tempestn

37 ms·

691.
by tempestn 3y ago
I doubt that. I think Tesla the business would be better off without him. That said, the stock is ludicrously overvalued, which must be largely due to his cult of personality. So if employees are concerned about their options being devalued
692.
Evernote Free accounts will have fifty notes and one notebook(evernote.com)
5 points by tempestn 3y ago|1 comments
693.
by tempestn 3y ago
This specific product aside, it seems to me there could be huge future potential in therapies involving genetically engineered bacteria. We can modify bacteria far more easily than we can our own genomes. And we're just beginning to de
694.
by tempestn 3y ago
I think technology has had significantly more effect on catastrophes than the author gives it credit for. You could argue that weapons tech significantly increased casualties in world wars. Global travel allows pandemics to spread globally.
695.
by tempestn 3y ago
But that just takes you back to the 10-20 years. The point here was that the math changes if you need to replace your existing system anyway.
696.
by tempestn 3y ago
Wow, surprisingly expensive then. It might be worth getting more quotes if you're still interested. I found the ones we got here varied pretty widely, so you may have just gotten a couple of high ones.
697.
by tempestn 3y ago
At least in our case the inside unit was massive. It was definitely a two person job to get it into its location in our crawlspace.
698.
by tempestn 3y ago
For a mini-split system, or central heat pump? Do you have existing ducts? What's the square footage? We recently upgraded our central heat pump as the old one died after 15 years or so. IIRC the total was $13k CAD, so around 9-10k USD
699.
by tempestn 3y ago
Modern cold-climate heat pumps can definitely handle 20F. Yes they're more efficient at higher ambient temperature, but you can get at least 2.5 COP at 20F. (And good ones can continue to outperform resistive heating at much lower temp
700.
by tempestn 3y ago
That's a very interesting study. I'm surprised the relationship is so linear through all the way through the income percentiles, aside from the very bottom few. I would have expected a relative plateau in the middle.
701.
by tempestn 3y ago
I would certainly guess most are fairly rich. I wouldn't be surprised if there were one or two serious fans in there that stretched for it though.
702.
by tempestn 3y ago
That assumes that if Elon were less distracted, i.e. more focused on Tesla, it would improve the performance of the company. The opposite could be true.
703.
by tempestn 3y ago
Because of the asymmetrical risk of betting against it. It's easy for people to buy a Tesla lottery ticket with the chance (at least in the past, and in their minds still) of 10X or 100X your money. Much like crypto. Or the actual lott
704.
by tempestn 3y ago
If you'd invested the 250k and then held through all the various strata of insane valuations between then and now, yes. I never regret not buying these stocks because I know I would've sold 100 times over.
705.
by tempestn 3y ago
I assume it was wired up in series to measure current.
706.
Evernote pushes users to upgrade with test of a free plan of only 50 notes(techcrunch.com)
2 points by tempestn 3y ago|1 comments
707.
by tempestn 3y ago
But again isn't the fact that, "perceptions of ability were positively related to actual ability, although in this case, not to a significant degree" an interesting result? Not the fact that they were related, but the fact th
708.
by tempestn 3y ago
The big difference for me is that with clipped notes the full contents are searchable. I agree that browser bookmarks are generally poor for reference material, as you tend to forget what you've bookmarked. But by clipping the whole pa
709.
by tempestn 3y ago
It surprises me that you'd be surprised. It's convenient to have your most used sites a single click away on the new tab screen, and it still opens instantaneously, so I don't see any disadvantage. If there's something t
710.
by tempestn 3y ago
450 open tabs? I really have to think it would be worth the time to adapt to using some kind of clipping/note-taking software instead.
711.
by tempestn 3y ago
I see what you did there. Also how many operate(d) far below their peak capacity due to sleep deprivation, and/or caused themselves other mental illnesses.
712.
by tempestn 3y ago
But they wouldn't. They'd rank themselves something like 1,2,2,3. We're not dealing with a population collaborating to all rank themselves in order, but rather each person individually estimating where their abilities lie in
713.
by tempestn 3y ago
> The chart is interesting in that it confirms that everyone perceives themselves to be slightly above average in terms of ability, which of course can't be true in practice. No, everyone biases their self-assessments toward a poi
714.
by tempestn 3y ago
That's a great observation. For what it's worth though, it does seem logical to me that the best would also be best at estimating their skill. Not necessarily because they're better at it per se (though there's likely so
715.
by tempestn 3y ago
The best don't tend to overestimate their skill; they underestimate it. The D-K results show a consistent bias in estimates toward (somewhere near) the mean. Hence an overestimate at the bottom and an underestimate at the top.
716.
by tempestn 3y ago
I don't buy this take, and this rebuttal does a better job than I could of explaining why: https://andersource.dev/2022/04/19/dk-autocorrelation.html Basically, this autocorrelation take shows that if pe
717.
by tempestn 3y ago
So they should just keep offering an ad-free, payment-free service at a loss forever? Or how should they make money?
718.
by tempestn 3y ago
Perhaps a stupid question, as I've never experienced this, but it sounds like the effect is most pronounced when noise cancelling is first engaged. Could you simply enable noise cancelling before putting on the headphones? And then per
719.
by tempestn 3y ago
Within a few months? I don't think it should be possible to be 95% confident of that without inside info. As you said, many unexpected things have happened already. IMO that should bring the most confident predictions down to the 80-85
720.
by tempestn 3y ago
"Almost certainly"? Here's a fun exercise. Over the course of, say, a year, keep track of all your predictions along these lines, and how certain you are of each. Almost certainly, expressed as a percentage, would be maybe 95

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