tvural

5 ms·

1.
by tvural 7y ago
Learning new languages in-depth is an incredibly taxing thing, because there are whole jigsaw pieces of syntax you have to learn at once. But worth doing the right way if you have time.
2.
by tvural 8y ago
It's worth reading the Ray Dalio debt crisis book to see how this might end - the most likely scenario is the US, Japan, and EU all encountering cash flow problems in the next recession that they resolve by devaluing their currency. In
3.
by tvural 8y ago
I think the decline of Silicon Valley will have much more to do with the end of Moore's Law than any kind of social or political trend. The name is very predictive - if there will be nothing left to do with Silicon, maybe there will be
4.
by tvural 8y ago
Dropbox Paper has worked quite well for me.
5.
by tvural 8y ago
Financial projections will undervalue Tesla because they are very different from other car companies - they are a monopoly with gigantic barriers to entry on many fronts. Other carmakers could copy some features of Tesla's cars, but th
6.
by tvural 9y ago
True, but it can be a significant problem for legitimate companies. After going public Tesla had the highest short interest of any major stock at 72%. The other companies that were in the top 5 at the time are all bankrupt or close to it no
7.
by tvural 9y ago
I would also point out that short sellers and "activist investors" are a significant downside to being public. Essentially you give investors focused on these strategies a financial incentive to destroy the company's long-ter
8.
by tvural 9y ago
Healthcare is a much bigger problem for the government than student loans. The federal government spends about 1 trillion per year on healthcare, while the total of all student debt in the U.S. is around 1 trillion. This is true on a societ
9.
by tvural 9y ago
I predict that BMIs are going to suffer from the same problem as AI, where the applications that are working in the short-term get very overestimated because they are confused with the long-term where you create a singularity. If you had a
10.
by tvural 9y ago
I think it's unclear how much progress has been made on the superhuman AI problem. We haven't pinned down a good definition of intelligence, or figured out what it is that makes monkeys smarter than mice and us smarter than monkey
11.
by tvural 9y ago
$200M usually isn't enough for even one drug - $500M is on the low end, and not all drug development works out. So it's plausible that the money is better allocated here than in treatments. But also, from the article: "Based
12.
by tvural 9y ago
There are likely some ulterior motives behind the way cryptocurrency is currently being covered. If you have sway in a news organization, it would be quite lucrative to invest in some crypto-related companies, and then encourage all stories
13.
by tvural 9y ago
This link isn't behind a paywall: https://techcrunch.com/2017/08/22/this-23-year-old-just-clos...
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by tvural 9y ago
Their economy is based on copying things that worked in the U.S. In the 1980s people were worried based on Japan's rate of growth that it was going to overtake the U.S. Instead they just ran out of things to copy, and the growth compl
15.
by tvural 9y ago
This reminds me of Robin Hanson's criticism of medical spending - exercise and diet are much better predictors of health than money spent on healthcare, meaning that there's a large amount of waste in the system. I suspect somethi
16.
by tvural 9y ago
There's definitely more that can be done behaviorally - the solution to obesity today probably looks more like eating better than taking diet pills. But this is the anti-technological solution that can only be pushed so far, like tryin
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by tvural 9y ago
Negative press like this probably contributes to the FDA being so conservative. They get none of the benefits when a great new drug is approved, but get scapegoated when they approve something dangerous even to small numbers of people. So t
18.
Coalescing Minds [pdf](intelligence.org)
1 points by tvural 9y ago|0 comments
19.
Generalization and Equilibrium in Generative Adversarial Nets(arxiv.org)
2 points by tvural 9y ago|0 comments
20.
by tvural 10y ago
> "AI's don't need to learn to code any more than they need to learn to use photoshop. They need to learn to provide functionality (or in this case manipulate image data)." This is interesting. My counterpoint would b
21.
by tvural 10y ago
"Fix those two problems, and a new search engine could be better than Google. Whether anyone would notice is questionable." Yeah, I don't think many people will care about the difference between good and perfect. You might be
22.
by tvural 10y ago
One possibility is that the resolution of VR goggles becomes so good that you can simulate looking at a screen. Then you might have something as easy to carry as a smartphone but with unbounded screen size.
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by tvural 10y ago
Care to elaborate?
24.
by tvural 10y ago
If you're worried AI is having no impact at all, some of the places I can think of where it's already had an impact are Google Search, Palantir, and driver assistance (as in Tesla's Autopilot). So the tools we have now aren&#
25.
Trump picks industry favorite Gottlieb to run FDA(fiercebiotech.com)
1 points by tvural 10y ago|0 comments
26.
When Equal Access Means Zero Access for All(fee.org)
9 points by tvural 10y ago|2 comments
27.
by tvural 10y ago
First, here is a link that is not hidden behind a paywall: https://arxiv.org/pdf/1607.04878v2.pdf > there is substantial evidence supporting a holographic explanation of the universe—in fact, as much as there is for
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by tvural 10y ago
In case anyone else didn't know, this is what the title references: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_they_came_.. .
29.
How the Brexit referendum was won(blogs.spectator.co.uk)
1 points by tvural 10y ago|0 comments
30.
by tvural 10y ago
People are worried about AI risk because ensuring that the strong AI you build to do X will do X without doing something catastrophic to humanity instead is a very hard problem, and people who have not thought much about this problem tend t

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