rayiner

4 ms·

31.
by rayiner 8d ago
Because federal district court judges have a tremendous amount of power. You both don't want 10,000 of them running around and you don't want to water down the qualification for the position--if you did do that, then that would de
32.
by rayiner 8d ago
I'd love to get your thoughts on the current frontier models for law, or a link to anything you've written on the subject. Where do you think they're at?
33.
by rayiner 8d ago
Yes. And it would be the continuation of a trend that’s already been going on for two decades. When I started out as an associate at a fancy Wall Street firm, we had 30 people working on reviewing documents for this matter even that level o
34.
by rayiner 9d ago
I think "email" and "westlaw" fairly count as "the Internet." LLMs might be bigger than either of those.
35.
by rayiner 9d ago
It's really not. The legal system is slow and inefficient because it's a deeply pipelined system built to maximize the throughput of the bottleneck resource: judges. Judges are constitutional officers who exercise independent auth
36.
by rayiner 9d ago
LLMs are the first genuinely useful legal tech since the Internet. I'm pretty shocked, though, at the delta between how competent Claude is on code versus legal work. It's good for research and data organization, but terrible for
37.
by rayiner 9d ago
CourtListener already has an MCP interface and Grok is quite good at pulling from it. In my experience, Grok 4.6 is quite good at analyzing legal cases and human-written documents. Better than Opus 5. I'm not sure if it's better t
38.
by rayiner 9d ago
There’s no single point of download for it all because there’s thousands of autonomous entities that issue law and adjudicate cases, at least 51 of them distinct sovereign entities.
39.
by rayiner 9d ago
> El salvador has a dictator whose dragnet policy has locked up plenty of innocent people in a torture chamber without trial, or seemingly any chance of release That also describes European monarchs during the period when modern states w
40.
by rayiner 9d ago
Was that ever true of Italy as a whole? Or was it like the Yakuza, which exists but doesn’t affect your average person, at least in recent memory.
41.
by rayiner 9d ago
What you’re describing is feudalism, which Russia has never been able to shake. Russia remained stubbornly feudalist while other European countries were developing modern states, and it remains that way. But feudalism, where the government
42.
by rayiner 9d ago
Yes, most liberal or libertarian white people can’t look at a place like say Egypt and understand why a dictator like El-Sisi is genuinely popular. They don’t have the mental structures to even understand what they’re seeing in a society th
43.
by rayiner 9d ago
Americans and Western Europeans have no idea what it means to come from a country where the government can’t maintain a monopoly on violence, and when you say stuff like this it comes across as complaining about “first world problems.” Wha
44.
by rayiner 9d ago
People forget that California for most of the 20th century was a better-governed and more orderly version of what Texas is today. It had the elusive combination of cheap land, low taxes, and lax regulations on one hand, along with strong in
45.
by rayiner 9d ago
At peak career ages, the 75th percentile household income is almost $200k and the 90th percentile is almost $300k. That’s exactly the range you need to tax. Across all ages, households earning between $150k and $800k earn half of all income
46.
by rayiner 9d ago
Okay, but how much tax revenue was raised from those high marginal rates? The top rate is meaningless without knowing how much money that actually brings in for the government. That’s the key part of the analysis for purposes of this discus
47.
by rayiner 9d ago
No, U.S. benefits are at a typical level for an OECD country. The problem is the taxes. U.S. taxation is only 25% of GDP, versus 40% in western Europe. We could raise taxes $3 trillion annually and still be at the level of one of the more r
48.
by rayiner 10d ago
Our budget deficit is $2 trillion. To close it, you need to significantly raise taxes on the fattest part of the income curve, which is the top 25%. They have $10 trillion of income. https://taxfoundation.org/data/all&#
49.
by rayiner 10d ago
> And the country is run by a broken fool who has no interest or ability to fix any of that. Trump will be gone in three years, but you'll still have an electorate that wants more free stuff while also getting tax cuts. There is zer
50.
by rayiner 10d ago
[delayed]
51.
by rayiner 10d ago
Off-topic, but "Rheinmetall" is one of the coolest company names. It's like what a company that builds mechs would be called in an anime.
52.
by rayiner 11d ago
Throwing money at recent immigrants in return for votes was a pillar of the FDR coalition and it’s a core pillar of the Obama coalition. It’s simply inevitable as the culture of the United States converges to be similar to those of the othe
53.
by rayiner 11d ago
I’ve never heard of a tech worker get 0 days notice before their official termination date. They might be told to stop work on the same day, but their official termination is a month or two later and they get paid out for that period. For H
54.
by rayiner 11d ago
> If I recall though, you personally did support Obama? Which would make your point doubly moot. I did personally support Obama. I still think he was a pretty good President! I’m simply describing the chart I linked to of debt levels on
55.
by rayiner 11d ago
The current GOP plan is “if you can’t best them, join them.” So it’ll be a game of both sides buying votes from their constituencies until we need an Argentina-like reset.
56.
by rayiner 12d ago
> Another possibility could be interpreting the end of employment/expiration of the visa as the day your last paycheck is delivered I believe that’s already the law. https://www.uscis.gov/archive/options-for-non
57.
by rayiner 12d ago
Aren’t most tech companies subject to WARN act requirements of a 60-day notice period before layoffs? As I understand it, you’re technically employed during the period between the termination notice and official end of employment, even thou
58.
by rayiner 12d ago
The number of medical school spots is effectively capped by regulation, so there will be zero problems filling those slots. We have to integrate millions of immigrants and their children from Latin America who have come to the US over the l
59.
by rayiner 12d ago
What did people do before the grace period was implemented in January 17, 2017? There was no grace period under Clinton, Bush, and Obama (except for the last three days)
60.
by rayiner 12d ago
The grace period didn't even exist until 2017: https://www.regulations.gov/document/USCIS-2026-0364-0001 ("Before 2017, there was no grace period for nonimmigrant workers in E-1, E-2, E-3, H-1B, H-1B1, L-1, O

More ›