pmichaud

19 ms·

151.
by pmichaud 5y ago
I see this sentiment a lot, but it seems blatantly false. This assumes that employees are a fungible commodity whose price should be set by some efficient market rate, but that's not true at all. Under the current regime, the setup hel
152.
by pmichaud 5y ago
I think the point about seeing the state over time is a great one. But also I want to nitpick because the title is one of my “favorite” pet peeves: “The Unreasonable Effectiveness of ...” thing is now used (as in this article) by people who
153.
by pmichaud 5y ago
Yeah I guess I'm just surprised. It feels to me (who knows basically nothing about it) that it's been a pretty big problem for at least a few years, and it also seems like the combined buying power of the entire world's hardw
154.
by pmichaud 5y ago
Is there a good article around that explains the specific semiconductor bottlenecks everyone is facing right now? I’d like to know more. It seems like a huge opportunity, but also I am guessing it’s a very hard or impossible problem since i
155.
by pmichaud 5y ago
Sure, I can agree with that — it’s way too hard to prove a big system isn’t buggy. So then you also can’t use its output as evidence in court, right? You have to have other evidence that you can prove isn’t faulty. Can’t have it both ways.
156.
by pmichaud 6y ago
I’m not super sure I understand your point, but I think you’re saying that it’s possible to run a good replication attempt on a good study and still have it not replicate. I agree with that. I’m not super sure how to correctly estimate the
157.
by pmichaud 6y ago
This is a really great article, and one thing in particular that struck me was something super obvious in retrospect but that I didn’t think of before: Replicability doesn’t mean the study was right. If a study doesn’t replicate then it’s a
158.
by pmichaud 6y ago
The basic answer is that unlike humans, AIs will be able to recursively self improve (in principle).
159.
by pmichaud 6y ago
Thank you for this. Freud has a bad reputation among people who know nothing, but he was flawed genius who gave us the basis for what we do know about the mind. He’s only remembered for the goofy parts because the rest is just “how things o
160.
by pmichaud 6y ago
Edges case are hard — both you and HN are forgiven :)
161.
by pmichaud 6y ago
If they had used the ampersand it would have been perfect!
162.
by pmichaud 6y ago
No, sorry. I'm not trying to pitch a unified theory of writing pedagogy that precludes clickbait blogging. I'm trying to say that I think the actually most effective advice, on average, for an "intelligent and earnest person
163.
by pmichaud 6y ago
I wish I could find the source, but when I've looked into this in the past I was reasonably convinced that the population would go up a bit, but not catastrophically, with the basic idea being that people die all the time for lots of r
164.
by pmichaud 6y ago
(Just to be clear, I don't think it's "terrible advice," just not the most relevant for beginners.) I definitely recognize what you're talking about, but my sense is that there are two core problems of poor writing,
165.
by pmichaud 6y ago
The article seems like a caricature of itself, but to the sentiment of the title: the devil’s in the details. I think people tend to imagine Hemingway as spare prose and pithy sentences, and when they try to mimic their stereotype of him, t
166.
by pmichaud 6y ago
Definitely a case of Betteridge's Law.
167.
by pmichaud 6y ago
I'm well aware of the proxy metrics they chose, and have thought of several ways each could be juked. I'm talking about the heart of the matter which the proxies were selected to measure. You can reasonably dispute my claim about
168.
by pmichaud 6y ago
Just a glance at the map tells me they have zero credibility. My guess is not that they are overtly lying, just juking the stats, devising a test by which “the press” passes but which fails to capture the real heart of the question which is
169.
by pmichaud 6y ago
This comment seems really confused. It seems like you think Musk is “the richest human” in terms of liquid cash, and that that abundance of liquidity came from Tesla profits that could have been divvied up among the employees. Is that right
170.
by pmichaud 6y ago
> Private companies should be able to remove apps from their store. I don't know about that. It feels a little too close to Verizon cutting off a phone call to my friend because an employment or sentiment detection algo didn't
171.
by pmichaud 6y ago
Which part is not true in what way?
172.
by pmichaud 6y ago
Read the article, it weirdly shoehorns the “white male” thing in there between “we used savings when possible and worked 75 hour weeks until we had something to show.”
173.
by pmichaud 6y ago
I know nothing about this area, but I'm not actually sure why the author is so sure the American managers are wrong that there is a big difference between what they can do and what can be done in other countries? Labor laws and availab
174.
by pmichaud 6y ago
I think the deal with feedback loops is that the elements of the loop are mutually causal, which is what makes them feedback loops at all. Which one of the causes was first in history seems academic and immaterial if we're at t>0 an
175.
by pmichaud 6y ago
When I have this conversation with myself, here's what I come up with: Shouldn't we be allowed to everything into account when determining credit worthiness? Even if it's socially uncomfortable? We get locally more accurate p
176.
by pmichaud 6y ago
I know nothing, so here's a question: instead of framing it like the concrete harm was lack of profit (which is theoretical), could they frame it as the concrete harm being that robinhood turned the situation from potentially profitabl
177.
by pmichaud 6y ago
I haven't read the article yet, but I want to say that I do not find your educational attainment stat to be a compelling counter argument. I don't think earning a degree represents deep literacy anymore if it ever really did--cert
178.
by pmichaud 6y ago
My impression is that the word was popularized from mafia movies depicting Italian mafia guys saying it, and that it means like "understand?" or "get it?"
179.
by pmichaud 6y ago
I also want to know this. Here's what I made up in my head: Corporate managers and lawyers in particular have to constantly monitor for and defend against legal attacks, both legitimate and illegitimate. They have to stay on their toes
180.
by pmichaud 6y ago
You may be right, but I suspect the causality is reversed: maybe there's a widespread sense that good laws cannot be written because, empirically, the people who make laws do so in devastatingly dumb ways. Whatever issue will immediate

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