production Act)
103.
by vanniv 7y ago
To be fair, they were simulating an airtight room with zero movement. Even just people walking around would create some airflow -- an HVAC would create both airflow and temperature gradient. Blowing the droplets away is effective, but also
104.
by vanniv 7y ago
And yet my local market still has no milk. I wish they would sell it to me instead of dumping it.
105.
by vanniv 7y ago
Testing 107,000 people per day isn't nothing. It's not enough to do contact tracing for sure, and it's not enough to detect even close to every case But it is no mean feat either. No other country tests as many -- though Sout
106.
by vanniv 7y ago
We are both over and underestimating -- in that, we're counting deaths that would have happened anyway as COVID deaths, and missing COVID-caused deaths as well. The net result is most likely an underestimate (as the article describes -
107.
by vanniv 7y ago
No.
108.
by vanniv 7y ago
That sounds like a threat.
109.
by vanniv 7y ago
Yowza, Fellow falls hits his head, dies from head trauma -- but because he had COVID, he "succumbed to the virus" Good grief
110.
by vanniv 7y ago
Normally, if be tempted to say "not many, probably" but The median fatal case in Italy is an 81-year old with 2 comorbidities (typically two of: heart disease, COPD, diabetes, obesity). An 81-year-old has a ~10% chance of dying in
111.
by vanniv 7y ago
This lockdown has already guaranteed many more deaths due to poverty. Every day it continues, more are added. But, there is no up-to-the-minute tracker with bright red body counts. There are no stacks of coffins. There are no sob stories.
112.
by vanniv 7y ago
There is an aspect that is missing in this article's analysis: what counts as a COVID-caused death. In Italy, for example, all in-hospital deaths of COVID-positive patients are recorded as COVID deaths. If you're 85 years old, wit
113.
by vanniv 7y ago
Except in NY, Michigan, and Nevada, where governors threatened to suspend the licenses of doctors caught using it.
114.
by vanniv 7y ago
No economy, healthy or otherwise can withstand being intentionally dismantled and the pieces burned to ash. If you order the world to stop production or trade for an indefinite period, poverty and depression is the only possible result, no
115.
by vanniv 7y ago
Amazing how the NYT always proposes more authoritarianism as the solution to every problem.
116.
by vanniv 7y ago
In the short term, these kinds of measures can have an effect, sure. It produces immediate demand at the cost of reduced future investment -- which could potentially keep suppliers afloat temporarily in a crisis. But while the problem today
117.
by vanniv 7y ago
Seeing as even locking everyone in their houses doesn't slow down the virus in the slightest (see Italy, where the exponential growth is still full steam ahead, and will clearly only slow at this point once the virus runs out of new pe
118.
by vanniv 7y ago
The shortage of money is not the problem. The problem is that we have stopped making stuff. Once the warehouses all empty, there will be no more products. All those nice things you are used to buying to make your life nice and safe and cle
119.
by vanniv 7y ago
This is the thing that is so crazy about the economic suicide and authoritarian lockdowns we are all doing. Evidence from China and Italy is that they don't actually work. It's been three months, and China still can't let pe
120.
by vanniv 7y ago
FDA is remarkably quick to authorize things like this test that will make the epidemic look worse, and yet are somehow utterly unwilling to consider authorizing the treatments that have been shown to be effective. I wonder why that is

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