overgard

19 ms·

361.
by overgard 4mo ago
Elon Musk just got the rules of the NASDAQ changed so he can more or less force index funds to buy his shell company and take money from people's 401k. Feels very grifty to me.
362.
by overgard 4mo ago
Saying its going to be 1500 a month across the board is highly speculative. How many companies can even demonstrate that they're getting more than 18000 dollars a year in surplus value per employee by using this tech?
363.
by overgard 4mo ago
Sheer volume of adoption is fairly forced though - "use it or you're fired, and tokenmaxx the hell out of it". Most the people I know outside of tech don't seem to be particularly captured by it, if they use it at all.
364.
by overgard 4mo ago
Right, because markets are always rational and nobody gets greedy and ignores the skeptics until things are out of hand. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tulip_mania
365.
by overgard 4mo ago
I see little evidence that people combine all three positions together. You're making a broad generalization based on personal vibes.
366.
by overgard 4mo ago
Except inference has been getting more expensive, not less
367.
by overgard 4mo ago
So here's the thing. I am not generally an angry person. But Ed's writing really resonates with me, because for the last four years these people have been making a strategy of scaring the shit out of us while trying to ruin someth
368.
by overgard 4mo ago
It turns out I am any given person
369.
by overgard 4mo ago
> If you are a consumer and you have a Mac or an iPhone, what do you need from AI that Apple's new offering won't provide Honestly, I don't think I need anything from AI at all. It's a convenience but it doesn'
370.
by overgard 4mo ago
I'm pretty sure he's full of shit and has zero real intention of building orbital data centers. It makes for a good headline, which is what these AI companies are in the business of. The math doesn't math and the logistics of
371.
by overgard 4mo ago
AFAIK the Colossus data center was more or less "brute force" when it comes to building a datacenter fast -- ie it was very expensive and they cut some pretty ugly corners (their generators are "temporary" to get around
372.
by overgard 4mo ago
I feel like I spend a lot more time reviewing and fixing the output of it and debugging parts it can't debug, so to me a faster model is optimizing the part that is already pretty fast. If my job were greenfield stuff I would probably
373.
by overgard 4mo ago
Pretty cool, although I can't help but think this would be a very easy to way rack up a GARGANTUAN bill. That company that blew 500 million on Claude in a month might have competition soon..
374.
by overgard 4mo ago
I tend to be cynical about AI companies, but I'm guessing the bad estimates more just come from a complete lack of actual data it could use for that so it's more or less a hallucination.
375.
by overgard 4mo ago
Facebook, when it was only-for-college-students was a much nicer/more social experience. Once it became a general social network it really fell off the cliff in quality, in my opinion. Like, when I had 30 friends and I actually knew th
376.
by overgard 4mo ago
I'm old enough to remember life before internet/social media (40ish). One thing that's weird now, to me, is that it's very rare that I'm outright bored, but it's like that boredom just became diffuse into every
377.
by overgard 4mo ago
Maybe the useful distinction isn't "is it a social site?" but rather "is the content curated or user created?". Anything that's user created is going to have the issues described I think, whether you consider i
378.
by overgard 4mo ago
Because the key press is ambiguous and probably unintentional if nothing is open. If the question is "play what?" then it shouldn't guess
379.
by overgard 4mo ago
My experience is in doing this with Claude/Codex/OpenCode with a pretty rigorous setup (AGENTS.md/CLAUDE.md for specific subfolder rules, strict compile/test/lint rules. This isn't me copy-pasting from web chat
380.
by overgard 4mo ago
Man, I wish. It used to be that, but I suspect now that there's a lot of astroturfing and probably bots.
381.
by overgard 4mo ago
"Clever" is not a word you want to hear in front of accounting..
382.
by overgard 4mo ago
That's the problem, even with an LLM, removing a feature two weeks later can be a nightmare because things have grown to depend on it. In a way it's even harder because the velocity of stuff piling in is much greater.
383.
by overgard 4mo ago
Definitely agree with this. Even without a large backlog, one of the things I find working on my personal project/product where I'm simultaneously the engineer/designer/project manager is it's really easy to ask the
384.
by overgard 4mo ago
I feel like with the hype cycle and constant publishing of sketchy claims that I pretty much daily have an "oh shit" moment followed by a "nope, everything is about the same" moment. It's frankly exhausting. It&#x27
385.
by overgard 4mo ago
I mean, I don't think commits are the place for tool attributions. I want to know what the change was, I'm not really interested in your tool selection (put that in the PR if it's relevant). It'd be just as irrelevant to
386.
by overgard 4mo ago
FWIW, I asked ChatGPT to review the article just for my amusement. It's conclusion was: "My honest assessment is that this is a competent calculation performed on a badly confounded measurement, followed by conclusions substantial
387.
by overgard 4mo ago
The TLDR seems to be: needs more data.
388.
by overgard 4mo ago
LLMs are interesting tech wrapped in a movement that's so toxic and destructive that it's hard to separate the baby from the bathwater. I think chatting to a statistical model is neat and sometimes useful, but not at the cost of m
389.
by overgard 4mo ago
Autocomplete can predict the next token without understanding. It's a matter of probability. LLM's predict the next token with much more accuracy because they have much more data on token spatial relationships. To me that's n
390.
by overgard 4mo ago
My phrasing could have been better. Yes, I get the cloud is doing the "thinking", but what's "experiencing" in the sense of consciousness? There's no stable identity for the consciousness because it runs in dif

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