sometimelurker

4 ms·

1.
by sometimelurker 3mo ago
> Where in nature has anything ever grown exponentially in perpetuity? you could make the argument for human total GDP, which looks like https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/global-gdp-over-the-long-... , but then agai
2.
by sometimelurker 3mo ago
LLM + scale = more intelligent, this can be proven more than empirically, https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.15318 shows that neural nets can fit a number of independent AND-gate operations in their weights, - if you have a sy
3.
by sometimelurker 3mo ago
> defeat any nations that don't discard humans AGI doesn't do away with nuclear MAD, it just messes with economics and makes many people temporarily jobless. Temporarily because in a literal sense RLVR needs verification to tra
4.
by sometimelurker 3mo ago
> Ensuring Chinese compliance would be incredible hard to enforce or to check consider SALT and other treaties from USSR vs USA cold war. they checked
5.
by sometimelurker 3mo ago
> But every exponential is at a certain point a sigmoid. strongly, no . its just hard to distinguish them. for example, radioactive decay. cmon
6.
by sometimelurker 3mo ago
> Governments exerting this much control will only end in war elaborate. regulation -> war, how?
7.
by sometimelurker 3mo ago
we should never make ASI, what I am saying is strongly sane. ASI = not good. AGI, ~human brainpower, can be made safe enough. > Are there examples of where we have collective decided not to pursue knowledge? Successfully? human GMO, some
8.
by sometimelurker 3mo ago
source needed. I'm not saying ur wrong, but source needed
9.
by sometimelurker 3mo ago
all easily varifyable tasks can now be solved with money. this is worth paying attention to. math proofs are verifyable -> math proofs are easy now. you can think of other such tasks: cybersecurity, AI R&D/RSI, killing people ,
10.
by sometimelurker 3mo ago
people use different models. I use small local ones for instance
11.
by sometimelurker 3mo ago
Can they add hackernews to their study analysis? And do a measure over time?
12.
by sometimelurker 3mo ago
why is this better than eg matplotlib?
13.
by sometimelurker 3mo ago
strawman fallacy, I can debate anti-subscription arguments much better. I don't think subscriptions have to be bad, but this is unreasonable
14.
by sometimelurker 3mo ago
reminds me of https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/qEbqPitYhWHthwFNu/bun-s-migr... . remember anthropic owns bun
15.
by sometimelurker 3mo ago
I like the quote at the end "we cannot choose to become idiots"
16.
by sometimelurker 3mo ago
I like stuff that takes a statistic that we view one way and explains how to see it another way in this sense, related https://danluu.com/p95-skill/
17.
by sometimelurker 3mo ago
linux is gpl, not dead
18.
by sometimelurker 3mo ago
'X-risk/S-risk' is a superset of 'hierarchical world with zero social mobility' and 'ASI taking over the planet is ridiculous'. x-risk=bad, smart enough power-seeking llms automatically lead to x-risk
19.
by sometimelurker 3mo ago
Probably has something to do with smart technical people being attracted to free software, and then OSS, and then copyleft. the idea of writing code under gpl feels pretty left to me.
20.
by sometimelurker 3mo ago
coordination problems. everyone (mostpeople) wants action to be taken, but it requires coordination
21.
by sometimelurker 3mo ago
> CO2 has been rising it rises faster now because we have more co2-emitters today than we did 20 years ago. source: economy has grown. idc if this sounds rude, but honestly you shoulve guessed this
22.
by sometimelurker 3mo ago
In pretty much every single HN post ~~on this topic~~, there are a number of commenters that are probably bots. Anyways it makes sense from a theoretical standpoint that LLMs should be able to find flaws in code better/faster than huma
23.
by sometimelurker 3mo ago
I like the metric of tok/joule a lot. it really brings to mind a lot of really nice ideas about energy and work and ideas and thought and efficiency
24.
by sometimelurker 3mo ago
one option Ive liked for entering flow state for this is running a small 3b param model and using it as an alternative to stackoverflow or websearch while I code. I don't often do this, mostly bc I don't care too much about most o
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by sometimelurker 3mo ago
llama.cpp + pi.dev for me, using small Gemma and qwen llms
26.
by sometimelurker 3mo ago
providers do not want power-seeking LLMs. no one does. this (bad personality) is incentivized during training, especially RL, and is something they would rather not have. tell me, do you think training a power-seeking ASI is a good idea?
27.
by sometimelurker 3mo ago
ok, that is evil because this would inflict pain on people to no overall benefit. this is equivalent to saying "prisons should torture the worst criminals", which would be insane > Working there is a choice look into non-comp
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by sometimelurker 3mo ago
it would be so easy to rent GPUs in europe and use unbannable encryption (tor,i2p if needed) to get inference from them. that remaining as an option makes banning local AI pointless. if all else fails I'm sure china will be able to sel
29.
by sometimelurker 3mo ago
I'm gunna say something crazy sounding that might be insensitive but is really obviously true to anyone that thinks about it for a few seconds. Meta throwing away a ton of really good talent is probably better for the world by a large
30.
by sometimelurker 3mo ago
I think googles been putting more of their money into super long context stuff, not powerful coding stuff. they've got 10million token windows for some internal stuff (Gemini 1.5 Pro Test), more research says meta is also in on the lon

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