maxglute

16 ms·

271.
by maxglute 6mo ago
Loitering just means extended endurance, i.e. piston engine that can stay on station for 20+ hours / enhanced range of ~4500km, but can also function as attritable max range munitions. They're loitering because definitionally they
272.
by maxglute 6mo ago
Clearly I'm not talking about hobbyist quads. We're talking shaheed tier loitering munitions, which is completely COTS (i.e. moped piston engines and for Iran sanctioned electronics stripped from washing machines). That's wha
273.
by maxglute 6mo ago
It's 2026, PRC has GEOsync ISR (optic+SAR) with persistent coverage of Pacific and beyond. Combined with 500+ other ISR sats, they basically have full coverage in relevant theatres, with hand offs for tracking/queuing/targeti
274.
by maxglute 6mo ago
People do notice, just not enough to shift purchasing habits. I think most people would rather cycle through styles regularly than BIFL and wear the same shit for 5-10 years. Most people want more stuff than nice stuff. Regardless "qua
275.
by maxglute 6mo ago
The book's thesis is frankly unwarranted Apple glazing. Asian Tigers trained PRC decades before Apple. Muh designed in California and manufactured in China was always Cupertino hands Chinese factory specs and Chinese engineers and work
276.
by maxglute 6mo ago
>far cheaper CAN rail to port to transPac/Asia is cheaper than rail/truck to US post tariff (most commodities now). Also it's ~75% of CAN exports goes to US, and it was only structurally cheaper under pre-Trump trade arran
277.
by maxglute 6mo ago
Look up deterioration curve and maintenance curve (J shaped) for hard infra. TLDR is asset stays in good condition for 75% of lifetime i.e. decades with light maintenance (flat part of J). By roads I mean highways where most of the expense
278.
by maxglute 6mo ago
Depreciation schedule: Tulips: weeks GPUs: 6 years Fiber: 20-50 years Rail, roads, bridges: 50-100+ years Hyperscalers closer to tulips than other hard infra.
279.
by maxglute 6mo ago
>Physical volume or mass? X items per 100k then normalize #s for population. Or actual consumptions of atoms, i.e. electricity, metals, resources. Depends on what you want to measure, real economic activity or spreadsheet value. Nominal
280.
by maxglute 6mo ago
How much of it is people lost skill to determine quality. When everyone did some mending, population had baseline ability to discern quality in clothing, and clothing companies less likely to pull shenanigans.
281.
by maxglute 6mo ago
Is it tactical success though? Conflating K:D ratio with strategic success typical fallacy, but if Iran game plan is to take hits while hitting back then so far US inability to neutralize/suppress Iranian fires also tactical failure. U
282.
by maxglute 6mo ago
Conversion efficiency is slippery slope to vegetarianism.
283.
by maxglute 6mo ago
I'm not questioning relevancy, but escalatory logic. CONUS vulnerability is going to increase with mid/high end missile/drone proliferation. But skipping over proxy fight vs lesser adversaries with limited CONUS strike capabi
284.
by maxglute 6mo ago
Obviously the former, hint: that's what PRC is doing, basically Third Front 2.0. The retardation of the second is instead of fighting an underpowered proxy with limited CONUS strike you fight a peer power with enhanced CONUS strike, se
285.
by maxglute 6mo ago
Interesting times intensifies.
286.
by maxglute 6mo ago
That's borderline nonsense scenario. Superpowers aren't going to be existentially invaded via lesser proxy. We're talking about being quagmired in war of choice where proxys being supplied. Lots of escalation rungs up the la
287.
by maxglute 6mo ago
> is not an insane course of action? No? Flat out arming proxies is literally the point of overt proxy warfare. Sometimes one tries to to be deniable and source other weapons, but other times it's just, enjoy quagmire, cry about it.
288.
by maxglute 6mo ago
Against subsonic, low supersonic threats, short / medium term it's still about magazine depth and interceptor economics and sheer attrition math, i.e. PRC can build cheap interceptors at scale... has magnitude more targets due to
289.
by maxglute 6mo ago
Homefield advantage is relative, between Ukraine - Iran - Gaza, Taiwan is closer to Gaza, which is to say not much after mitigating outside spoilers. Maybe less than Gaza vs force disparity involved. US is/was one part of equation, but
290.
by maxglute 6mo ago
Missing most important piece which is detection/target. Article making rounds a few days ago: Chinese engineer shared trick to shoot F-35 fighters just days before Iran’s strike. Not to credit PRC because this something Iranian STEM ca
291.
by maxglute 6mo ago
More loss for US, as in customary US not winning fast is functionally the same as losing. Heavy weight boxing a teen it should have brained in round 1. Teen lands a few punches back is embarrassing. Teen slapping heavy weights protectorates
292.
by maxglute 6mo ago
Now reason without water, aka Israeli + GCC desalination. Iran with shit water situation is still less existentially water stressed. Iran 5% vs others 80/90%+ dependency on desalination = once Iran demonstrated survivable regional stri
293.
by maxglute 6mo ago
Not all landmass because most of Tibet/Xinjiang empty, but ~100% wireless coverage east of Heihe–Tengchong line where ~95% of population are. Including Tibet/Xinjiang remote areas, ~95%+ of administered population areas down to vi
294.
by maxglute 7mo ago
Speculation. 1. Iran was retarded and didn't preemptively strike US staging who had local overmatch and first mover advantage. Nothing to do but weather hits, chip away at regional basing and wait until US+Israel operation tempo goes d
295.
by maxglute 7mo ago
Last year PRC brrrted out enough solar panels whose lifetime output is equivalent to annual global oil consumption. AKA world uses about >40billion barrels of oil per year, PRC's annual solar production will sink about 40billion bar
296.
by maxglute 7mo ago
When I say hyper, I'm referring to hyper size vs distributed, not limited to data centers. It generalized reply to your insinuation of economies of scale is broadly applicable when it is absolutely not, i.e. 99.9999,99.9%,0.0999% which
297.
by maxglute 7mo ago
Hyperscale/data just one example, f35 manufacturing, specialty feed stock production, transformers, gas compression etc, the list of currently centralized (as in have large target profiles) that will remain soft for decades is long wit
298.
by maxglute 7mo ago
Yes, refinery mismatch vulnerability something that can be built around, ~10-15 year horizon. US can also bring down oil as % of energy mix and distribute renewables. If US smart they would do this. But at same time, extend IRBM range by 1
299.
by maxglute 7mo ago
It's location, it's also recognizing refineries in PADD3 are, in fact, technically specific and different from other regional refineries which cannot pickup the slack. Light/sweet vs heavy/sour geographic refinery mismat
300.
by maxglute 7mo ago
There's no think, this is know territory. Gulf coast PADD3 refineries = disproportionate production of diesel, aviation, bunker fuel for CONUS use. Something like 70% of all refined products used in US comes from PADD3, other refinerie

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