runako

36 ms·

631.
by runako 1y ago
Every set of deep field imagery reminds me that any point of light we see could be a star, a galaxy, or a cluster of galaxies. The universe is unimaginably vast. For observatories like Rubin, is there a plan for keeping them open after the
632.
by runako 1y ago
> rich white males are not a homogeneous group. Part of the backsliding is that the subset that is socially liberal is losing power, being replaced by those who seek to promote yet more restrictions on individual liberties. There's
633.
by runako 1y ago
> Full legalization is coming, one way or another I used to think this, and it may be true in the very long run. However, the country is clearly in the midst of a long pivot backwards. The current backsliding has been going on for the be
634.
by runako 1y ago
Understood. I am just making the latter argument that any head of state in a conflicted region must, as a matter of baseline sovereignty, pursue a nuclear deterrent. It’s clear at this point that such deterrent works, and it’s also not clea
635.
by runako 1y ago
Conflating things with nonproliferation detracts from the effort to prevent that singular threat. Now we are weighing the global, persistent threat of more nuclear weapons against regional terrorism and proving unable to decide which is mor
636.
by runako 1y ago
I agree with you about accidental detonation and nonproliferation in general. But it is also clear that enforcement of nonproliferation without similarly muscular enforcement of sovereignty in general creates a huge incentive for proliferat
637.
by runako 1y ago
If I’m a head of state in a contested region, I would read your post as an urgent appeal to make acquisition of nuclear capability as the top priority of the state. Nonproliferation via war is not a viable approach. This reminds me to read
638.
by runako 1y ago
Has anyone credible said/demonstrated that they have developed nuclear weapons? The US clearly does not believe they have operational nukes, or we would not have bombed them today. The actions undermine the official statements. Put in
639.
by runako 1y ago
Yes, the regime changed. Objectively, that is true. We agree on that. And then... the US lost nearly 5,000 service members in Iraq. We are still paying for the $3 trillion the war cost. Americans derived no benefit whatsoever from the chang
640.
by runako 1y ago
I do remember all of that. What happened next? Did it go to plan? Nearly to plan? Close enough to plan that one could kind of squint and give partial credit? Worse than that? Did the US lose more lives in Iraq (and kill more Iraqis) before
641.
by runako 1y ago
Huge difference here IMHO is that the west has been using this line for 40-50 years. At some point it's not "appeasement" and just "diplomacy between countries with differing values are complicated." Put another way
642.
by runako 1y ago
> The US does not just send B2 bombers without knowing it's going to work. I'm old enough to remember when we (the US) ran this exact playbook, except the last letter was 'q' instead of 'n'. Spoiler: the B-2
643.
by runako 1y ago
Probably not your intent, but this is a very clear summation of why it is is likely understood as critical to Iranian security to develop and publicly test a nuclear weapon.
644.
by runako 1y ago
> I'm not sure the US and Iran are really "at war right now" Curious about this. Are we not technically at war because they haven't retaliated yet? Americans definitely believed we were at war with Japan immediately a
645.
by runako 1y ago
AI gets top billing, but the assault via tax code on engineering employment is likely a bigger factor. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44226145
646.
by runako 1y ago
Obviously 200% is not realistic. But, entertaining the claim, even if you can do 200% annually, you still have to earn money in the near term unless you have a pot of cash so you can both invest and live.
647.
by runako 1y ago
Yes, but even with a margin account you still need money today and gains in the market take some time to accumulate from a small base.
648.
by runako 1y ago
200%/yr starting from $10,000 => still needs a day job for a number of years. This is why Wall Street is able to hire talented young traders, some of whom will develop profitable systems. Over time, some of them are able to amass en
649.
by runako 1y ago
> they bought the subscribers, funnel and team that built the business, not the code This is strikingly similar to just about every tech acquisition in history. Buyers purchase the assets, potentially including part of the team, needed t
650.
by runako 1y ago
My quibble is with naming choices and differentiating. Even here they are confusing: - o4 is reasoning - 4o is not They simply do not do a good job of differentiating. Unless you work directly in the field, it is likely not obvious what is
651.
by runako 1y ago
> Now cheaper than gpt-4o and same price as gpt-4.1 (!). This is where the naming choices get confusing. "Should" o3 cost more or less than GPT-4.1? Which is more capable? A generation 3 of tech intuitively feels less advanced
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by runako 1y ago
> it's still up in the air if they "missed" AI yet (like MS missed mobile) I think the clock on this won't start until someone ships something compelling that is not available on Apple devices. Currently, the leading
653.
by runako 1y ago
I think part of the problem is nobody has a clear vision of what "progress" would look like here. What is the thing that they should be shipping today that would get someone to upgrade their phone, or to switch to iPhone? Invertin
654.
by runako 1y ago
Company earns $X revenue. Company pays staff $Y in compensation to earn that revenue. Company pays other expenses of $Z. Company does not owe tax on $X, but rather on something closer to $X - $Y - $Z.
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by runako 1y ago
> other white collar work Some examples of white collar work that builds long-lived assets but where the work isn't required to be amortized over long periods of time: - marketing collateral development, unless it is done by enginee
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by runako 1y ago
Sharp contrast here with the aftermath of our bloodiest war.
657.
by runako 1y ago
Quick statistics I pulled[1]: In the US, 170 million people use TikTok. TikTok's US revenue reached $10 billion in 2024. US adult users spend an average of 53.8 minutes per day on TikTok. In 2024, TikTok was downloaded 875.67 million t
658.
by runako 1y ago
If you think no voters would be against the bill, I would suggest your model of our media landscape could use a refresher.
659.
by runako 1y ago
The President is ignoring a lot of laws of various vintages. That's not generally under the purview of Congress.
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by runako 1y ago
Did it have a larger financial impact than the tax code issue being discussed here? Absolutely not. It was higher profile because Congress decided it should be higher profile.

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