richard_craib

3 ms·

1. 1.▲
   Numerai Raises $30M at $500M to Expand Predictive LLM Team(blog.numer.ai)

   1 points by richard_craib 11mo ago|0 comments
2. 2.▲
   by richard_craib 10y ago

   You actually can't get that from the logloss number directly. However, ln(0.5) = 0.693... That's the logloss you'll get if you guessed randomly ie had no edge.
3. 3.▲
   by richard_craib 10y ago

   Check your coin toss math on 1000, 10000, 100000 predictions.
4. 4.▲
   by richard_craib 10y ago

   Every other machine learning competition I've seen is kind of one-off in nature. But stock market data is being generated all the time so I think there will always be new strategies to learn on Numerai.
5. 5.▲
   by richard_craib 10y ago

   It would be easy to match an obfuscated stock market dataset with some third party dataset, and this has happened on many Kaggle competitions (data leaks). That's why the encryption here is important.