tossandthrow

7 ms·

61.
by tossandthrow 2mo ago
The core intuition here is probably that you can not separate reasoning and domain knowledge. How are you going to use tools, if you don't have the context to use them? Imaging if you could only think in terms of lambda calculus, and w
62.
by tossandthrow 2mo ago
That is literally what you said > large growth but largest in top decile vs no growth, the first one is absolutely 1000x times better
63.
by tossandthrow 2mo ago
So, you don't have a hard time with the Ai. You have a hard time with the intermediaries who's value is dimishing. This is exactly the time to re organize. Not necessarily lay off, but some people might be asked to do other things
64.
by tossandthrow 2mo ago
> careers that require communication, especially person-to-person, won't be replaced by AI. A crucial point is that the amount of these careers might reduce dues to structural changes of the job market. Just: yes, SaaS companies can
65.
by tossandthrow 2mo ago
I don't think we should fear the big corps shrinking over night. What we should fear is the startups. Legal startup demonstrates they can do legal work at a fraction of the price. New generation of banks can underwrite at a fraction of
66.
by tossandthrow 2mo ago
You clearly appear to setup that argument > So, on one hand you can get an expert take that might be wrong, but is linked to an actual person, with a reputation and some level of ownership. Regardless, I agree. The newest studies still w
67.
by tossandthrow 2mo ago
I get this sentiment. And I get that it will feel good to see these things crumble. But I think it is most productive to assume that it does not. I am a very capable developer, and I convince myself anymore.
68.
by tossandthrow 2mo ago
You are citing a legacy institutional system where updating a "standard of care" was a major institutional chance. You likely have to change your idea about this. Heck, this view was wrong 6 months ago. Sticking with is becomes a
69.
by tossandthrow 2mo ago
Your argument that ownership and reputation generally ensures better answers than agents is absurd. It is entirely clear that is it not the case when I compare agent generated apps with what contracted software teams have produced. For medi
70.
by tossandthrow 2mo ago
guaranteed: My comments are not written by an LLM ;)
71.
by tossandthrow 2mo ago
Ahh sorry, I see that you explicitly wrote that deteriorated performance was due to throttling. Naturally, LLMs do not get fatigue. As such they also don't need to detect it. That is correct. But LLMs can see if their performance have
72.
by tossandthrow 2mo ago
> A tired programmer usually knows he's tired 6 months ago everybody talked about how AI was not able to plan their work. They could only do minor changes. The introspective property of knowing when you are "tired" and act
73.
by tossandthrow 2mo ago
> most human lawyers are absolutely terrible. I think this extends to the other areas that AI is also disrupting. Software engineers are also absolutely terrible: In being sloppy with handling errors, doing coercions, etc. All because al
74.
by tossandthrow 2mo ago
> without any hint of socialism. You don't seem to know your history. The US was on track to enact UBI. The US was socialist directly after the great depression. Some of the most successful capitalist societies (the Nordic countries
75.
by tossandthrow 2mo ago
That increasing inequality is generally preferable for everybody.
76.
by tossandthrow 2mo ago
This article is about the Claude 5 series of models. My impressions is that they have overhauled the auto memory system. You might want to re assess how it works with the new generation of models.
77.
by tossandthrow 2mo ago
If love to see supporting long term evidence for this (ie, not just localized "see, stonks went up in the 90s"). If you think about it, it is clear that what you propose is not sustainable as there is a forced constant push on the
78.
by tossandthrow 2mo ago
You don't appear to understand what money is. Money is a claim on productivity. In a world where both creation and consumption is by humans, the productivity needs to align with consumption. Arguably, that is a century since that was t
79.
by tossandthrow 2mo ago
Not rich enough compared to the individual productivity gains. Don't tell me you have been fooled by the Chicago school of economics that has told you that relative wealth is indifferent as long as you can get a cheaper television.
80.
by tossandthrow 2mo ago
We are likely seeing the end of labor as a power class. I think of it in roughly 3 eras: pre industrialization, individual labor contribution had quite a lot of power. Industrialization, labor sees commoditization and unions make sure that
81.
by tossandthrow 2mo ago
It will only do so if the benefits of the technology is made available to all and we will see alternatives to make an income. Based on the past 40 years track record it seems unlikely that we will see any form of redistribution before it is
82.
by tossandthrow 2mo ago
It is neither racist of xenophobic, and you using that as a argument is an extreme strawman. There is certainly a class that has been disrupted over the last 20-30 years to the point where their lives gone worse. It would likely have been p
83.
by tossandthrow 2mo ago
Even for people living of wealth, it is not clear what the outcomes are. If renters of your apartments can not afford to rent them, housing crashes because your city was a looser (Detroit style withdrawals). Even for stocks we don't kn
84.
by tossandthrow 3mo ago
Unless you are only trying to satisfy your own desires, you are likely not winning over the Ai, also not in judgement. A characterization of a business is to satisfy as much desire as cheaply as possible. Ai,and in the not so distant future
85.
by tossandthrow 3mo ago
You don't appear to have actually read the comment?
86.
by tossandthrow 3mo ago
Historically, we make systems to make these decisions - build a method to sort potatoes. Or build a method that can build a method to sort potatoes. Ai, as a cognitive technology, has the potential to climb that hierarchy. Yes, current soft
87.
by tossandthrow 3mo ago
A compiler does not transalte specs to code. Specs are denotational by nature. A program could synthesize a program that adheres to the specs. But that is not what we understand by a compiler that generally has to preserve operational seman
88.
by tossandthrow 3mo ago
These types of tests are kind of moot as agentic harnesses are taking over. IMHO an Ai is the llm plus it's harness. A good harness would allow the llm to investigate on a map. Just like the llm can use a python script to figure out ho
89.
by tossandthrow 3mo ago
IMHO it is prudent to allocate a bit more conservatively these days. I cut out my nasdaq100 and have generally allocated towards ex us
90.
by tossandthrow 3mo ago
Reducing progress to increasing entropy makes it even more clear that making progress will likely become easier, not harder. Yes, oil was important back then. Now we can augment with wind, solar, nuclear, etc. And more technologies will com

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