npunt

11 ms·

121.
by npunt 1y ago
(OP makes a good point, just going on a slight tangent here) We really need a term that sits between correlation and causation in situations where data is difficult to come by. There's such a huge rift of meaning between these terms, a
122.
by npunt 1y ago
They're setting up a pretty simple EV calc: (Probability of not getting away with it) 0.01 * (Cost if caught) 1000 = 10x (Expected Cost) = not worth it
123.
by npunt 1y ago
Those two examples relied on heavy investment over many years by the worlds sole superpower to bounce back. See the Marshall Plan and MacArthur’s reconstruction of Japan. These things do not happen automatically, and unlike those examples
124.
by npunt 1y ago
Yeah, many people on HN act like temporarily embarrassed monopolists, ala Steinbeck [1] [1] https://margins.app/america-and-americans-and-select/w/f395d...
125.
by npunt 1y ago
Not quite apples to apples tho because you have to take into consideration what was known at the time each theory was developed (the input), not just the output. Theory A: fits 7 known predictions but also makes a not-yet-verified predictio
126.
by npunt 1y ago
Love it. Immediately reminded of the text filters back in the day like the pirate one that would drop letters and replace with apostrophes and change certain passages into "arr" or "yarr matey"
127.
by npunt 1y ago
At first glance its like Hollywood movies announcing they're the best selling of all time, ignoring inflation. In other words a ratchet just to get clicks. However this is relevant because this is an investor report helping people fore
128.
by npunt 1y ago
Monochrome CRT phosphors like P4 (zinc sulfide w silver) have longer persistence than ones used in color CRTs, so flicker is less noticeable.
129.
by npunt 1y ago
I think of it as being reactively empathetic instead of proactively empathetic. Comes from a place of incuriosity and probably fear of mortality and bursting the just world fallacy, among other things. It's a bummer so many are so stin
130.
by npunt 1y ago
If you ever find it, folks at https://68kmla.org should be able to help
131.
by npunt 1y ago
I see this a lot in vintage computing. What we want is the feelings we had back then, the context, the growing possibilities, youth, the 90s, whatever. What we get is a semi-working physical object that we can never quite fix enough to reli
132.
by npunt 1y ago
When the panopticon eventually processes all if its collected data, and winds up scoring you as above some threshold of having the wrong opinions, or being associated with those who do, you may come to a different conclusion. We're now
133.
by npunt 1y ago
Hah quite the oversight! To put a spin on an old saying, a little math is a dangerous thing .
134.
by npunt 1y ago
Something I haven't seen emphasized enough with this move is that by obfuscating a drive's vendor and manufacture date, you won't know if your drives are from the same batch. This is important because if there's any ma
135.
by npunt 1y ago
Great read, thanks for the info. These things really are complex and worth withholding judgment until we really have a grasp of the specifics. This may have changed my mind about it. One thing I wonder about with various regs is whether the
136.
by npunt 2y ago
Wow gorgeous vis and the restorer put in a ton of work to make it a bit of their own especially with the color variants. Kudos to them! Probably going to buy this. As a whole the piece is amazing, but when zooming in on the details, the dig
137.
by npunt 2y ago
Agree to disagree about economies of scale, but FYI busses are ~$500k and seat ~40, meaning ~$12.5k/person. There are a dozen manufacturers of electric 2 seaters today that can build for a quarter of the cost per person, or half if you
138.
by npunt 2y ago
> I can't imagine any of that since it relies on >99% of cars being self-driving whereas currently <1% are Technology famously has a linear adoption curve, and convenience is famously not something that drives adoption /s
139.
by npunt 2y ago
Hear me out, I've spent years thinking about this :) Yes, past underinvestment is bad. And yes, initially they are a band-aid, until yes they do become critical. My excitement for self-driving tech isn't about the short term chang
140.
by npunt 2y ago
¯\_(ツ)_/¯ I'd like to think there's more efficiency to be gained when the scale is city-wide rather than a small subset of demand being attended to reactively. Ideally this would be a municipal fleet and transportation just a
141.
by npunt 2y ago
Up to 30% of cars on city streets at any given time are looking for parking [1]. Cars are also the least utilized asset class, being parked 95% of the time [2]. AVs, by virtue of being able to coordinate fleet-wide and ability to park anyw
142.
by npunt 2y ago
Generalizing across novel environments is optimal, but I'm not sure the bar needs to be that high to unlock a huge amount of value. We're probably well past the point where removing all human-driven vehicles (besides bikes) from c
143.
by npunt 2y ago
The article could be wrong as bucketing by %tile excludes the un-served. It could be that the 16 modem can serve ppl that are otherwise out of range for 16e, just at super low speeds. If a lot of 16 users are in places the 16e doesn't
144.
by npunt 2y ago
In my head canon Monster Cables pivoted to become Monster Energy and justified it to shareholders as 'we're still in the business of getting people wired'
145.
by npunt 2y ago
Oof didn't even notice the latter part. Also when saying "change" it shows you every alarm you have (even if they're disabled, I have like 10) and forces you to interact with it on screen. There's no voice-only inte
146.
by npunt 2y ago
My Siri experience last night as I was going to bed, not wanting to look at my device before I closed my eyes: 'set my alarm to 10am' Rather than realize it was late at night and I was referring to my normal wakeup alarm, Siri add
147.
by npunt 2y ago
I've been thinking the same thing! The app should have protocol templates for whatever intervention I'm testing, what outcomes I should track, and what confounds might be. And if it isn't part of the templates, help me develo
148.
by npunt 2y ago
If you want the best UX for tracking and easiest/fastest Goodreads importer try https://margins.app (disclosure: I'm the designer)
149.
by npunt 2y ago
"A little knowledge is a dangerous thing" is an apt quote here. You understand R values but don't seem to be factoring in mutation rates once a virus jumps species.
150.
by npunt 2y ago
Agree, that's the only sane way to approach things. I worry that it's already relatively rare for people to realize that problems in general can be multi-causal, let alone that we can approach problems as probabilistically multi-c

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