sobellian

3 ms·

1.
by sobellian 10d ago
You can still see undercurrents of its old self, once I pointed out the illegal notation it hallucinated prior illegal moves. But I agree, it's leagues apart from prior iterations. It also knew thematic moves in the opening. But whenev
2.
by sobellian 10d ago
You can see the entire conversation for my game at https://chatgpt.com/share/6aaac17b-1384-83e8-98fd-4350a0ef69... .
3.
by sobellian 10d ago
I can play blindfolded. I am expert OTB (though I haven't played in a while). The game was like 18 moves of theory in the Maroczy Bind.
4.
by sobellian 11d ago
If it's a GM then I'm Magnus Carlsen, https://lichess.org/study/27lCQqDa .
5.
by sobellian 11d ago
I tested both myself and a weak bot against Astra xhigh, https://lichess.org/study/27lCQqDa . It's still pretty bad at chess, though it takes longer to devolve into illegal moves.
6.
by sobellian 12d ago
I understand the point, and I'm telling you this is just another form of Pascal's wager.
7.
by sobellian 12d ago
If anyone believes a sufficiently smart consortium of humans could exterminate 10% of humanity, that alone should be fixed by identifying the pathways through which it could be done. The existence of AI is not needed to be concerned about t
8.
by sobellian 12d ago
They don't multiply themselves instantly, and this is exactly the kind of religious, magical thinking to which I refer. Any thinking machine is an amalgam of hardware and software. The software changes with exceptional flexibility, yes
9.
by sobellian 13d ago
Any claim that AI will, or could, destroy humanity reduces to a claim that any sufficiently intelligent being - even a human - could destroy humanity. I find that much of the x-risk thought relies on religious thinking. Take for example:
10.
by sobellian 13d ago
I'm making an online guidance solver for KSA ( https://ahwoo.com/app/100000/kitten-space-agency ). It will allow you to control a KSA rocket from the command line for a variety of maneuvers (launch, rendezvous,
11.
by sobellian 13d ago
I reflected on this myself recently. Model distillation seems to be at least as fair a use as distilling a book.
12.
by sobellian 13d ago
I don't really have a strong opinion either way on Flock but this is a strange objection. YC is a well-known startup accelerator that makes (pre-seed!) investments. I don't know if anyone has ever sincerely taken "YC company&
13.
by sobellian 15d ago
That solution (stop pouring resources in to proofs, stay in your lane) works today. How does it work 5, 10, 20 years from now? The software and hardware advances will continue.
14.
by sobellian 15d ago
If, as you desire, we wrote that Yemen captured the island, who did they capture it from? Not-Yemen? That's just confusing for a civil war.
15.
by sobellian 17d ago
The evidence we have (not much) leaves the facts severely under-constrained. All the below are consistent with what we observe: - OpenAI lying their face off for marketing purposes - Buckmaster sore about getting beaten to NS, misrepresenti
16.
by sobellian 17d ago
Neither side has offered hard proof for their interpretation (i.e. malice vs innocence), so shrug . If one is dead set on forming an opinion that's fine but it's all vibes until we know more. Science & math especially is no s
17.
by sobellian 17d ago
I thought the same, but on second thought I merely had to deal on Tuesday with a lot of the mistakes Astra made on the preceding days. I wonder if this time lag of consequences explains why the sentiment is so common with these models. It p
18.
by sobellian 17d ago
OAI's side of the story is that they discovered the approaches (and indeed solved problems - Euler equations vs NS equations) differed. They then offered Buckmaster lead authorship of OAI's proof, without Alpöge. But they never de
19.
by sobellian 18d ago
The unforced problem is still open.
20.
by sobellian 18d ago
AFAICT the unforced problem is still open. I don't think we've established that you need to be a literal God to create a finite-time blowup.
21.
by sobellian 18d ago
Whether or not ways exist to work around the singularities, that they exist is surely of note. Before von Neumann formalized QM people were still doing QM, okay fine. But it's wrong to then say von Neumann was doing no physics of note.
22.
by sobellian 18d ago
Yes, Stockfish is genuinely impressive. I would be proud to author Stockfish. You don't think so?
23.
by sobellian 18d ago
The "steal their thunder" is interpretation. What I'm saying is that you believe they solved NS on a lark to bully some other researchers, and that this is not impressive?
24.
by sobellian 18d ago
Even under your interpretation, OAI pushed a button and solved NS. Yes, that is very impressive. Are you kidding me? Imagine building an automated system that can solve NS.
25.
by sobellian 18d ago
NS is a question for natural science. Q: can we model these bodies of discrete particles with a continuous approximation? A: if you do, you can get aphysical singularities. "If in other sciences we should arrive at certainty without
26.
by sobellian 23d ago
It seems that this conflates the leading causes of death in $BIRTH_YEAR with the leading causes of death for someone born in $BIRTH_YEAR?
27.
by sobellian 24d ago
The US is a big country so it's hard to generalize. But if you take the "default" US culture, it has been either ambivalent or hostile toward nerds for a long time. People who rightly point this out get shouted down as being
28.
by sobellian 24d ago
I don't like the implied assumption that you can only do one or the other. To use the author's own story, the US had both von Braun and Johnson. Also, there are just many scenarios where you can't afford to train someone from
29.
by sobellian 25d ago
This was mentioned in the article. > For example, when Timothy B. Lee looked at a spreadsheet that Zitron used to create a projection of Anthropic's revenue, he found, "He doesn't count February 1-10, counts March 1-10 twi
30.
by sobellian 1mo ago
Jevons paradox states it might increase. It is not an ironclad law and there are many many cases where increasing efficiency wrt. a certain resource really will decrease the total consumption of that resource. Yes tokens are an input them

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