tuatoru

5 ms·

31.
by tuatoru 4mo ago
Traditionally, female years of education, child mortality, and GDP per capita (in order of importance) explain 85% of fertility, and the residual is not biased in either direction. source: Lant Pritchett, long-time development economist. Ed
32.
by tuatoru 4mo ago
requires
33.
by tuatoru 4mo ago
A dead node. I don't think I've turned it on in six months. Hmmm...
34.
by tuatoru 5mo ago
No. The French Revolution was a revolution of lawyers, writers, and administrators, the elite who were shut out of the very highest positions. And it was unstable. The great majority of people were just cannon fodder for Napoleon.
35.
by tuatoru 5mo ago
This is true surprisingly often.
36.
by tuatoru 5mo ago
Nurse Ratched was not a sufficient argument for ceasing to protect the mentally ill from themselves, it turns out.
37.
by tuatoru 5mo ago
It also fails to point out the temporal fallacy, that energy that is available only at certain times, and not reliably so, is a substitute for energy that can be reliably and safely stored for decades and used when needed, not when generate
38.
by tuatoru 5mo ago
The robotics Turing test: change the nappies of the designer's and company owners' baby daughters or grand-daughters.
39.
by tuatoru 5mo ago
Nuclear war is immanent to our civilisation and human nature, but perhaps not imminent.
40.
by tuatoru 7mo ago
Domestic appliances were extremely disruptive. (vacuum cleaners, fridges, washing machines, air conditioners, ...) Domestic servants were eliminated. But there was no paradigm shift. People still live in houses and prepare and store food,
41.
by tuatoru 7mo ago
Domestic appliances killed domestic service jobs. Telephones killed messenger-boy jobs. The automatic telephone exchange killed telephone operator jobs. Movable-type presses killed the job of scribes despite the huge expansion in book produ
42.
by tuatoru 8mo ago
> Last I checked, the tractor and plow are doing a lot more work than 3 farmers, yet we've got more jobs and grow more food. We do not have more jobs for horses . In this context we are the horses.
43.
by tuatoru 8mo ago
> they're paying for someone to _figure out_ their exact needs, Back in the 1980s this was called "systems analysis". The role disappeared a bit before the web came along, and coders were tasked with the job or told to jus
44.
by tuatoru 8mo ago
You never wrote any scripts to write code?
45.
by tuatoru 8mo ago
> jobs destroyed will be replaced with new jobs Not for horses though, or at least not the majority of them. Some were kept as pets or essentially status objects. In this case we are the horses.
46.
by tuatoru 11mo ago
They are getting cheap electricity from PV and batteries and cheap air conditioners to run on the electricity.
47.
by tuatoru 11mo ago
If there is any technological progress, people in 3000 will be so much wealthier than we are today that fixing any problems arising from climate change will be trivially easy for them. That is, if there are any people in 3000. Nuclear war i
48.
by tuatoru 11mo ago
Everyone is a climate skeptic. "To know, and not yet to do, is not to know" - Aristotle. Everyone still flies on planes. Ceasing burning kerosene is the easiest possible thing you could do to reduce your climate impact, but no-one
49.
by tuatoru 11mo ago
Down from 700,000. Not good news.
50.
by tuatoru 1y ago
Exactly. If the political class no longer needs healthy, literate soldiers and workers, it's going to stop paying for them.
51.
by tuatoru 1y ago
This time actually is different, though. If everything that a human can do, a robot can do better and cheaper, then humans are completely shut out of the production function. Humans have a minimum level of consumption that they need to sta
52.
by tuatoru 1y ago
Idle power and sleep power are important for embedded applications.
53.
by tuatoru 1y ago
I have seen AI improve the quality and velocity of my wife's policy analysis dramatically. She doesn't like using Claude, but she accepts the necessity of doing so, and it reduces 3-month projects to 2-week projects. Claude is a
54.
by tuatoru 1y ago
AI as normal technology take. 1. https://www.normaltech.ai/p/ai-as-normal-technology
55.
by tuatoru 1y ago
Maybe have your children from 18 to 27, when it is safest.
56.
by tuatoru 1y ago
Wow, 2022? Such age, many longevity.
57.
by tuatoru 1y ago
> It’s a bit like trying to drive faster on a congested motorway. > The solution is Continuous Delivery – being able to reliably and safely ship to production in tiny chunks, daily or even multiple times a day – one feature, one bug f
58.
by tuatoru 1y ago
Yeah, no. It'll have vanished next year.
59.
by tuatoru 1y ago
This seems like one of those "hmmm, that's odd" moments that could lead to a scientific breakthrough.
60.
by tuatoru 1y ago
It surprises me that economists are not advocating that Europe set up special economic zones, as have been tried in less-developed countries to some success. Hong Kong could be considered the Ur-SEZ. On reflection it is not surprising that

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