notahacker

8 ms·

91.
by notahacker 3mo ago
I haven't claimed infallibility though, I've even explicitly pointed out that if we choose to take the climate sceptic blog's claims that 3 planes landing some distance away from the weather station added 1.3 degrees to th
92.
by notahacker 3mo ago
I mean, it's better faith in the original argument which was a bunch of ludicrous FUD blaming measurement error for climate change, as if thermometers hadn't been located near heat islands and airports for decades and crank blogs
93.
by notahacker 3mo ago
Your argument for "the appearance of long term climate change can be caused by immigration" is that an individual high temperature was recorded at an RAF base, ironically one of the places in the country you're least likely t
94.
by notahacker 3mo ago
OK, got you. Clearly everywhere that recorded record temperatures last month was either next to a runway or in heat islands (which we definitely haven't had for decades) or in someone's garden, whereas all the historical benchma
95.
by notahacker 3mo ago
Yes, I'm sure the reason the UK had its hottest mean June temperature ever and recorded its highest ever June temperature in the village of Lingwood, Norfolk is all down to how many weather stations are located next to runways .
96.
by notahacker 3mo ago
Feels like both the sycophancy and the nitpicking come from it being a RLHF-ed probabilistic model of text continuations, in which generating a continuation which politely pointing out common minor errors is generally treated as an optimal
97.
by notahacker 3mo ago
That's the least practical solution of all (I say that as one of the few people in the world actually working on an orbital recycling project), especially if your technical advantage is launch, not inference chip manufacture. Apart fro
98.
by notahacker 3mo ago
And much more accessible too. We should all go there and enjoy it's long, warm summery evening.
99.
by notahacker 3mo ago
The Tynwald evolved from a jury into a legislature, didn't admit its first elected member until 1866, its first few hundred years of existence are assumed rather than documented, and actual power resided with a mixture of kings (most
100.
by notahacker 3mo ago
This has been done on HN a few times. The heat dissipation argument is a solved problem with known physics, it's just that pointing out the inefficiency of radiative cooling is the correct response to the daft claim that "space is
101.
by notahacker 3mo ago
tbf people familiar with how much of a non-event launches being scrubbed are could buy into the stock, if they didn't think it was still overvalued...
102.
by notahacker 3mo ago
22 year olds lucky or gifted enough to be able to borrow 10x the national average earnings from a boss paying them a high enough salary to expect repayment within five years would to be able to think about buying a small house in an outer s
103.
by notahacker 3mo ago
The price of bananas is generally likely to fluctuate less as a result of shorts, futures etc. The distinction between investing vs gambling and positives and negatives sounds like more the subject of a PhD thesis than an HN comment! At s
104.
by notahacker 3mo ago
Well yes, to the extent the possibility to do that helps stop silly price spikes from a very short term shortage of bananas.
105.
by notahacker 3mo ago
It's been widely reported that the coach of a side that lost in unfortunate circumstances to Argentina whinged a lot about the match officials disallowing one of his side's goals. This is normal, as is media reporting on silly con
106.
by notahacker 3mo ago
If you're confident the price of bananas will fall tomorrow you absolutely can sign a contract to deliver bananas next week at the current price and then buy them when the price drops...
107.
by notahacker 3mo ago
This assumes that SpaceX's decision maker decides to prioritise cuts to repay bondholders over R&D to see if they can innovate their way to bigger profits, which doesn't seem a sure bet (tbh I'd put SpaceX under its curre
108.
by notahacker 3mo ago
It's not at all surprising: the seeded the winners and the three highest ranked teams to make it impossible for them to meet until this stage if they won their group in the group stage, with the group stage having its own seeding syste
109.
by notahacker 3mo ago
They've even described how they overfitted it! For five world cups, a simple model based on ranking and goal difference in the group stages[1] predicted it four times, so they invented a somewhat subjective variable on defensive stren
110.
by notahacker 3mo ago
yeah, as the article said bond prices have fallen slightly over the time period but this is much more bond buyers seeing increased risk SpaceX isn't going to have the cashflow or ease of further equity raises to pay them back in the lo
111.
by notahacker 3mo ago
I still remember one of the characters in the book being awestruck by the number of Cray supercomputers the park had, and certain this must mean they were doing something really, really significant Even by the time of the film regular consu
112.
by notahacker 3mo ago
Can't do that, I'm still in hiding from GPT-3 trying to kill us all.
113.
by notahacker 3mo ago
Ok, fair enough theyre not entirely opposed to outsiders setting up research institutes like theirs and enjoy debate (or the optics of debate) more than most, and I don't think most of them are insincere. But the point wasn't that
114.
by notahacker 3mo ago
I mean, they're also gearing up for one of the largest IPOs in history to generate unprecedented amounts of wealth for themselves, and the nonprofit foundation's focus is community engagement with OpenAI products. Goldman Sachs ha
115.
by notahacker 3mo ago
It doesn't seem at all strange to me that a chatbot trained by true believers in an AI singularity and the importance of safety guardrails will give more satisfying answers to true believers in an AI singularity and the importance of s
116.
by notahacker 3mo ago
An important adjacent point is the same people that are insisting that only their research can stop intelligent manipulative computers from controlling the human race are also some of the few people who believed that OpenAI was a philanthro
117.
by notahacker 3mo ago
Yeah, autonomous shipping makes sense for naval/coastguard drones but not much else. Shipping companies can pay most of the staff Filipino wages, and they run around doing all sorts of maintenance tasks, not just navigation and contro.
118.
by notahacker 3mo ago
People vastly overestimate the subjective importance of the internet if they think people with relatively little historic exposure to and practical use for the internet would rather go hungry or have a worse marriage for their daughter to
119.
by notahacker 3mo ago
Not gonna lie, I'd rather attack with 26 fighters that haven't survived lots of jump attempts than 8 who are much more confident in their motorbike stunt riding but presumably still aren't bulletproof. But maybe they could as
120.
by notahacker 3mo ago
Founders decide they want to do other things with their lives all the time, and in the case of komoot reportedly exited at a €300m valuation for a company that had raised very little VC money, which is going to tempt most people no matter h

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