tfehring

27 ms·

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by tfehring 5y ago
In many cases you're correct, but there are brands with fully US-based supply chains. E.g. https://gettees.us/pages/materials
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by tfehring 5y ago
No I don't, that's why I'm asking.
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by tfehring 5y ago
The reason I don't think of myself as a finance person isn't that I don't understand finance. I've worked in the finance industry for six years; I haven't worked on the supply chain or logistics side, but I'm w
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by tfehring 5y ago
I'm not sure I follow. The cost of capital is lower in the US than in developing countries because of the generally lower risk of investing in the US. For example, long-term AAA corporate bond yields seem to be about 150 bps higher i
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by tfehring 5y ago
> For a shoe-factory job paying $12 an hour, the actual cost of shoemaking — when adding benefits — grows to $16 an hour, compared with about $3 an hour in China, said Mike Jeppesen, head of global operations at Wolverine Worldwide, whi
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by tfehring 5y ago
The research I've seen (e.g. [0] [1]) consistently shows a modest decrease in rent prices for existing renters when new housing is built. Are there studies showing the opposite that I'm not aware of? I understand that there are tw
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by tfehring 5y ago
I don't see how that context changes anything. It's not a quote from a character or, apparently, an intentionally unreliable narrator, and there's nothing to indicate that it's not a sincerely held belief by the author.
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by tfehring 5y ago
Internalizing negative externalities through taxation is literally Economics 101. That's not to say that that makes a carbon tax inherently a good idea (though I think it is), but there's nothing economically unsound about it and
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by tfehring 5y ago
The fact that climate change is a problem doesn't imply that there's a "right" climate. The rapid rate of change itself is the problem - and particularly the fact that that rate of change is faster than organisms and sys
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by tfehring 5y ago
What makes you think any of those beliefs are detached from reality?
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by tfehring 5y ago
The data I've seen is not great, in part because reinfection is pretty rare. This study [0] indicating rates of 31.0% and 3.4% respectively is the best I've seen, but I'd hazard a guess that there's some sampling bias -
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by tfehring 5y ago
And if misclassification is a concern (as the parent mentioned) you can put a prior on that rate too!
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by tfehring 5y ago
I think "long COVID" is too vague to really provide a specific incidence rate - it's more meaningful to look at the incidence rates of particular symptoms long after infection. The study I linked finds 27.9% incidence of &quo
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by tfehring 5y ago
I’m personally way more worried about long-term cognitive symptoms than about dying. Obviously the jury’s still out on long term symptoms, but something like a quarter of people with symptomatic COVID seem to have some kind of cognitive sym
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by tfehring 5y ago
I would be with you if it weren’t for the “or test” part. “You must get vaccinated” would be problematic, but “you must do a COVID test once a week if you’re not vaccinated” is totally reasonable IMO.
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by tfehring 5y ago
Do you have a source for the claim that a vaccinated person is more likely than an unvaccinated person to transmit the virus asymptomatically?
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by tfehring 5y ago
A lot - that’s why I strongly oppose government vaccine mandates except in contexts where the magnitude of that pro-social good is far above the baseline - e.g., for healthcare workers. Thankfully, the “or test” part distinguishes this from
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by tfehring 5y ago
I think “prevent” is too imprecise a term here. The vaccines don’t eliminate the risk of spreading the virus to others. They do materially reduce the risk of spreading the virus to others.
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by tfehring 5y ago
Isn’t the varicella zoster vaccine, which many schools have required for decades, also non-sterilizing?
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by tfehring 5y ago
Yikes. I’m not terribly surprised by that, but I am pretty jaded about both hiring and big tech companies at this point so that’s probably why. I recently wrapped up a job search, and it occurred to me just now that in each of my job search
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by tfehring 5y ago
AGPLv3. Off the top of my head, Grafana and RStudio already do that and seem to have had the desired result. I’m sure there are others.
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by tfehring 5y ago
Not the parent commenter but I think they’re suggesting that the degree may not be the cause of the increase in earnings, but rather that the people who get college degrees have attributes (e.g. intelligence, work ethic, good K12 education,
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by tfehring 5y ago
The expense ratios of leveraged ETFs are nothing compared to the volatility drag. There are far cheaper and more effective ways than leveraged ETFs for buy-and-hold investors to obtain leverage, notably LEAPs and index futures. (Disclaimer:
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by tfehring 5y ago
Yeah, I feel like the most likely outcome from this path is that Facebook launches a competing app store and offers developers lower fees than Apple in exchange for their users' data.
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by tfehring 5y ago
I agree that the idea of the AG bringing felony charges against Apple employees because of their approach to dealing with CSAM is pretty far-fetched. But the article you're referring to [0] is correct to point out that Apple will be si
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by tfehring 5y ago
Right, that's what the article says, but what specific data would they be required to report and in what context?
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by tfehring 5y ago
It's not strictly a personal decision when others will be paying for unvaccinated people's hospital bills, or potentially disability income, through insurance and taxes respectively. 19% of new US COVID cases the week of July 29 w
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by tfehring 5y ago
I guess I don’t understand what the amendment actually does. If you’re a crypto miner, you already have to report your own income from that activity to the government; failure to do so is already a crime, namely tax evasion. And if you’re n
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by tfehring 5y ago
Other than the additional pseudorandom bits (which also have drawbacks), what's the advantage of ksuid over UUIDv6 as defined in the draft?
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by tfehring 5y ago
Even if they can just pay for health insurance out of pocket, they’d be switching plans twice, and each time they’d reset their deductible and possibly need to find a new doctor. When I was an actuary we used to do “intern to hire” for unem

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