setgree

9 ms·

61.
by setgree 1y ago
You're describing conditioning analyses on data. Gelman and Loken (2013) put it like this: > The problem is there can be a large number of potential comparisons when the details of data analysis are highly contingent on data, withou
62.
by setgree 1y ago
96K/year = 8K/month, and I pocket about 70% of that. Does that seem high to you? It doesn't to me, but then I've mostly lived and worked in coastal blue states. if I moved to Florida, I'd take home probably another
63.
by setgree 1y ago
I'm in Kensington with two roommates in an old house. It's definitely a great deal but if you are willing to live with roommates in a somewhat uncool area, similar deals are definitely possible: https://streeteasy.com&#
64.
by setgree 1y ago
My salary is $96,000, which comes to about $5700/month after taxes and everything. I spend about $1300 a month in recurring expenses (rent, gym, etc.). I'm 36, I live with roommates in Brooklyn, and I saved $1200 last month. That
65.
by setgree 1y ago
If there was every a ready-made use case for crypto, it's this. Alexandra Elbakyan is both a criminal in most places and a hero to many [0]. I want her to keep doing what she's doing, and that means someone probably has to pay her
66.
by setgree 1y ago
Nice, thanks for sharing! I shared this with my HS calculus teacher :) (My model is that his students should be motivated to get machine learning engineering jobs, so they should be motivated to learn calculus, but who knows.)
67.
by setgree 1y ago
A friend who works for the FBI flagged this long ago as the origin story for Clinton's "but her emails!" woes. It's distinctly possible that if the NSA had just secured her Blackberry, there would never have been a presi
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by setgree 1y ago
I don't think I'm just saying that. I'd say instead: 1) evidence in favor of reasonable, unsurprising priors does not need to be held to the same standards of rigor as it would for less likely hypotheses. Put differently, ext
69.
by setgree 1y ago
Haidt is not the world's most careful data analyst [0], so a determined skeptic would probably not find this persuasive. But I think he's been directionally correct about all his major points in the past decade: * Cancel culture i
70.
by setgree 1y ago
Another idea is to only co-author with people with your last name, as in "A Few Goodmen: Surname-Sharing Economist Coauthors" by Allen C. Goodman, Joshua Goodman, Lucas Goodman, and Sarena Goodman: > We explore the phenomenon
71.
by setgree 1y ago
"Shoving content into the faces of an indiscriminating userbase" maximizes eyeball time which maximizes ad dollars. Netflix's financials are a bit more opaque but I think that's the key driver of the carcinisation story
72.
by setgree 2y ago
I thought so too until I read a Stratechery interview that painted a pretty bad portrait of her time at Sony [0]. I tend to think that AMD looks well run when compared with Intel [1], but when you consider Nvidia as the relevant counterfact
73.
by setgree 2y ago
> The biggest single development issue I’ve seen over the years is that many VPs still think like directors. > The VP’s job is to get the right answer. They are the functional expert. No one on the team knows their function better t
74.
by setgree 2y ago
> [The NY Times] knew the NSA was spying on us but never ran the story to protect GW's chances at reelection This is a really strong claim -- the part about the 'why'. Strong claims generally require strong evidence. I&#x
75.
by setgree 2y ago
The many domains is a problem because it suggests a many-teams approach to product development, and the more cooks in the kitchen, the more likely a repeat of Gemini 1’s rollout, which was a mess [0]. Basically I’m looking to see that Googl
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by setgree 2y ago
A kind of ancillary note, but it's amazing to me how fragmented this presentation and documentation is: * the parent link is to storage.googleapis.com * There's documentation on ai.google.dev * The announcement blogpost is https:
77.
by setgree 2y ago
I learned about Butler and his letter from George Dyson's book, "Darwin among the Machines: The Evolution of Global Intelligence" -- it's a very entertaining account. Butler was quite a character. (If I recall correctly
78.
by setgree 2y ago
sure! and in many situations, a new technology or company or whatever is a kind of systemic change. For instance, right now I'm accessing this website via VPN in a place where hacker news is blocked. That's both a technological
79.
by setgree 2y ago
The causes of, and solutions to, hyperinflation are well understood [0]. Solving the problem might require a political revolution. When you have a playbook for doing that in a peaceful way, please let us know! [0] https://mru.org
80.
by setgree 2y ago
I wish you luck with this. Stablecoin adoption in the developing world is a potentially large and legitimate use case for cryptocurrency. An essay by Ben Kuhn [0], ex-CTO of Wave, raises the most salient objection here. Of the four problems
81.
by setgree 2y ago
That, and probably a great deal of what we'd consider rotten meat: https://www.sciencenews.org/article/meat-rotten-putrid-paleo... But I suppose that part of the paleo diet doesn't have mass appeal
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by setgree 2y ago
Fifth best selling of all time and most successful of its generation, per Wikipedia.
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by setgree 2y ago
in a slightly different vein: https://www.newyorker.com/humor/daily-shouts/i-work-from-hom... > OPERATOR: O.K., Robert, you understand that what you just described isn’t really lunch, right? > ROBERT: It is
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by setgree 2y ago
Definitely they're smart, but most of them just started writing and built up a following that way, and that became its own kind of credential. Jeff Kaufman started writing in his freshman year of college ( https://www.jefftk.
85.
by setgree 2y ago
1) I write a personal blog [0] whose posts I sometimes share here [1]. I write mainly to understand what I think and to have a "prepared statement" for conversations I am having with friends. If I develop a brand at some point, gr
86.
by setgree 2y ago
An insightful comment on this from an American context, but about basically the same problem [0] > Read the regs and you can absolutely see how complying with them to allow for banana peeling could become prohibitively costly. But the d
87.
by setgree 2y ago
When American conservatives say liberals spend too much time virtue signaling, I think of initiatives like these. Putting the ten commandments in schools was plainly unconstitutional and had no chance of becoming law. It's 100% signali
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by setgree 2y ago
If the US decided to let all Palestinian refugees in -- This obviously wouldn't happen, but if -- we could definitely get boats with capacity for thousands of people a day to a pier that we built [0], get them to somewhere where they c
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by setgree 2y ago
If the US, or any European country, started letting Palestinian refugees in en masse, a lot of them would manage to get there. Egypt’s culpability here is the most salient because they’re physically closest; but I don’t see how that makes t
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by setgree 2y ago
Bias might emerge as much in choice of topics to cover as in the tone of the coverage. On X, someone mentioned that Wired’s coverage in the past 5-10 years is striking for how little it discusses SpaceX, for example.

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