noelsusman

7 ms·

31.
by noelsusman 6mo ago
I've had hundreds of AI-powered vendor tools come across my desk as part of my job, and I have yet to see a single one that uses Grok. I'm also not aware of any publicly announced customers for Grok's enterprise offering. The
32.
by noelsusman 6mo ago
$60 billion worth of competent people?
33.
by noelsusman 6mo ago
I wouldn't be surprised if those enterprise relationships evaporate after this acquisition. There's a reason why xAI has zero enterprise customers.
34.
by noelsusman 6mo ago
The Onion is owned by the billionaire founder of Twilio, there is no board of directors.
35.
by noelsusman 6mo ago
Just yesterday my non-technical spouse had to solve a moderately complex scheduling problem at work. She gave the various criteria and constraints to Claude and had a full solution within a few minutes, saving hours of work. It ended up req
36.
by noelsusman 6mo ago
The thing to remember about Iran is it's a country run by religious fanatics. Ask a secular democracy if they would trade the lives of most of their political and military leaders for a 10% boost to GDP and they would look at you like
37.
by noelsusman 6mo ago
The companies with billions on the line didn't seem to think Iran's threats to attack ships were impotent. Their military capabilities are diminished in the short term, but if their ability to impose a toll on the Strait of Hormuz
38.
by noelsusman 6mo ago
My initial experiments are not encouraging. I have a basic planning prompt that includes instructions not to edit any files or implement anything. Qwen-3.6-Plus will consistently ignore that completely and proceed with implementation. I exp
39.
by noelsusman 6mo ago
The helium that goes into balloons is mostly a byproduct of industrial grade helium production that would otherwise just go to waste. It's not pure enough for industrial uses.
40.
by noelsusman 7mo ago
That analyst was talking about subsidizing tokens through the subscription plans, which is a different claim.
41.
by noelsusman 7mo ago
That doesn't sound meaningfully different from what people are already doing on Instagram and TikTok all day.
42.
by noelsusman 7mo ago
Assuming the AI maximalist digital god bros are wrong, there will always be some demand for programmers, the question is how much. It's not hard to see a future where programming goes the way of farming where the demand for small-scale
43.
by noelsusman 7mo ago
Well you're trying to convince them to reject their actual experience. Better tooling and better models have indeed solved a lot of the limitations models faced a couple years ago. I also believe coding isn't going to disappear, b
44.
by noelsusman 7mo ago
pi.dev is worth checking out. The basic idea is they provide a minimalist coding agent that's designed to be easy to extend, so you can tailor the harness to suit your needs without any bloat. One of the best features is they haven&#x2
45.
by noelsusman 7mo ago
The Jones Act requires that all goods transported by water between US ports be carried on ships that were built in the US, fly the US flag, and crewed by US citizens. That effectively makes it impossible to ship oil between US states at sca
46.
by noelsusman 7mo ago
Being a net exporter of a global commodity is only relevant in an extremely acute crisis (e.g. WWIII). Plus one of the reasons why we export so much oil is because it's cheaper to import oil to a refinery in New Jersey from Saudi Arabi
47.
by noelsusman 7mo ago
Oil companies love $90 oil, but much higher than that and you start to run into demand destruction issues in the medium term.
48.
by noelsusman 7mo ago
You can really just say anything and get upvoted on this website. If this were true then private insurers would have paid comparable rates to Medicare prior to the ACA passing, and that's just not the case. This fact has been a fixture
49.
by noelsusman 7mo ago
Shutting down production doesn't pressure the US at all since the oil and gas can't go anywhere anyway. They're shutting it down because they have to, there's nowhere to put the oil.
50.
by noelsusman 7mo ago
It would be relatively trivial to build a system that gives an LLM the tools necessary to go through each citation in a legal brief and verify its authenticity, and that's something I think opus-4.6 or gpt-5.3 could complete reliably.
51.
by noelsusman 8mo ago
Why does Trump want to give a woke radical leftist AI the ability to autonomously kill people? Doesn't seem like the smartest decision.
52.
by noelsusman 8mo ago
This is one of the most "AI tech bro bubble" comments I've ever seen. The broader job market is a bloodbath right now.
53.
by noelsusman 8mo ago
Why is this statement in all lowercase? Is this a tech bro thing I'm unaware of?
54.
by noelsusman 8mo ago
The notion that it's bad to signal virtue is one of the crazier propaganda efforts I've seen over the last 20 years or so.
55.
by noelsusman 8mo ago
The people who did best during the gold rush were the people who went out and were lucky enough to find stockpiles of gold.
56.
by noelsusman 8mo ago
From the model's perspective it's completely different. LLMs have no concept of what a letter is due to the way they're trained.
57.
by noelsusman 8mo ago
I'm not sure what your point is. How is "being exposed to X's current user base instead of their old followers" not equivalent to "turning on the feed algorithm"? You doubt the effect is due to the algorithm, b
58.
by noelsusman 8mo ago
This is the thing a lot of skeptics aren't grappling with. Software engineering as a profession is mostly about building software that can operate at scale. If you remove scale from the equation then you can remove a massive chunk of t
59.
by noelsusman 8mo ago
I can just look at my front porch to see if there's a solar panel there, or failing that I can click a single button on my phone and search "solar" on my gmail and find out where my solar panel is. Having an agent do that for
60.
by noelsusman 8mo ago
It likely won't matter much in the end, but I do think this could be a significant mistake for OpenAI. OpenAI has two real competitors: Anthropic in the enterprise space and Google in the consumer space. Google fell far behind early on

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