pmichaud

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181.
by pmichaud 6y ago
It was mostly a joke meant to play off the idea that avoiding a cult because it's something like superstitious is itself a superstitious action. But since the joke didn't go over and I'm in explainer mode anyway, the kernel o
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by pmichaud 6y ago
> Plus I avoid anything that's associated with the word cult A little superstitious, don't you think?
183.
by pmichaud 6y ago
I think part of the issue is that rampant innumeracy makes half-assed attempts at being data-driven actually worse than nothing. The reason is that without clean data we fall back to the old standard: gut feel + pet theories. Which of cours
184.
by pmichaud 6y ago
I think this sort of thing is not wrong, but it's very important to bear in mind survivorship bias: It's true that you probably need to push beyond normal limits to end up at the tails. It's also true that most people who do
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by pmichaud 6y ago
On priors and given how they sample, I'm guessing it's just p-hacking.
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by pmichaud 6y ago
You're probably right that sometimes people are hiding something from you. But I think a lot of the time it's more like "I have 10 people doing a bunch of things that vary over time and on a day to day basis, and what each of
187.
by pmichaud 6y ago
I think it's mostly the same reason sales people get paid a lot. It's that the calculation is straightforward and obvious, mostly because it never requires an exchange between conceptually different values. Adding translation step
188.
by pmichaud 6y ago
For what it's worth, I was the ED of the Center for Applied Rationality for a couple years, and I have basically the same criticism of the culture. You could fairly summarize a lot of conversations I've had as "Your study suc
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by pmichaud 6y ago
Is there an alternate source for this? It's how I got my news up until it shut down.
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by pmichaud 6y ago
That link is dead, I am interested though!
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by pmichaud 6y ago
I am going to be contrarian here, because this advice is misleadingly "obvious," and almost everyone is going to reflexively agree with it, because who wants to be the asshole making uncomfortable "jokes" about people&#x
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by pmichaud 6y ago
I imagine they are mostly for people who saw the talk and want a reminder or follow up?
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by pmichaud 6y ago
It is possible, and frequently done in higher quality handwriting style typefaces.
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by pmichaud 6y ago
That is called a "just so story": https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Just-so_story
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by pmichaud 6y ago
Why don't you just ask him directly?
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by pmichaud 6y ago
> letting the students take the test again Maybe you're not aware of how much time, energy, stress, etc go into taking these tests. Imagine if your university lost its records of your undergraduate degree and offered to fix the prob
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by pmichaud 6y ago
I think there are lots of reasons, some of which are unfortunate (eg. lock in), and some of which are great: we want a bunch of people trying novel things, and separately, one man's "versatile platform" is another man's
198.
by pmichaud 6y ago
I get what you're saying in the abstract, but when I try to imagine it concretely, it stops making sense to me. Eg. a person is using a sex toy and tries to make it vibrate a certain way, but an attacker has caused it vibrate a differe
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by pmichaud 7y ago
I am looking forward to having an e-ink monitor that I can write on (in the sense of using a word processor and looking at it through an eink monitor).
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by pmichaud 7y ago
I saw a mountain lion stalking some deer in Muir woods. He stalked slowly as you might expect, but he didn't get the deer.
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by pmichaud 7y ago
I think I can explain a little, but caveat is that it's a little bit of the blind leading the blind, ie. this isn't my field, but I work with people who are working on this and they have talked to me a little about it. Declarative
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by pmichaud 7y ago
I'm not a devops person at all, but this pile of abstractions seems like it's going the wrong way. Like, this seems almost like a parody? You have this problem where you want to set up infrastructure in an abstract way, so you com
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by pmichaud 7y ago
To be clear, my information is out of date because I don't do this kind of work anymore, but my understanding is that it's largely the same now. 1. I know because I sold to my list, and the people who signed up from intrusive sign
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by pmichaud 7y ago
Yeah, I wonder if there's an "optimal target" for the number of layers up and down you'd ideally be aware of. It has to be at least yours, and ones immediately above and below, but I see innovation coming from people wit
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by pmichaud 7y ago
The basic reason this is incredibly tempting to do is that it works. Not just a little, but it works radically better than the alternative or politely or subtly asking or providing the option tastefully at the bottom of the article or whate
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by pmichaud 7y ago
Look, I get that you mean that it's worth paying a high cost to stop all that suffering, but the cost not nothing. The reason it's important to me to say so is that at some point, some actual people with actual (limited) resourc
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by pmichaud 7y ago
The explanation is that the antarctic tectonic plate wasn't where it is now. Plus we've been in an ice age for like 2.5 million years. So when the plate that currently covers the south pole was closer to the equator and the temper
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by pmichaud 7y ago
Sure, I'm happy to take a look. Not sure what your email is, mine is in my profile.
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by pmichaud 7y ago
I really like that quote! I think your steps are a decent approximation, but I don't think they are fully general. For example, sometimes clarifying the details and reality of a conflict causes the conflict to be more directly inflamma
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by pmichaud 7y ago
I think it's probably more than just that. I think when applied ideally, NVC is just a method of character development. I think the point of the format is to create internal clarity about what is happening inside you (your beliefs and

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