nostrademons

1152 ms·

2971.
by nostrademons 6y ago
That was deliberate. The point of this sub-thread is that historical narratives get written and re-written by the victors, and the "right" side of history depends on when you're located in history. Tecumseh and Sitting Bull
2972.
by nostrademons 6y ago
To elaborate on aazaa's comment: think of the labels "patriot" and "terrorist" and think of how frequently they correlate with "winner" and "loser". The Founding Fathers were patriots, because Am
2973.
by nostrademons 6y ago
Counterpoint: When I was leaving Google the first time, I asked my skip lead (who was employee #48 there, ended up running all of Search, and was previously a core HotSpot engineer at Sun) why he chose to work at a small startup when, comin
2974.
by nostrademons 6y ago
Though one plus side of that is that it reallocates resources from capturing the value the rich control towards capturing the value that's been distributed to the poor. Right now few bright folks are interested in revolutionizing affor
2975.
by nostrademons 6y ago
If you are in a position where promotion matters you are probably not in a position where you can choose the language that you're working with (other than by switching to a new position). If your goal is to get a new programming langua
2976.
by nostrademons 6y ago
> But, if I didn't know the results of the election, I don't think I could even take a guess looking at that map. Like he said, "most accurate and easiest to understand". ;-)
2977.
by nostrademons 6y ago
To add to jjoonathan's point, I'll share an interesting observation about the Bay Area housing market: The Bay Area has a number of little-known unincorporated enclaves that are often located within incorporated cities. Places
2978.
by nostrademons 6y ago
The direction of causality matters though. "Houses will become cheap" and "CPI will catch up" mean very different things for the average new family trying to afford a house. The first is cause for celebration; the seco
2979.
by nostrademons 6y ago
The big tech companies have plenty of satellite offices, though. If you want to work for Google but need to stay in NYC, Boston, Pittsburgh, Chicago, Santa Monica, Seattle, Boulder, Austin, etc. for whatever reason, you can totally do that
2980.
by nostrademons 6y ago
My sense is that the folks buying $2M+ homes in the Bay Area or $1M+ homes in Tahoe have enough money in the bank that they could just rebuild in cash on the off chance that their home gets burned down. At that price point you're larg
2981.
by nostrademons 6y ago
The way to rise in your career is to work on a string of high-value projects, not to slave away on the same codebase for years. When a VP has a great idea that needs a prototype delivered in 2 weeks, who is he going to go to? The engineer
2982.
by nostrademons 6y ago
False dichotomy fallacy. AVs are great. There's a way to test them that doesn't involve killing people: you put a safety driver in the car, make sure that they're attentive at all times, and record what the car's softw
2983.
by nostrademons 6y ago
Also don't need to have clocks at all, which was an industrial-age invention. The concept of standardized time and hour-long timezones dates from the mid-1800s, and was a construct of the railways (which needed to publish schedules th
2984.
by nostrademons 6y ago
"Move fast and break things." I really don't understand how a company can get away with using its customers as QA when they sell products that can kill people . It's one thing if it's a website for throwing virtua
2985.
by nostrademons 6y ago
Also relevant: look at the Google Trends graph for "loss of taste", both over time and the geographic distribution: https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?q=loss%20of%20taste...
2986.
by nostrademons 6y ago
They take the interpretation of tax laws and your personal situation that is most favorable to the IRS, though. This can amount to tens of thousands of dollars that you pay them needlessly. I missed the back of a capital gains worksheet on
2987.
by nostrademons 6y ago
Life expectancy among the homeowning demographic (~top 3 income quintiles) averages about 85: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4866586/ Barring things like a mass COVID die-off (certainly possible
2988.
by nostrademons 6y ago
There's perhaps some regional confusion here. In the U.S, with conventional 30-year fixed mortgages, amortization and term are the same (30 years). There are also adjustable-rate mortgages which have a different term, eg. a 7/1
2989.
by nostrademons 6y ago
The inflation part is pretty key. $M2 has grown from about $7T to $18T, so if anything, housing prices have tracked monetary inflation. It's just that the CPI has severely lagged monetary inflation, possibly because of cheap food p
2990.
by nostrademons 6y ago
But the decision to terminate happens when the lease expires at any point after the pandemic happened, not exactly as the pandemic started. If you signed a 1-year lease in 2019Q3 and then realized that you're going to permanent WFH
2991.
by nostrademons 6y ago
We're seeing a shift in demand across different sectors of the real estate market, not a destruction in demand. The market for office space is cratering, as is the market for 1BR apts/condos in dense urban cores. But most of the
2992.
by nostrademons 6y ago
There are fundamentals of finance, too, though. You should know how supply & demand work, how markets work, how interest rates work, how profit & loss work, and how different capital structures (stocks, bonds, etc.) allocate profit
2993.
by nostrademons 6y ago
Interesting. This also implies a shift from financial capital (VCs, hedge funds, private equity) to production capital (reinvested profits) when corporate tax rates go up. In the Carlota Perez model, this is the shift from the "frenz
2994.
by nostrademons 6y ago
I think the OP is talking about investing within the business. The business is a separate legal entity with its own income, expenditures, and assets that is under the control of its owner. Assuming that you want to continue owning the
2995.
by nostrademons 6y ago
Yes, which is why I feel comfortable revealing that Assistant uses AI for speech and NLP. ;-)
2996.
by nostrademons 6y ago
In 2009 we standardized on this form for all Google Search JS for-each loops, because we were literally counting bytes on the SRP: for(var i=0,e;e=a[i++];){ ... } Could result in problems if the array contained falsey values, but we
2997.
by nostrademons 6y ago
Or build better APIs into the browser and optimize them in the C++. IMHO that's the best long-term solution. Moves glacially slow, though, since there's a large engineering cost that needs the coordination of each major browser
2998.
by nostrademons 6y ago
They're close enough not to matter on most modern browsers - I suspect V8 actually hoists the field access out of the loop when it compiles it (loop-invariant code motion is a really well-understood compiler optimization at this point)
2999.
by nostrademons 6y ago
Search was pretty actively against AI usage at the time I left it in 2014. Much of this was because of Amit Singhal, though: he had a strong belief that search should be debuggable , and if there was a query that didn't work you sh
3000.
by nostrademons 6y ago
I remember doing this back in 2006 before Chrome even came out. Remember when it was a good idea to cache the .length property because it was O(N) on some browser (I think an early IE), so you'd write your for-loops like this? for

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