throwu2728828

3 ms·

1. 1.▲
   by throwu2728828 2y ago

   Seems inevitable once multi-modal reasoning 10x's everything. You don't even need robotics, just attach it to a headset Manna-style. All skilled blue collar work instantly deskilled. You see why I feel like I'm in a bind?
2. 2.▲
   by throwu2728828 2y ago

   Why? It feels like the spade of advancements post-o1 are shattering all remaining roadblocks to AGI.
3. 3.▲
   by throwu2728828 2y ago

   Thats the point. EVERYTHING is upturned. "All other things solved" includes robotics. It's a 10x everywhere .
4. 4.▲
   by throwu2728828 2y ago

   The scenario that is worrying is having to deal with the jagged frontier of intelligence prolonging the hurt. i.e 202X: SWE is solved 202X + Y; Y<3: All other fields solved. In this case, I can't retrain before the second threshold
5. 5.▲
   by throwu2728828 2y ago

   I really want this to be true, but honestly it's really hard. What makes you think this won't be eaten too within the next year based on the current s-curve-if-not-exponential we are on?
6. 6.▲
   by throwu2728828 2y ago

   I'm a student, so all pivots have a minimum delta of 2 years, which is something like a 100x on current capabilities on the seemingly steep s-curve we are on. That drives my "gloom" (in practice I've placed my hope in so
7. 7.▲
   by throwu2728828 2y ago

   Re-skill to what ? Everything is going to be upturned and/or solved by the time I could even do a pivot. There's no point at all now, I can only hold onto Christ.