oezi

54 ms·

931.
by oezi 3y ago
The assumption is that the price trajectories represent profitable investments at a given time.
932.
by oezi 3y ago
Aren't electric cars thought to be a big part of the battery/storage solution? You can charge the cars at night and draw power when other consumers are peaking? I think the trajectories for solar are so strong that we will stop ta
933.
by oezi 3y ago
I just recently read that heat pumps are beating gas furnaces already and on the price trajectories of renewables will be winning easily in the future. We won't need to focus on the hard things as long as we have sufficient easy things
934.
by oezi 3y ago
We are fast approaching the point where renewables are cheaper than fossils. Why would anybody invest in them anymore?
935.
by oezi 3y ago
It is very likely that you will just point it to the docs of an API and it will create plugins from it. There is no business model for plugins. For APIs it could lead to increased use, but only if the cost is really marginal.
936.
by oezi 3y ago
The developed countries have made tremendous strides to reduce CO2 while continuing to grow. China is also investing heavily in reducing their dependency on fossil imports.
937.
by oezi 3y ago
We have the power to change it. It is estimated to cost between 2-6% of global GDP each year until 2050 to prevent exceeding 1.5 C. Costly, but not insanely so. We spend more on quite a lot of things.
938.
by oezi 3y ago
All the plug-in authors are just teaching OpenAI how to generate plug-ins automatically.
939.
by oezi 3y ago
I think Sony was happy with PSVR sales. Everyone else burned money. A headset which is half the weight, double the resolution and still cheap would sell well.
940.
by oezi 3y ago
8 USD for the video see through cameras is a big disappointment. So this definitely won't do any AR/MR.
941.
by oezi 3y ago
Doing any fitness activity under sweaty VR googles is a fucking pain. None of the display tech is providing sufficient FPS to allow any sort of jittery sports movement without causing people to be sick. Watching TV in VR also is highly unco
942.
by oezi 3y ago
Spending 2% of GDP on something wouldn't cause a recession. It might even be more of a stimulus.
943.
by oezi 3y ago
You should repeat this experiment by feeding the answer of a GPT instance to another one as an input and let it judge the correctness.
944.
by oezi 3y ago
I think we are just seeing Dunning-Kruger in the machine. It doesn't know that it doesn't know.
945.
by oezi 3y ago
It would just take 2-6% of GDP per year to achieve net zero by 2050. This would avert going over 1.5C.
946.
by oezi 3y ago
I don't think it is implausible. If engineers come to management at Google and ask for 4 bn to do a moonshoot 6 month AI training run, then such a smoke screen statement can be highly effective. Even if they delay their plans for 4 wee
947.
by oezi 3y ago
There is an argument that Altman's statement is just trying to distract competitors from outspending OpenAI. Prior to GPT-4 there was no indications that there are diminishing returns (at least on a log scale). The tremendous progress
948.
by oezi 3y ago
I am curious why you think this. A basic prompt of pointing out ambiguities should get you quite far. I am pretty sure LLMs would be great to turn regular English into ACE including resolving detected ambiguities.
949.
by oezi 3y ago
I think it is a mistake to consider this an inherent weakness of LLMs. Nothing precludes a system architecture for a next generation LLM to have loops for rationality or morality reasoning which filter the output. We are likely to see many
950.
by oezi 3y ago
In the age of LLMs this seems like a waste of time to even think about constraining and formalizing languages. Why should human users restrict themselves in their expression if LLM systems can easily point out any remaining ambiguities?
951.
by oezi 3y ago
I see absolutely no reason (except cost) that LLM interfaces shouldn't utilize an internal dialog which is hidden from the user and which can be queried from the first layer of interaction and potentially vice versa. This would emulate
952.
by oezi 3y ago
Nobody is trying to sue 9 year old you. But we have come to the point where we disapprove (rightly so) of those who put a 15 year old in the spot so that 9 year olds would objectify her.
953.
by oezi 3y ago
I am not sure that this is a general compression ability. Mapping song lyrics to emojis and uncovering the lyrics from those emojis wouldn't work for most text I believe.
954.
by oezi 4y ago
Rando edits by pedantic a*-hats who don't care about the actual topic but their weird crusade. /s
955.
by oezi 4y ago
Why focus on a technology of the past when it all just takes continuous investment of a couple percent of GDP into renewables? Nuclear takes so long to build it doesn't help at all.
956.
by oezi 4y ago
You mention price as a motivation to build allquiet. I have been happy the last couple of years with https://simplepush.io/ which is 12.49$ per year (and similarly app only).
957.
by oezi 4y ago
Americans are also notorious for spending their money and not having experienced the destruction of private property during WW2 and communism are sitting on a larger pile of inherited wealth. The median income is just 20-30% higher compared
958.
by oezi 4y ago
I found that GPT-4 is surprisingly trustworthy for my queries which are mostly programming related and focused on common libraries (nothing too esoteric). The reason why instead of having 60 google searches in a day, I now have frequently l
959.
by oezi 4y ago
Surprising, given that ChatGPT has replaced between 50% and 75% of my searches by volume.
960.
by oezi 4y ago
Most developed countries spend something like 12% of GDP on pensions. You would have to tighten the belt on those generations who caused the climate catastrophy not shut down pernsions.

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