mkaic

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481.
by mkaic 5y ago
Hi! Author here. I tried to qualify a good chunk of my assumptions with "I think" or "I believe", because I don't want to come off as thinking I can predict the future (nobody can!), but maybe the article still read
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by mkaic 5y ago
(Author here) I totally agree -- I think it's too easy to anthropomorphize AGI, even though we have no guarantee that it will behave at all anthropomorphically. I strongly suspect that the first few generations of it will , because th
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by mkaic 5y ago
I am a professional AI practitioner and I feel that I understand the field well enough to see multiple possible paths towards actually creating AGI. They are certainly out of my own personal reach and/or skillset right now, but that do
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by mkaic 5y ago
Hmm, as I mentioned in my above comment, I think you might be overlooking the wildcard in all of this that is humanity itself. There is absolutely zero guarantee that only one person/group will discover AI, and zero guarantee that any
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by mkaic 5y ago
The ball is "rolling" in the sense that there are thousands of very smart, passionate people with billions of dollars of funding who are working on this problem full time. The ball is rolling more now than it ever has been in hist
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by mkaic 5y ago
Could you elaborate on why the article is nonsense? I'd love to hear your perspective.
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by mkaic 5y ago
I don't think AGI will be "designed" either -- that's the entire point of the abstraction layers. Each recursive layer of AI between the human and the "final" AGI will remove more and more of the "designed
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by mkaic 5y ago
Oh, whoops, I'll edit the comment to make it more clear. Thanks for reminding me.
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by mkaic 5y ago
I'm not sure if Transformers are necessarily the spark. My personal pet theory is that the absolute most important thing we need to crack is online self-modification, i.e. letting the model alter its own structure and optimization as
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by mkaic 5y ago
It makes 2 concrete predictions, actually! :) AIs massively outnumber humans within a century, and Turing-test-passing AGI within 20 years.
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by mkaic 5y ago
Oh, interesting, I don't think I've heard much about "technological regression". Would you care to elaborate?
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by mkaic 5y ago
Hi! I'm the author. The article is not a joke, more of a lighthearted investigation into a topic I find fascinating. It's also not meant to be perceived as necessarily positive or negative -- I'm personally actually very nerv
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by mkaic 5y ago
Haha, thanks. My first thought is that it was because I posted my own work, but last time I checked that's not explicitly disallowed? idk, I'm not really too worried about it though
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by mkaic 5y ago
That's fantastic, I might steal that.
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by mkaic 5y ago
Hi, author here. I think there are at least two plausible ways this could happen -- one, a terrorist/anarchist deliberately does exactly what you joked about (gives the AI everything it needs to go rogue), or two, the AI is supposed
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by mkaic 5y ago
Hahah, that's a great story. Sometimes situations like that make me feel the opposite way, too, because I know for a fact that I've said/done some unbelievably stupid things -- so all an AI would need to do be beat me would
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by mkaic 5y ago
(I'm the author of the post) > 1. Take in input. 2. Generate an AGI. 3. Run the AGI on the input. 4. Take the AGI output and return it. I think this is somewhat of an arbitrary semantic distinction on both my part and yours. I guess
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by mkaic 5y ago
Hi! Author here. I think you raise some great points! I'll address them each: -- I am a professional AI practitioner. I work in the field of medical deep learning and love the field. I am strongly considering starting a few experimenta
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by mkaic 5y ago
(I'm the author of the post) Oh, 100%! I'm not trying to detract from modern-day AI ethics issues, just speculating for speculation's sake because I enjoy it :) I actually quite agree with your first sentence -- because AGI i
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by mkaic 5y ago
Hmm, I think you're right -- I should have phrased things differently. It's not that I don't think AGI won't require a very large model, it's more that I think that we're already pretty close to the scale we ne
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by mkaic 5y ago
(I'm the author of the post) Oh, for sure! I totally agree -- I guess where we differ is that I believe that those discrete steps are already starting to be lined up, and that they'll all be completed in the next 20 years. I thin
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by mkaic 5y ago
Ooh, fascinating -- this comment is being downvoted, have I missed something in the HN guidelines? I'm not trying to be snarky, just genuinely trying to understand if the above comment is doing something wrong/frowned upon so I ca
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by mkaic 5y ago
Interesting. In terms of critical thought, I guess I should mention that I used to be firmly against the possibility of a singularity. The views I shared in my article are views I've only really switched too after careful consideration
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by mkaic 5y ago
Hi all, author here. This is my first time submitting anything from my Substack to HN because it's the first time I've felt like I put enough effort into it to justify it. Obviously, this article is more speculation than anything,
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The singularity is close?(mkaic.substack.com)
170 points by mkaic 5y ago|666 comments
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by mkaic 5y ago
might have to write this now, that's hilarious lol
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by mkaic 5y ago
Rebel Without a Crew by Robert Rodriguez. I'm a filmmaker and that book glorifies guerrilla filmmaking like no other. Really fun book by the guy who unfortunately didn't go on to make very many critical successes but did creat
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by mkaic 5y ago
as someone who works in both AI and filmmaking, I remember losing my mind when this paper was first released a few weeks ago. It's absolute insanity what the folks at Nvidia have managed to accomplish in such a short time. The paper it
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by mkaic 5y ago
Idk, personally I find wordplay quite punny -- though I almost always try to greet the person who made the pun, and not the pun itself (they're abstract, inanimate concepts, pretty difficult to say "hello!" to) :P
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by mkaic 5y ago
it's not just faster, it's extremely faster. They're achieving results that are better than SOTA in a fraction of the time. Wildly impressive work.

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