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nonbel
searching PlanetScale…
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11 ms
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61.
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by
nonbel
7y ago
No, the people who keep paying insurance companies to inflate prices to insane levels are the problem.
62.
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nonbel
7y ago
It has been good practice for awhile now to claim you have no insurance even if you do: https://selfpaypatient.com/2015/05/12/insured-but-not-lettin... Once you know the cash price then you could later say yo
63.
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nonbel
7y ago
I would clearly choose to have doctors believe that I could feel no pain... That way there is no trade off.
64.
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nonbel
7y ago
So? Does that mean babies don't feel pain? Because that is what the medical profession concluded. Here is a good overview: http://nocirc.org/symposia/second/chamberlain.html
65.
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by
nonbel
7y ago
For almost all the typical use cases a Frequentist 95% confidence interval will be nearly the same as a Bayesian 95% credible interval determined using a uniform prior. In every case I have seen where this is not true the Frequentist interv
66.
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nonbel
7y ago
This type of thing is standard in healthcare. Doctors only began saying babies felt pain in the late 1980s, and only then because a mom made a big fuss in the media about it when she discovered on accident that her baby received open heart
67.
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by
nonbel
7y ago
Here is what I was responding to: > My gut response is that, yes, if you’re buying risk-free treasuries, why should you get a return above inflation at all? Rewards and risks should be commensurate. The parent has some sort of ad hoc eco
68.
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nonbel
7y ago
> Right now, the yield curve is inverted showing how little they actually effect rates. Long run rates are set in the global market. The fed causes the inversions every time by pushing up the short term rates until they are near or above
69.
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nonbel
7y ago
I just want to know what is "supposed" to happen if we assume bond yields are supposed to be equal to inflation like the parent. Obviously no one is buying negative yielding bonds for the yields except pension funds, etc who are r
70.
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nonbel
7y ago
I imagine you would have to "do it" every week to have the claimed effect... With online banking, etc perhaps once a day. EDIT: Actually, if the funds are transferred electronically it would take as long as an ACH transfer takes t
71.
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nonbel
7y ago
Interesting, thanks. Can you expand on the link between government-issued bond interest rates going negative and the tendency for profits to decrease over time in a capitalist system? Also, the ratio of theoretical to empirical content on t
72.
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nonbel
7y ago
> Increases in inequality and wealth concentration means there is more money to loan Confiscate $3 trillion from the "rich", and give everyone in the US $10k dollars. What percent would end up back in the banking system after 1
73.
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nonbel
7y ago
What does your "gut response" tell you about rates on 1 month vs 30 year treasuries? Should they have the same yield?
74.
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nonbel
7y ago
> Do you have some additional thoughts on what this "something completely different" is? Negative interest rates: https://www.forbes.com/sites/simonconstable/2019/01/31/the-u... This ha
75.
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nonbel
7y ago
There really is no need for that. All you need is for the growth in number of susceptible people (usually roughly birthrate) be slow enough that the threshold for an outbreak isn't reached for a couple years. One reason for this could
76.
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nonbel
7y ago
> "Another fascinating virus with cycles is the chicken pox virus." I'm not aware of any virus that is not cyclic.
77.
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nonbel
7y ago
> "Cursory research tells me that this sort of cycle is super uncommon." No, this is common. Look at measles: https://wiekvoet.blogspot.com/2014/03/looking-at-measles-dat... You can see two things: 1)
78.
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MPAA Welcomes Netflix as New Member
(mpaa.org)
110 points
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nonbel
7y ago
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129 comments
79.
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nonbel
7y ago
That was all paraphrased from memory, sorry. It is somewhere in this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HoWM7KpkAmY I think it was probably in the last half of it. Edit: Found it. Starts at 1:33:45
80.
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nonbel
7y ago
> "Edit: It was during the Obama administration but implemented by the Fed, which is independent of the White House administration (thank god.)" I was half-listening to Jerome Powell (Fed Chairman) testify before congress today
81.
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nonbel
7y ago
> After reading your explanation I still, as has been the case for years, don't understand what sapply or rapply does, There is nothing complicated about what sapply does... It simply means loop over the elements of the first argume
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nonbel
7y ago
There is nothing to remember to solve that problem besides the wrote memorization of sapply(df, class).
83.
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nonbel
7y ago
> "Dr. Matloff is grossly underestimating how painful it is for beginners to, eg, figure out when they are dealing with a column of strings vs a column of factors." This is just sapply(df, class)... Is this not found in R 101 m
84.
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nonbel
7y ago
I agree, everything is much more complicated than your original comment implied.
85.
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nonbel
7y ago
If you took the same mass of air and put it in two tropospheres, one is 2 km high and the other 20 km high. Would there be the same surface pressure?
86.
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nonbel
7y ago
I'm not saying it is constant. Where do you see that? Also, who says the pressure isn't dropping? Can that even be measured to detect such a small difference? And the volume and/or temperature of the troposphere could change
87.
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nonbel
7y ago
One thing that bugs me is they measure CO2 levels in ppm instead of moles/m^3 (or whatever would be appropriate). Why is the denominator assumed constant? Why can't nitrogen, oxygen, argon, water vapor, etc be changing too? In fac
88.
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nonbel
7y ago
http://www.forbes.com/sites/traceygreenstein/2011/09/20/the-... https://www.forbes.com/sites/kotlikoff/2017/12/08/has-our-go...
89.
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nonbel
7y ago
Deflation makes people save instead of buying shit they don't need. This preserves resources and limits pollution. It also means they only invest in new ventures when they seem like a really good idea, so less time/resources are w
90.
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nonbel
7y ago
We have no idea how many dollars are out there. There are rumors of multiple ~$20 trillions "gone missing" or "passed out".
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