timr

53 ms·

121.
by timr 2mo ago
The BOJ had about $1.1 trillion in US Treasuries as of the beginning of the year.
122.
by timr 2mo ago
That line is worth exactly as much as the daily financial news quote “explaining” why the stock market wiggled in a particular direction yesterday. All of those things have some impact on “investors” thinking at all times. They do not uniqu
123.
by timr 2mo ago
Yes. Let’s not forget that the last time the BOJ hinted at rate normalization, it caused a global bond market freakout, a spike in Treasury rates, and a collapse in Asian stocks (the “BOJ Shock” of December 22). One can make a reasonable st
124.
by timr 2mo ago
In the sense that weak currency makes everything you buy from foreign partners more expensive, sure. The place where you go wrong is drawing a straight line to the US actions in Iran. They’re not directly connected.
125.
by timr 2mo ago
No. That has nothing to do with this. Setting aside the obvious fact that the BOJ does not buy oil, they’ve been engaged in a (futile) currency defense scheme since long before the Iran conflict. This is purely about the interest rate spre
126.
by timr 2mo ago
The rule is a residential rental rule. If you rent it out, the rule applies. The ownership structure does not matter. I think there's actually a parallel rule that theoretically applies to owner-occupied buildings, but for obvious reas
127.
by timr 2mo ago
Every bedroom of a rental is required to have a window in New York. But in this part of town, the advertising rights alone probably vastly exceed any possible revenue from renting the building for residential use. It’s kind of like the ti
128.
by timr 2mo ago
Yeah, but again, see the other part of what I wrote -- doing it "right" can be insanely expensive, and so you get an incentive to be conservative.
129.
by timr 2mo ago
Likely has little relationship to what is actually in the page. They had to do GDPR, didn't or couldn't spend a lot of time on it -- or had an especially conservative corporate counsel -- and ended up just getting a list of every
130.
by timr 2mo ago
It definitely wasn't known at the time I wrote my comment, and as far as I know right now, they haven't announced the cause. Few things would create an explosion of this size, so it's a logical inference, but you never know.
131.
by timr 3mo ago
The second floor of the mall exploded for some reason, and the roof collapse is secondary to that. It seems to have happened after the earthquake and subsequent evacuation. There are videos of people leaving the mall: https://x.c
132.
by timr 3mo ago
The Nerv app is quite good. It usually gives real-time alerts faster than the official sources. You can even have the weird experience of being notified of an earthquake, watching the shockwave move outward from the epicenter, and feeling i
133.
by timr 3mo ago
The reason is that it's propaganda. That also isn't even close to what the word means. https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/propaganda
134.
by timr 3mo ago
Everyone loves the experts that repeat what they like to hear. The ones that don't are obviously quacks.
135.
by timr 3mo ago
Or neither option in your false dichotomy has any relation to the quality of this paper?
136.
by timr 3mo ago
This article is nonsense. It takes observational data from a survey, averages it, doesn’t control for obvious medical factors that more strongly influence the observed data than climate (e.g. illnesses), and then asserts that the correl
137.
by timr 3mo ago
> Whatbaoutism is not a valid excuse. It’s not “whataboutism”. It’s a basic control in a paper that takes population data and asserts a causal link between a complex, personal biological variable and a global phenomenon. There are probab
138.
by timr 3mo ago
This is such a bad paper. They take the NHANES data, average it for all participants, don’t bother controlling for things that have far more direct relevance to individual bicarbonate levels (e.g. diabetes, antacid use), and just assert t
139.
by timr 3mo ago
This is a very hot take. Being a founder might confer you some career advantage [1] if you're one of the few to make it to series A and you grow a large team, but if you're like the vast majority of founders and never make it past
140.
by timr 3mo ago
I know that this is a tall order, but consider that this might not actually be “objective” , and that instead, you’re substituting your opinion for facts. (You don’t need to enumerate all of the things you believe justify the statement. I’
141.
by timr 3mo ago
> They've made it do exactly what they need, exactly how they need it. …until it breaks, or the bot goes off and does something ridiculous that you can’t understand without domain expertise. Which always happens. I’m sympathetic t
142.
by timr 3mo ago
It's maybe more interesting if you understand the input, but it's really not that important at the very beginning. Hearing the language being spoken will train your ears to hear the sounds and the words, even if you only understan
143.
by timr 3mo ago
> Isn't it assumed that the AI agent is allowed to read your files in the directory you launch the harness? Yes. There's very little story here. Maybe Grok is being like 10% more aggressive than other providers in how they asse
144.
by timr 3mo ago
What's your mechanism for doing this?
145.
by timr 3mo ago
> Right now, I'm using Anki to learn Japanese vocabulary from N5 to N3[1]. I know the words and the example sentences well enough to read N3-level text, provided I know the grammar. But when it comes to listening, I struggle to unde
146.
by timr 3mo ago
You do you man.
147.
by timr 3mo ago
No. That’s not my position, it’s a ridiculous metaphor here, and even if it weren’t, the logic doesn’t follow. I am not obligated to stop using a product because someone associated with the product did a bad thing once. Literally no product
148.
by timr 3mo ago
Yes, your rational and not-at-all ridiculously extreme rhetoric is definitely convincing me of your position. Also, I can’t “shift the goalposts”. I didn’t set them up. Please make a note of it.
149.
by timr 3mo ago
I’m not sure if you’re trying to say that it’s left or right, but it’s perhaps relevant to point out that that article is about the political bias of all major models. And right there in the subhead, they explicitly say that the models ha
150.
by timr 3mo ago
That's not a "classic". It's just a silly, overwrought straw-man [1] that gets passed around by people who think they're being clever, and/or don't understand the topic with any degree of nuance. Nobody re

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