nopromisessir

11 ms·

31.
by nopromisessir 2y ago
Fascinating developments. While a year ago China's willingness to come to the table would have been surprising to me... Now... Less surprising. The US look poised for some very serious capability growth over the next few years. Limits
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by nopromisessir 2y ago
It is baffling where the polarization comes in. The idea that we argue about safety... Seems reasonable to me. The argument about its usefulness or capability at all? I dunno... That slider bar sure is in a wierd spot... I feel ya.
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by nopromisessir 2y ago
Right... With precision... Furthermore... big mountains are easier to weigh v small individual atoms? I think it's a little more complicated than big is easy to measure... I care little about the precision... I've got other priori
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by nopromisessir 2y ago
I will spend no more than two comments on this issue. Most people have already made up their minds. There is little I can do about that, but perhaps someone else might see this and think twice. Personally, I have spent many thousands of hou
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by nopromisessir 2y ago
Used toys to write a working machine vision project over last 2 days. Key word: working The bubble is real on both sides. Models have limitations... However, they are not toys. They are powerful tools. I used 3 different SotA models for tha
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by nopromisessir 2y ago
You said it mate. I feel bad for folks who turn away from this technology. If they persist... They will be so confused why they get repeatedly lapped. I wrote a working machine vision project in 2 days with these toys. Key word: working...
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by nopromisessir 2y ago
Interesting. Perhaps someone knowledgeable could add context as to why they wouldn't include EU. I know they've passed more regulation and earlier... But in technical/legal terms... Not enough time to ensure compliance? Capab
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Gemini 1.5 Pro public release(developers.googleblog.com)
7 points by nopromisessir 2y ago|6 comments
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by nopromisessir 2y ago
1 million token context window. Multi modal inputs. This must be costing Google a fortune to offer free inference with a window of this size. ~200mm USD training costs alone by recent estimates from Stanford(if memory serves). I'd reco
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by nopromisessir 2y ago
Look... You are taking literally 2-4 token phrases from my comment and attacking them without context. I'll spend time on the latter quote. You quote 'emergent capability'. A) appreciate you correcting my spelling B) 'Th
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by nopromisessir 2y ago
I would agree that choice of language 'hidden reasoning' is a poor one. This paper demonstrates a novel training approach which could yield narrow capability growth on a certain class of tasks. The narrow test tube environment in
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by nopromisessir 3y ago
I definitely agree that the president has a huge affect on US image on the world stage. The critism of the analogy I laid out is fair. Trump arguably regularly carried himself in a way that aligns with the narrative we're discussing. P
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by nopromisessir 3y ago
I'd be interested to see evidence supporting your assertion of 'universally shared image'. The image of the United States is perceived not nearly so negative in the counties which I visited: Jordan, China, Vietnam. I'll
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by nopromisessir 3y ago
I thought more and came back to say that you might have considered the following setup: Employers laptop -> (if newer laptop with no 3.5mm audio, cheap USB DAC) -> 3.5mm analog -> hifi analog input -> your ears I wouldn't w
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by nopromisessir 3y ago
I'm glad you enjoyed this project. Spotify max bitrate is 320Kbps compressed lossy audio. If the physical buttons on your player induce euphoria with every touch and this feeling in no way is lost to hedonic adaptation... This project
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by nopromisessir 3y ago
We have armies of econ grads measuring baskets of goods to account for this and report it in various metrics. Try a search "cost of living basket of goods" for more info. Worry not, despite unrealistic public expectations and want
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by nopromisessir 3y ago
Gpt4 is focused on state of the art performance. Claude is focused on state of the art context length and safety while maximizing performance and minimizing token costs. Sorta like BMW vs Volvo. Both highly concerned about safety and perfor
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by nopromisessir 3y ago
Power hasn't been concentrated. They only sent a letter after Ilya signed it. Power is distributed amongst Ilya, Brockman, Altman and the board. The other big player, which asserted itself quite plainly during this episode was ofc the
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by nopromisessir 3y ago
Arguably the confirmation of 3 youthful originalist textualist Supreme Court justices makes likely that we will see substantial tact toward more state independence and restraint of the federal government broadly. While folks holler about t
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by nopromisessir 3y ago
As has been said. 100% not luck. Being reserve currency has benefits but that's not relevant re the situation in Turkey. Countless countries have healthy inflation rates and only one is the reserve currency.
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by nopromisessir 3y ago
At the risk of generalizing... These effective altruists seem inconsistent. Why focus on threats which have upsides. Doesn't it make more sense to focus on things like disease, famine, war ect. Not really any first order upsides to the
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by nopromisessir 3y ago
This is defamatory and unfounded. OpenAI is exploring the limits of computation. The more I see this kind of unfounded slander, the more confident I become that this outfit might be the most important in the face of planet earth. So many c
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by nopromisessir 3y ago
This is a security concern for the region. Hitler solved this level of crisis. Didn't work out well for the neighbors.
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by nopromisessir 3y ago
Haha well done. I like the iterative approach. Perhaps we can ammend the test case with advice to keep the receipt for the first video card and offer an upgrade to a 4070ti on the retake or whatnot. Or bigger/better boom stick on the r
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by nopromisessir 3y ago
The number one concern for US voters is our level of inflation. Pro tip: Don't let a populist gain control over your central bank. They are supposed to be independent. Once it was clear Erdogan had consolidated power sufficiently to di
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by nopromisessir 3y ago
They seem rigid. Also non violent. I think if we have a major AI induced calamity... Then I worry much more. Although... Enough scary capability in a short enough period of time... I could see violence being on the table for the more radica
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by nopromisessir 3y ago
For me, the accuracy of my predictions about world events and personal outcomes leads me to believe that my reality model is fairly accurate. I do notice many don't seem to revisit their predictions for reflection though. Perhaps this
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by nopromisessir 3y ago
I feel this could be used in positive ways. Superhuman pursuation to do good stuff. That'll be a weird convo what is 'good'.
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by nopromisessir 3y ago
Doesn't scale. Too many years to max compute. All models limited lifespan inherent. Avg $200k+ training cost over 18 year in house data center costs. More for reinforcement. He's still 38. Gates took much longer. To stop working 2
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by nopromisessir 3y ago
All those things sound very boring to me. I can offer no concrete solutions. However, I have a friend who graduated from high school #1 of a big class and 2 years early. His mom explained that if he made at least a 1400(of 1600) on his SA

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