tuatoru

6 ms·

61.
by tuatoru 1y ago
This seems like an argument from incredulity, and also static-world fallacy. People are not thinking about the trend in AI. How good were AIs three years ago? How good are they now? How good will they be in another three years? Kelsey Pip
62.
by tuatoru 1y ago
A future we didn't quite make it into.
63.
by tuatoru 1y ago
PIC is short for PICTURE, which was the original form of the keyword. Picture the number printed this way. Edit: the numbers in parentheses are repeats. PIC 9(9) means up to 9 digits in the printed representation of the value stored in the
64.
by tuatoru 1y ago
Microsoft's moat and cash cow is Active Directory. If corps ever stop needing that, MS will be in trouble. Until then, few worries. They can play at following fads (not that I think AI is a fad) and not worry about execution.
65.
by tuatoru 1y ago
It takes companies a long time to reorganise processes. Especially in ways that reduce headount, because manager status is tied to count of reports. This study is far too soon. In 2030, if nothing changes meanwhile, we might know the effec
66.
by tuatoru 1y ago
If AI takes a fraction α of jobs, for it to be employment increasing, elasticity of demand for labor needs to be 1/(1-α).
67.
by tuatoru 1y ago
China;s history has been one of repeated 300-year to 500-year cycles. But this time is looking more like slow decay everywhere, true. Collapse? People need to know and understand Adam Smith's remark that "there is a lot of ruin i
68.
by tuatoru 1y ago
Rod Elliott's sound-au.com[1] has a wealth of information about audio. But guitar effects pedals would be one exception. Microphones, amplifiers, filters speaker crossovers and so on - all explained failry nicely. The site has two main
69.
by tuatoru 1y ago
There are a couple of things that bug me about these projections. The first is the difference between capability and capacity - the ability to do someinthing, versus how much of it you can do. The transition from one to the other always se
70.
by tuatoru 1y ago
SHOUTY_CASE
71.
by tuatoru 1y ago
Been reading reviews of IABIED (If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies). So, a bit pensive.
72.
by tuatoru 1y ago
How old is that now? Must be 40 years. Edit: 50!
73.
by tuatoru 1y ago
Also ask it "what questions should I be asking about this topic?"
74.
by tuatoru 1y ago
Yeah, from memory Finland scores very highly in global surveys of honesty.
75.
by tuatoru 1y ago
> What society, government or political entity prizes allegiance to truth above all else? Exactly.
76.
by tuatoru 1y ago
How is this a question? Do people not read the documentation anymore? Postgresql is, with OpenBSD, the type specimen of how open-source documentation should be done. Use the documentation.
77.
by tuatoru 1y ago
"China" isn't "China". Like everywhere else, there's a maze of conflictiong incentives. The CCP measures regional governments on their stats. Gaming there. Regional governments measure administrative areas, dit
78.
by tuatoru 1y ago
I routinely reduce my Readmes by 30% or more in the third draft.
79.
by tuatoru 1y ago
The AI hype was 1000% GDP growth per annum. That was crazy. The "snake oil" label was in reaction to that. Anyway, you are shooting the messenger by downvoting me. Thanks for showing us all how intelligent you are.
80.
by tuatoru 1y ago
Occam's razor says Kimmel was fired because he was costing too much. Any pretext in a balance sheet covered in red.
81.
by tuatoru 1y ago
This all sounds like it has been covered in detail by the "AI as a Normal Technology"[1][2] guys (formerly AI Snake Oil - they decided they preferred to engage rather than just be snarky). Invention vs innovation vs diffusion - th
82.
by tuatoru 1y ago
Engineers bring [quantified] data, not anecdotes.
83.
by tuatoru 1y ago
The authors themselves use the analogy of electric motors, which changed factories. But also gave us washing machines, refigerators, and vacuum cleaners, changing society. And skyscrapers, because elevators, changing cities. Ai may be more
84.
by tuatoru 1y ago
No change since the 2010s, then. What was that distributed climate model experiment back then called? Like Folding@home, but for climate models. ClimatePrediction.net, that was it. Anyway, all the model runs said this was going to happen.
85.
by tuatoru 1y ago
Yes, it was. And now you have! That's great. New intellectual tools for you!
86.
by tuatoru 1y ago
Wow, people here clearly don't like it when I express delight in learning.
87.
by tuatoru 1y ago
Congratulations on being one of today's ten thousand!
88.
by tuatoru 1y ago
That's the best case. AI is like electric motors. If you think electric motors are banal, then you don't understand the world around you, or what is was like before.
89.
by tuatoru 1y ago
Of course they are losing money. If they are not losing money, they are not investing fast enough. Standard market share logic.
90.
by tuatoru 1y ago
Most economists are of the belief that our wants are infinite, and there will be an endless stream of new services for which we will pay, once AI makes existing goods and services cheap. IOW we will all become meditation gurus and lifetyle

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