mbgerring

8 ms·

151.
by mbgerring 6mo ago
Probably because the first time we did it we were an optimistic country with a good economy and a bright future in front of us?
152.
by mbgerring 6mo ago
Location: San Francisco, CA Remote or in-office in the Bay Area Willing to relocate: No Technologies/skills: Senior level product and engineering experience — javascript, python, java, SQL, specializing in complex data management inter
153.
by mbgerring 6mo ago
Each passing day the lie that markets efficiently allocate capital is further exposed
154.
by mbgerring 7mo ago
The observed lifespan of DER assets is consistently longer than the manufacturer’s (or insurance company’s) rating
155.
by mbgerring 7mo ago
> If it's cost effective there's no need to mandate it. You should see how hard PG&E is working to prevent commercial and multifamily buildings from going solar. If the legislature voted to force PG&E to get out of the
156.
by mbgerring 7mo ago
It doesn’t really matter if there’s land that would theoretically be more ideal if the value of the power generated pays for the infrastructure buildout. The best land for solar panels is the land you can build on now.
157.
by mbgerring 7mo ago
It’s already happening as I write this. An enormous amount of capital and labor are already deployed to find ways to get batteries into people’s homes, and growth is accelerating.
158.
by mbgerring 7mo ago
A good friend of mine is a solar installer in rural California, and he is booked solid building battery and solar systems sized to charge cars, because depending on PG&E is worse than spending the money to go off-grid.
159.
by mbgerring 7mo ago
It’s already possible for consumers to know that, I worked on the software that powers the tools that tell US consumers this at Genability ca 2015. As far as I know, they never cracked the European market, so if you’re interested in working
160.
by mbgerring 7mo ago
There will be connected batteries in every home solving this problem faster than the fossil fuel lobby can come up with a new talking point about why it’ll never work.
161.
by mbgerring 7mo ago
Not weird if you’ve been participating in discussions on clean energy since the beginning of this century. The inevitability of the energy transition has been obvious for so long, and even when it’s done there will be cranks insisting that
162.
by mbgerring 7mo ago
That little (sans storage) is some load-bearing sleight of hand. Yes, solar is intermittent, and needs to be paired with storage. You’re saying the overbuild is “insane”. Do you have an actual cite for this? I’m assuming there’s some percen
163.
by mbgerring 7mo ago
I don’t think this is correct. You’re arguing that the industry analyses on this subject are wrong because they’re underestimating how much solar + batteries need to be deployed to be as reliable as a gas power plant. So you’re arguing that
164.
by mbgerring 7mo ago
Is this still true after a bunch of natural gas infrastructure got blown up this week?
165.
by mbgerring 7mo ago
Why would you need to “discard reliability”? What do you think storage is for? People have been saying that solar will never work for my entire life, and my entire career in clean energy, as I have watched it grow and grow and grow and grow
166.
by mbgerring 7mo ago
Wholesale power market prices are responding to shocks in the natural gas market from two wars that disrupted those supply chains. Solar and batteries have been and will continue to he the cheapest source of power, and globally, deployment
167.
by mbgerring 7mo ago
If your time horizon is long enough, the best possible investment thesis is to assume that climate change is real and the energy transition is inevitable. I’ve worked in clean energy software and hardware since 2014. I’m currently looking f
168.
by mbgerring 7mo ago
He’s right. I built a hackintosh from a PowerMac G4 motherboard I bought off of eBay with my saved-up babysitting money when I was 12 or 13 because I was absolutely desperate to have a machine I could edit movies with, I couldn’t afford a r
169.
by mbgerring 7mo ago
Actually I think the last 20 years of the Internet demonstrates that copyright is more important than ever, because unless it's enforced, people with more capital than the copyright owner will simply steal creative works and profit fro
170.
by mbgerring 7mo ago
See also "A Declaration of the Independence of Cyberspace" ( https://www.eff.org/cyberspace-independence ), and what a goofy, naive, misguided disaster that early internet optimism turned into. No, AI does not mean
171.
by mbgerring 7mo ago
“AGI” was literally made up by a Harry Potter fan fiction community
172.
by mbgerring 7mo ago
No, they are not building new coal fired power plants at the same rate they are expanding renewables. This is several years out of date.
173.
by mbgerring 7mo ago
Emissions in China are not growing, and Chinese manufacturing is largely responsible for falling emissions in developed countries
174.
by mbgerring 7mo ago
The only extant “X-risk” is, and always has been, climate change. “AGI” is science fiction, and actually-existing AI is making climate change harder to deal with, by increasing electricity demand on our fossil-fuel-powered grid with no atte
175.
by mbgerring 7mo ago
Cool, we agree, and if you think the place to cut corners on that is the engineering calcs, you have lost your mind. If you do that, not only will people die, you will drastically increase costs because the infrastructure project you built
176.
by mbgerring 7mo ago
Yes, that’s correct, I do not want a vibe-coded freeway overpass, thanks. We all need to get serious about the unavoidable, unsolvable fact that these tools produce output of unknowable accuracy . Some things require such accuracy, precisi
177.
by mbgerring 7mo ago
You talking about the Iranians or the Americans here?
178.
by mbgerring 8mo ago
No, you misunderstood me: When I ship packages, I could choose to use a service other than USPS, but I don’t, because USPS is generally cheaper and more reliable. I strongly prefer Medicaid to my employer-provided healthcare plans because
179.
by mbgerring 8mo ago
USPS Medicaid The National Park System I know that the next step is you explaining why these don’t count, or saying “wow only 3” or whatever, but
180.
by mbgerring 8mo ago
No, stop, I understand the politics here, but I’m asking about the technical fundamentals. LLMs produce output of unknowable and unpredictable accuracy , and as far as we know, this is a mathematically unsolvable problem . This shit shoul

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