mcnamaratw

8 ms·

31.
by mcnamaratw 4y ago
I’ll have to check.
32.
by mcnamaratw 4y ago
Aw. My KIM-1 still works.
33.
by mcnamaratw 4y ago
I think the Wikipedia article shows that the original importance of the Fresnel integral is in optics. It's also a precursor to the Feynman path integral way of thinking. The plot may or may not be pretty, but that's not why it ma
34.
by mcnamaratw 4y ago
It's a good point. But I don't think the moves away from New Deal economics (e.g. reduced financial regulations, increased wealth disparity) have helped non-white folks or poor folks.
35.
by mcnamaratw 4y ago
Maybe the strange centrist form of government that the US had from about 1935 to maybe 1995.
36.
by mcnamaratw 4y ago
Do you have any evidence of this?
37.
by mcnamaratw 5y ago
Yes, using statistics wrong is particularly awful. But ... Obligatory xkcd. https://xkcd.com/2400/ If you have to use statistics at all, then your data likely isn't good enough to be repeatable. I'm sorry ab
38.
by mcnamaratw 5y ago
Are you saying that medicine hasn’t advanced much in the last 50 years?
39.
by mcnamaratw 5y ago
Well, of course. Hiring managers are leaving resume "screening" to algorithms and "only seeing the good ones." This is the natural result.
40.
by mcnamaratw 5y ago
The figures I can google quickly for Sweden are about 14,700 deaths out of 10,500,000 population. The corresponding survival rate is 99.86%. Do you have a source for the 99.995% figure?
41.
by mcnamaratw 5y ago
Would you like to put those numbers in deaths per 100,000?
42.
by mcnamaratw 5y ago
Sweden reports about 14700 COVID deaths and about 10.5M population. That's about 140 per 100,000. Israel reports 7465 COVID deaths and a population of 9.8M. That's about 80 per 100,000.
43.
by mcnamaratw 5y ago
20 Euros per hour is a lot better than $30k per year.
44.
by mcnamaratw 5y ago
California minimum wage. https://www.dir.ca.gov/dlse/faq_minimumwage.htm
45.
by mcnamaratw 5y ago
This is made-up nonsense, and not even current made-up nonsense.
46.
by mcnamaratw 5y ago
I'm curious, what industry is offering roughly minimum wage (30k) to programmers in the US?
47.
by mcnamaratw 6y ago
Ponzi schemes have a payout.
48.
by mcnamaratw 6y ago
As long as we keep using the marketing term "AI" and we just argue about what the technical definition is, we're going to have this problem. If Penrose wants, he can define AI using the Turing test. That's reasonable. I
49.
by mcnamaratw 6y ago
For sure there are physicists reading HN. Absolutely. My claim, which I probably expressed clumsily, is that the majority of commenters here are not physicists.
50.
by mcnamaratw 6y ago
There are physics people on HN. I'll stick by my claim that the crowd here is not a physics crowd. I'm confident that among web sites HN scores well above average on physics ... but discussions of physics on an average web site ar
51.
by mcnamaratw 6y ago
HN may provide a good reality check for AI/NN (I'm not equipped to say). But HN is not a physics site, and it's really not such a good place to go for a reality check on physics. (Not really a criticism. HN doesn't claim
52.
by mcnamaratw 6y ago
Sure. If there's enough data then the data becomes more credible than even the most popular theoretical fit. If I have four games I played with my nephew then people should probably go with ELO.
53.
by mcnamaratw 6y ago
Ok, that is a legitimate ... quibble. Let's assume that we don't already know the correct distribution. In that case we're going to judge each theoretical fit by how close it comes to the historical data. (Or else we're
54.
by mcnamaratw 6y ago
Yeah, I'm not giving advice on how you should do it. I was just unsure whether critics here had understood that measured data is probably better than any theoretical fit, even the revered ELO.
55.
by mcnamaratw 6y ago
The "different rating curve" appears to be the actual historical probability data, not a formula. I think. If that's right then it this estimate of the probability of winning is not a new discovery. On the other hand I suspec
56.
by mcnamaratw 6y ago
My understanding was that the system consists of using the historical odds of winning (given the rating difference). If you benchmark that using only past data , I think it is by definition the most accurate system. (The data is always a b
57.
by mcnamaratw 6y ago
If the citation contains data then using a citation is not an appeal to authority.
58.
by mcnamaratw 6y ago
I'm not technical in this field. But "reductionism" shows up all over. In solid state physics, where reductionism is definitely a powerful and useful tool, the following article seems to be interesting. It's a possible
59.
by mcnamaratw 6y ago
I don't know. Many people who "hate" the guy tend to freely acknowledge his very real accomplishments.
60.
by mcnamaratw 6y ago
It does. But there's not necessarily any safe way to profit on it. Shorting can force you out at the high. Puts expire.

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