saulmunn

4 ms·

1. 1.▲
   Prediction Market Conference (R. Hanson, patio11, Manifold/Polymarket, more)(manifestconference.net)

   2 points by saulmunn 3y ago|0 comments
2. 2.▲
   by saulmunn 3y ago

   this isn't quite true -- on metaculus, accounts that have a history of forecasting things well are weighted more heavily