thinkmoore

10 ms·

31.
by thinkmoore 11y ago
1 and 3 are really the same thing. If the complaint is that the frequentist test can't tell you anything if the assumed distribution wasn't the right one (which is what's happening if you would have done something different),
32.
by thinkmoore 11y ago
Right, but this is exactly my point: the correct answer depends on the set of prior theories , which is exactly what the frequentist scenarios you consider are varying.
33.
by thinkmoore 11y ago
But if they are having children until they have one of each, the probability of the different observations does depend on the prior events!
34.
by thinkmoore 11y ago
Our goal is to calculate P(pb > 0.5 | "Six girls and one boy"), where pb is the probability of having a boy. (Ignoring that we have already assumed p is fixed), by applying Bayes' Theorem, we have: P(pb > 0.5 | "
35.
by thinkmoore 11y ago
No, even as a Bayesian I could use either of two models to understand my data: In world one, I use bayesian update on the model P(# boys | Bias) = Mutltinomial(n = 7, p = Bias) In world two, I use bayesian update on the model P(# children |
36.
by thinkmoore 11y ago
Is this actually true for the Bayesian model? Throw in a parameter for whether or not Bill and Lorena were trying to have children until they had a boy and a girl. Now your answer will depend quite heavily on your prior!
37.
by thinkmoore 11y ago
If Alice just wants to know the average height of the population, why is she doing a hypothesis test that the height isn't 65 inches? Since her hypothesis test is designed to help answer the question of whether or not the mean populati
38.
by thinkmoore 11y ago
How about just not breaking laws anyway?
39.
by thinkmoore 11y ago
To use academic terminology, we would refer to "floating functions" as "first class functions" (since they are not second-class citizens in the language). I would argue the true distinguishing feature of a "lambda f
40.
by thinkmoore 11y ago
Whose parents have a guaranteed benefit pension these days? As far as private savings, those disappear almost immediately in the face of a medical disaster. Things are pretty grim indeed without the government programs (Social Security and
41.
by thinkmoore 11y ago
"Instant." I just need to wait for the transaction to be finalized in a block, and then wait for enough blocks to be reasonably sure there isn't a longer chain elsewhere. I'm sure that won't take any time at all. &#
42.
The media skirmish in Missouri isn't about the media. It's about race(onthemedia.org)
1 points by thinkmoore 11y ago|0 comments
43.
by thinkmoore 11y ago
This is true in the US, where the state pension is called social security. Except that conservatives have somehow rebranded this "entitlement" (to which you are entitled because you pay contributions over your working life) to som
44.
by thinkmoore 11y ago
"If you want your own little poem password, you can enter your e-mail here, and their program will send you a secure one, which will then be deleted from their server." Uh... They went through all the trouble of making a website.
45.
by thinkmoore 11y ago
I think you've nailed it precisely. What is irksome (scary?) isn't the sudden upsurge in interest in data analysis (great! lets for science!), but the complete lack of acknowledgement of the importance of statistical theory and kn
46.
by thinkmoore 11y ago
Surprised there was no mention of eduroam: https://www.eduroam.us
47.
Unicorns or sheep with party hats?(npr.org)
2 points by thinkmoore 11y ago|0 comments
48.
by thinkmoore 11y ago
Folks at Google are already working on a Linux port of Capsicum. I think its far more likely they would go with that.
49.
by thinkmoore 11y ago
In the realm of science, I think it is far more likely that researchers don't realize why what they're doing isn't a good idea. "Never attribute to malice that which is adequately attributed to stupidity." Not that
50.
by thinkmoore 11y ago
My comments parent did say fighting "without a lawful defense." I'm pretty sure that fighting an invalid ticket is a lawful defense.
51.
by thinkmoore 11y ago
One way to think about it is that the p-value is trying to account for sampling and measurement error. Imagine you are a scientist and want to find out whether the hypothesis that men are on average taller than women is true. If you could j
52.
by thinkmoore 11y ago
No, my description is correct, though I left out "assuming the null hypothesis is true." The equal probability you are describing is for the p-value itself being more extreme, not the result.
53.
by thinkmoore 11y ago
I feel like every description of the problem of p-values I read is missing the real issue. And that's that people are using the p-value incorrectly. A fairly standard definition of the p-value (from wikipedia) says: "In statistics
54.
by thinkmoore 11y ago
Or, as parent suggests, you could just take responsibility for your actions...
55.
by thinkmoore 11y ago
All of the cab companies I use in Boston have exactly such and app. I'd be willing to bet the same is true in many cities.
56.
by thinkmoore 11y ago
Yes, the paper is about showing that you can do the equivalent of annotating stack frames for security in a language with tail calls. The same ideas work debugging though. Basically, the key idea is that you can manage the debugging informa
57.
by thinkmoore 11y ago
It is straightforward to provide the type of stack trace information people want for debugging in the presence of tail call elimination (not optimization ;) ) http://www.brinckerhoff.org/clements/papers/cf-toplas04
58.
by thinkmoore 11y ago
Agreed, I posted mostly for the humor, though there are some grains of truth there still.
59.
by thinkmoore 11y ago
The Unix Hater's Handbook ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Unix-Haters_Handbook ) has a few sections on of some of the ills of the Unix philosophy.
60.
Research Highlights from PLDI 2015(medium.com)
2 points by thinkmoore 11y ago|0 comments

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