seadan83

13 ms·

91.
by seadan83 1y ago
False dichotomy, we don't have to continue at 3% for the 20% prediction to be wrong. So far, I've seen jobs lost to tariffs. I've yet to see a job lost to AI. Observations are not evidence, but so far there is no evidence I s
92.
by seadan83 1y ago
When that bubble bursts, perhaps non-AI tech companies will start receiving VC funds again.
93.
by seadan83 1y ago
Is it early days of exponential growth? The growth of AI to beat humans in chess and then Go took a long time. Appears to be step function growth. LLMs have limitations and can't double their growth for much longer. I'd argue they
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by seadan83 1y ago
So many of the drawbacks have been mitigated at this point too. Offshore teams are well organized, have their own managers, orgs, the offshore talent has really grown in ths last few decades with many excellent engineers, and remote/
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by seadan83 1y ago
We're just 3 years after a giant hiring binge, a similar amount of time post zero interest rates, the US economy has been threatening recession for two years, and economic uncertainty is very high, and post Covid had a glut of junior e
96.
by seadan83 1y ago
Fair enough. I asked for 3 examples and we have differing impressions over just the one example you were able to provide. No other examples were provided. If you care to list other examples, I'll be willing to allow it as an exercise f
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by seadan83 1y ago
I appreciate the additional insights, but the premise I'm pushing back on is whenever a SSH key is read, then the user account is by necessity compromised in order to do so. Given that level of a breach, there are myriad ways for an at
98.
by seadan83 1y ago
It kinda is good personal policy IMO for passwords you have to type to be positive affirmations. I used 'Fuckthis1!' for a moment; funny enough it was not the most moralizing thing to type all the time! OTOH, 'H@ppyH@ppyJoyJo
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by seadan83 1y ago
> But getting someone's SSH keys and then running off and doing other things is a very normal part of any focused attack in which attackers use some foothold to start pivoting into your systems. Though, if someone gets that far, cou
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by seadan83 1y ago
My impression is dress-culture was (and still is somewhat) different on the US East vs West coast. The tech company I worked for in the mid 2000s on the East coast explicitly forbid jeans in the dress code.
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by seadan83 1y ago
> I gave you an example of exactly that but you say you "suspect" its not that Sorry, I should have been more direct. I do not see your example is a verbatim, "we cannot handle this." Your example strikes me as a: &qu
102.
by seadan83 1y ago
Why then bring up the cinder block issue if it's unaffiliated? > Some of us try, but, sadly, the only way this insanity will pass is for people to gain clarity on their own. Not sure what it will take. Time will tell. I'd say i
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by seadan83 1y ago
I appreciate the specifics. When you wrote "so they", I want to be sure that the 'they' refers to bus operators that were payed to drop off migrants in Chicago: "The city says buses can arrive only during daytime ho
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by seadan83 1y ago
The people chucking cinder blocks and protestors are unaffiliated. That is guilt by association, a logical fallacy. Seeing immigrants and perceiving an increased in crime, and citing that they are related is post facto rationalization falla
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by seadan83 1y ago
Apart from statements of Mayor Adams, could you list maybe 3 examples? Trying to research this, I see examples like Denver and Chicago that have had struggles, anx did things like limit shelter stats to 72 hours. I found no examples though
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by seadan83 1y ago
I'm worried about humans training on AI output. Example, a rare fish had a viral AI image made. The image is completely fake. Though, when you search for that fish, the image is what comes up, repeatedly. It is hard to know it is all f
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by seadan83 1y ago
An AI does not know what "fix" means, let alone be able to control anything that would physically fix the car. So, for an AI to fix a car means to give instructions on how to do that, in other words, reproduce pertinent parts of t
108.
by seadan83 1y ago
Lived in Paris 30 years ago, my experience: Seeing Gens D'Armes on the street was somewhat common. The Gens D'Armes are akin to 'heavy' police and are a show of force. The Gens D'Armes were pretty common to see in t
109.
by seadan83 1y ago
False dichotomy. - Recall back to the old republican party of just 20 years ago, GW Bush wanted a guest worker program. - Recall back to just a year and a half ago, a big bill was in congress to drastically ramp up employment laws and incre
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by seadan83 1y ago
The business and employee still pay many taxes, even if undocumented - so payroll taxes are still payed, "The IRS estimates that undocumented immigrants pay over $9 billion in withheld payroll taxes annually." [1] [1] https:&#x2F
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by seadan83 1y ago
Funny, I stayed at a hotel in a small town in Texas recently that was across the street from a construction site. The hotel owner said that since Trump was elected that occupancy was way down. Lots of the workers at the construction site we
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by seadan83 1y ago
I would quibble a bit with some of your examples, but I think the points are conveyed well. Though, it does seem ironic. A skeptic is someone that demands convincing evidence before believing an assertion. "AGI is around the corner&quo
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by seadan83 1y ago
IDK, my impression of the self driving car discussion 5 years ago were more akin to: "let us start designing AI only roads, get ready for no human drivers - they won't exist in 5 years! AI only cars will be so great, it will solve
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by seadan83 1y ago
The note on LLMs loving documentation is a solid gem, amongst others - thank you for the response.
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by seadan83 1y ago
I'm interested for you to elaborate a bit more! I'd like to see more clearly the connection of my statements and the argument for generalist over specialist. Overall, I think I'm arguing that you cannot become an expert witho
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by seadan83 1y ago
Second angle: > If your AI scaling statement is accurate then the problem will eventually solve itself as organizations that mandated AI usage will start to fall behind their non-AI mandating peers. I find one of the biggest differences
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by seadan83 1y ago
> If your AI scaling statement is accurate then the problem will eventually solve itself as organizations that mandated AI usage will start to fall behind their non-AI mandating peers. All things being equal, I would agree. Things are no
118.
by seadan83 1y ago
Skill retardation is actually beyond the point. I'm largely raising a counter example for why the following (rough paraphrasing) is not sound: "SOME people figured out how to use these tools to go 2x to 4x faster, you do the same,
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by seadan83 1y ago
Burning the furniture in your home is a force multiplier for your homes heating system. Get with the program, or find a new home.
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by seadan83 1y ago
(1) Depends on the society. We perhaps agree based on which society we are discussing, and who the terrorists are. (2) "Defending" soft targets I posit is just an impossible task unless society becomes so locked down that it is un

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