tightbookkeeper

9 ms·

31.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
How is the cause of death determined for 250k people? EDIT: I got curious and looked up the CDC guidelines https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvss/vsrg/vsrg03-508.pdf > based on sound medical judgment dr
32.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
Based on the percentage of young people who got Covid (very high) and were disabled (very few), this doesn’t seem significant.
33.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
Of a lower charge. Not rape (and reminding you for the 3rd time of preponderance of evidence standard)
34.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
Yep. And the Jury seemed to agree, even in the CIVIL TRIAL. But I’m not here to be trumps lawyer. I’m here to tell you that you that this scapegoating and conspiring is giving you nothing but anger and not helping you understand the events
35.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
> civil trial So not a criminal case than? Trump didn’t even attend. The article says the jury did not find enough evidence of the rape claim even at the lower requirement of the civil court. > Carroll “cannot produce any objective ev
36.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
No. That would be being unable and unwilling to build a theory of mind to understand 80 million people from all walks of life.
37.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
Did I say any of that? > rapist Source?
38.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
I think you replied without understanding the context of the discussion.
39.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
Thanks. I don’t think I’m ready to break this down Socraticly to find our shared understanding.
40.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
Yes. I think having a healthy community and successful future political campaign will require reframing this rhetoric.
41.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
You’re missing the point. Axiomatic systems aim to be internally consistent. The question is whether they are good model of a real life situation. Your technical knowledge is distracting you from the more fundamental questions. There is no
42.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
> From a frequentist perspective This is so confused. The probability models are designed to describe situations where cause and effect is not known.causes still exist whether you can repeat them in an experiment, You are confusing logic
43.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
Maybe. I would argue that while he is fully on board the trump train now, he was not a few years ago. When you are harshly criticized for a few unorthodox views, it’s not surprising you embrace those treating you legitimately.
44.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
I personally don’t see much similarity between the mayflower (Europeans exiled to underpopulated territory in the empire) to a Chinese grad student coming to work a tech company. And that’s the ideal case! With this issue it’s all about th
45.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
Im suggesting an election is not a random event. Sampling error terminology is being mistaken for probability of the underlying thing. There was no 50/50 chance of the voter base waking up and instead voting for Kamala yesterday.
46.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
> he's a tall, confident white man Imagery, vibes, personality, all of these have powerful effects on people, educated or not. Few can express how these intangibles impact them, and if they can they are usually won’t say it out loud
47.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
If Reddit isn’t real life, then twitter definitely isn’t. No website could do what you saw.
48.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
Did they get an unlucky dice roll then?
49.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
If he didn’t win it, the democrats narrative right now would be the electoral college is a fraudulent system and he is illegitimate. #notmypresident Now you can question 2nd order effects, but that’s not a message that’s easy to communicate
50.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
Maybe 4th time is the charm with this kind of divisive messaging?
51.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
Running a primary is like checking in code to the build. You learn a lot of things you cant anticipate, without engaging with the real world. For elections this includes all the things that people think about a candidate that they don’t fee
52.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
> working class communities are more accepting of male-female dynamics I agree. Gender differences seem to be exaggerated, while in upper classes women and men converge to androgyny. One contributing factor is that surviving on low incom
53.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
Lots of little locks littered all over the place.
54.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
It’s actually that large organizations operate on people with average skill, and there is a significant inefficiencies as organizations grow. So yes, 10 skilled people could run a site that large (and do). But you can’t run a company to rec
55.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
> the striking union is the one that contains all the data analysts You seem to believe a union in a negotiation would care about carefully drawing conclusions from data analysis. The goal is to construct a political wedge which makes th
56.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
Exactly. A few years ago everyone outside of tech was excited about a study from Google showing that “soft skills” were more important for career advancement for engineers within Google. And it’s almost tautological: people who are good at
57.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
And every other human social bias: attractiveness, confidence, loyalty, etc. You can’t point to gender and say that’s the clear and overwhelming bias.
58.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
Yes, the western liberal project led by the US is a worldwide phenomenon, especially after the Cold War, world bank. Etc, But what we’ve seen over the past decades is other countries reexamine what parts are actually good for them. For exam
59.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
But Chinese citizens know the US exists? This feels like projection. The US wants to act as if stock markets and political yard signs are the only usable system.
60.
by tightbookkeeper 2y ago
> you just have to wait for the developer If it’s open source then it can be patched in bsd packages manager. Most usage of pledge is here rather than being upstreamed.

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