softwaredoug

4 ms·

31.
by softwaredoug 15d ago
Well roughly now would be when you’d time a huge shock OTOH midterm generic ballots are much more stable than top line presidential horse race polling. So it might only matter at the margins.
32.
Matt Mullenweg Posts Hiring Call to Move "My Stuff" Off Automattic(therepository.email)
3 points by softwaredoug 15d ago|0 comments
33.
by softwaredoug 15d ago
My understanding is we haven’t gotten to full Hormuz apocalypse mode because the Chinese have a ton of stockpiles. And the Red Sea has been an option. Those conditions seem to be changing.
34.
by softwaredoug 15d ago
Yes its a rule in hell situation. Some folks are getting a larger share of a shrinking pie. I am unsure its by design or just idiocy. (Probably a mix of both).
35.
by softwaredoug 15d ago
Certainly the population of people that need to know how something works is much smaller. But even still, cognitive debt is a real, documented phenomenon where we lose our ability to change projects.[1] We also know coding agents tend to ac
36.
by softwaredoug 15d ago
I don't doubt that. But humans still need to be responsible for understanding what they're shipping. And IMO you get your best understanding by actually writing some code. Even if you don't actually ship what you wrote.
37.
by softwaredoug 15d ago
Coding might be "solved" but coding still is the best way to build your own mental model of the solution space. Which is more important to you: Velocity to a solution? Or velocity to understanding?
38.
by softwaredoug 15d ago
It seems one way Iran fights the US asymmetrically is by harming the Federal financial picture with endlessly higher rates + borrowing costs. If this keeps happening month-after-month, year-after-year, we're really going to feel the sq
39.
by softwaredoug 17d ago
They probably imagine the guy from Silicon Valley that shows them where their box is going.
40.
by softwaredoug 17d ago
The difference is how credit and attribution works. And whether we feel it’s being laundered through models. And also whether the AI moon laser pointed at your problem is just going to be the thing that writes the final conclusion on ten ye
41.
by softwaredoug 20d ago
A sample of cases, their judges, and who appointed them v. Wisconsin Elections Commission — federal district court, Brett Ludwig, Donald Trump Same case — 7th Circuit appeal, Michael Scudder, Donald Trump 7th Circuit panel, Joel Flaum, Rona
42.
ByteX: A Unified AI Search Engine at ByteDance(arxiv.org)
3 points by softwaredoug 20d ago|1 comments
43.
by softwaredoug 20d ago
I sometimes comment on the actual facts of an issue on threads about an alarmist, clickbait headline. Not to minimize the issue, but to help people calibrate how freaked out they should be. But people get really offended with the idea of ca
44.
by softwaredoug 20d ago
Some things that help me. 1. Be vulnerable and share your mistakes. Avoid a triumphalist “everything works” PoV 2. Write about your actual lived personal experiences. 3. Try to have a sense of humor 4. Have an informed opinion or PoV - stro
45.
by softwaredoug 20d ago
I’m not at all defending this, but before you freak out, it’s a $14 fee per solar panel. Not like 25% tax on utilities that produce solar or somesuch. In case you want to appropriately calibrate your anger.
46.
by softwaredoug 20d ago
It’s never been easier to differentiate yourself as a writer. You just write with some personality. People don’t want writing that doesn’t look average, but looks novel. I despair much less for human writers than a did maybe a year ago.
47.
by softwaredoug 20d ago
I’m not as sure. It feels that way. But society was also smaller in its footprint. Keep in mind the US government pre watergate did a lot of spying on political opponents (MLK, Malcolm X, etc). Presidents impounded funds pre Watergate at al
48.
by softwaredoug 20d ago
It may more accurately be pre-Watergate. But yes, a lengthy period with a unifying adversary that felt like an existential threat did a lot to unify the US
49.
by softwaredoug 20d ago
The US is returning to its pre WW2 norm. The postwar era was the exception. US democracy has long been tenuous or for the “right people”.
50.
by softwaredoug 20d ago
There basically is no election fraud In 2020 Trump admin tried very hard to find some and there attempts were thrown out in court 59/60 cases The only thing they won on involved a Pennsylvania judge extending mail in ballot deadline be
51.
by softwaredoug 21d ago
Aren’t humans just “next motor action predictors”?
52.
by softwaredoug 22d ago
Drawing these random unrecorded lives makes me think a lot of Train Dreams a movie/book about a kind of unremarkable, random guy in the Northwest who sits witnessing history, dying with nobody remembering him.
53.
by softwaredoug 22d ago
My person was “orphaned at 34” Great idea but it needs more testing.
54.
by softwaredoug 22d ago
You might enjoy reading the Hyperion Cantos which delves into this idea :)
55.
by softwaredoug 23d ago
I'm seeing reporting it gets 98.6% on ARC-AGI3[1] (previously like 30% with Fable) https://venturebeat.com/technology/welcome-to-the-agi-era-op...
56.
Bean Soup Theory(merriam-webster.com)
1 points by softwaredoug 23d ago|0 comments
57.
by softwaredoug 23d ago
That’s possible Though in this case the kid was walking all in a gated community.
58.
by softwaredoug 23d ago
FWIW - Virginia has a free range kid law. And does not have a minimum age for supervision. They charged the mom with delinquency of a minor to get around this. Usually reserved for teenagers that commit crimes. We don't really know all
59.
by softwaredoug 23d ago
In the US, if you are in a residential neighborhood with a lot of kids, its also fairly typical for them to be out finding their playmates. I would say if you're in a neighborhood where there's just like 1-2 kids, it may not be th
60.
by softwaredoug 23d ago
Virginia also has a free range kid law. And in particular, the conviction here was delinquency of a minor. That's usually used to convict parents of teenagers whose kids do serious crimes. I caveat to say, we don't know the full d

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