pembrook

4 ms·

1.
by pembrook 7d ago
Can you articulate those differences? Most people aren't aware of the prevalence of stock imagery during the 2000s. AI is just synthetic stock images, which I have zero problem with. Artists with taste are the ones creating the best AI
2.
by pembrook 7d ago
True, but whats even dumber is that 99% of the use cases people are getting angry at would never be given to a real designer anyway (too low value). The funniest genre of AI backlash imo is normies yelling at small businesses for using AI o
3.
by pembrook 7d ago
Did you think the same thing when Photoshop became mainstream? Did you even realize basically all commercial images you've seen for the last 30 years were already heavily modified?
4.
by pembrook 7d ago
I propose we change the HN rules to allow for amusingly sarcastic rebuttals to bad one sentence comments, like this one. If anyone downvotes you I will defend your honor.
5.
by pembrook 7d ago
No thanks. Given the fact that humans reach emotional conclusions first, and then only accept evidence that justifies already-held beliefs, it would be a waste of time to try to change your mind.
6.
by pembrook 9d ago
The only valid tone to take with people who are on a crusade to ban encryption is disdain and mockery.
7.
by pembrook 9d ago
Yes there’s never been division or wars in Europe and the EU will always exist… Germany and France in a debt spiral and turning inward/hyper-nationalist while massively re-militarizing means the EU is a safe place to structure your dat
8.
by pembrook 9d ago
Ahhh the downside of “data sovereignty” rules and the de-globalization meme strikes again. I’d bet a bajillion dollars the reason this happened is due to government thinking it’s a good idea to make it illegal to store data outside their c
9.
by pembrook 12d ago
You and I both know who all these names are without needing explanation. Podcasts are the mainstream media now. CNN also has had Alex Jones on.
10.
by pembrook 12d ago
I just solved the famous 1917 Ricardo Meechum Conjecture with Astra. Trust me when I say it’s super important to a niche area of physics. People have spent their whole careers trying to solve it. What people? Well you or I have never met th
11.
by pembrook 12d ago
Going on Joe Rogan and having a million YouTube followers is absolutely the modern definition of mainstream. Also you appear to have been living in a different algorithmic bubble. Joe Biden was literally on stage multiple times saying every
12.
by pembrook 12d ago
It appears you are living in a different algorithmic reality. The root cause of everything going wrong in Germany is the war and cutting themselves off from Russian energy. The rapid de-industrialization, economic stagnation, ballooning d
13.
by pembrook 13d ago
I agree the EU actually stepping up and entering the war in a serious way would tilt everything in Ukraine's favor. The problem is they just won't. The most important members of the EU (Germany and France) are in shambles domestic
14.
by pembrook 13d ago
It sounds like your whole position is again dependent on the west's wishful thinking narratives of this war being true (which it hasn't been thus far). The numbers I cited were purposely in between the Russian numbers of Ukrainian
15.
by pembrook 13d ago
Because while Russia was in a way stronger position than western media was portraying, they don't have an infinite capacity for pain. They would absolutely love to not be sending their kids to die and selling natural resources to whome
16.
by pembrook 13d ago
So to clarify...your position is that: it's better that Ukraine has been completely decimated and half a million have died fighting an un-winnable war...instead of taking lesser concessions upfront than they will ultimately have to mak
17.
by pembrook 13d ago
Mainstream narratives for the first year or two of the war were: - Russia was a paper tiger and weak - Ukraine was going to win against a corrupt/unmotivated Russian military so it should keep fighting - Putin had made an error and he
18.
by pembrook 13d ago
To be fair, his takes on the Ukraine war from the covid days have aged very well, and were contrarian to mainstream narratives at the time.
19.
by pembrook 13d ago
I don't agree with Sacks always but he's 100% correct here. I heavily use frontier models daily, and quite frankly their capabilities are just not very relevant outside of a narrow subset of software engineering tasks and the prod
20.
by pembrook 15d ago
Do you care to elaborate on what “this” is that is so bad? And just out of curiosity, have you come to this opinion independently through your own research? Or is this just regurgitated sentiment you’re memetically repeating to signal in-gr
21.
by pembrook 15d ago
Yes and Nordea has predicted housing prices will start to climb again every quarter for the last 3 years. Next quarter I guess! Electricity demand will likely stay well under the lower end of those estimates, but its good that estimating is
22.
by pembrook 15d ago
Coal usage is rapidly declining in Estonia too: https://www.enerdata.net/estore/energy-market/estonia/
23.
by pembrook 15d ago
Finland’s electricity consumption is not projected to rise rapidly. Finlands energy use in general is in decline, their economy isn’t growing and neither is their population: https://www.treasuryfinland.fi/annualreview2022
24.
by pembrook 15d ago
Finland doesn't get the rest of its power from coal, they're one of the greenest energy markets on the planet.
25.
by pembrook 15d ago
Before the American tinfoil-hat data center nuts comes out in force: - This is a plant that was going to be decommissioned without investment - Finland is a rational country due to their small size and unfortunate proximity to Russia. They
26.
by pembrook 15d ago
What details of the criticism? The comment I replied to had nothing to rebuttal, it was communicating a general mood with zero supporting evidence.
27.
by pembrook 16d ago
Some things have objectively gotten worse. Not EVERYTHING as this site would lead you to believe.
28.
by pembrook 16d ago
If even their modest scenario becomes consensus by next year, the market will 2X or more. They could easily leverage that to 10X returns. Their business is not going to 10X cash flows next year, so yes, that would be the smart move if they
29.
by pembrook 16d ago
"We're confident our technology will 10X GDP growth, we just need you to disable javascript first. That one we couldn't figure out."
30.
by pembrook 16d ago
Because the market is forward-looking, and brings all future cashflows to the present. If it became clear by 2027 that GDP growth would permanently reach 15% (I didn't make that absurdly stupid chart, they did), S&P 500 valuations

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