marcell

24 ms·

241.
by marcell 6y ago
I don’t know. The city doesn’t have much else to spend money on. The next biggest thing is Fire Department, but we don’t have many fires. Then there are parks and libraries and such, but those are pretty low cost. You could probably cut som
242.
by marcell 6y ago
Nope, pretty typical for a suburb. It's in Silicon Valley.
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by marcell 6y ago
I was pretty surprised also, so I checked my city (Mt View, California). Police is 28% of the budget here. The next biggest category is the Fire. Department, which is 18%. I think top level city concerns are police, fire, and community serv
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by marcell 6y ago
It seems like a bit of a crapshoot. Some countries had huge spikes in deaths (Spain, Italy obviously, France, Belgium, Netherlands), and some did not (Norway, Hungary, Greece). Sweden's spike is a bit longer and bit flatter than other
245.
by marcell 6y ago
While this is certainly a classic example of appeal to authority, I don't think the data backs it up. As of May 29, there have been 44k deaths in Sweden from all causes. If you extrapolate that out for the year, you get 105k. That&#x27
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by marcell 6y ago
You are completely right. The idea of contact tracing a virus that registers as a mild cold for most people is a pipe dream.
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by marcell 6y ago
The GP didn’t mention a lease so I assumed it was month to month, in which case the landlord terminated the lease and the renter moves out. If they had a longer lease, then I’d agree the landlord can’t force them out before the lease ends.
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by marcell 6y ago
Taste is highly related to smell, and smell is related to congestion symptoms that are typical for respiratory diseases. Taste and smell loss happens with cold and flu as well, since they are also respiratory diseases: [1] > The exact me
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by marcell 6y ago
Umm... while they can't withhold your security deposit, squatting someone's in-law unit is obviously immoral. It's not your property, if they want it back, you have to move. Holding them hostage for $10k is scummy.
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by marcell 6y ago
This could be explained by the difference between fixed costs and marginal costs, and the fact that in person students paying higher fees subsidize part of the fixed costs.
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by marcell 6y ago
Not GP but dental care is a lot cheaper than medical
252.
by marcell 6y ago
I don't think there is legal basis for Trump's order, but Twitter is wading into murky territory with their actions. Twitter's "fact check" singles out a specific Trump tweet. It's clearly a human intervention
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by marcell 6y ago
Yep, the repo is at https://github.com/xunhuang/covid-19 . I didn’t write it, but the maintainer is fairly responsive to pull requests and issues.
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by marcell 6y ago
You are correct, deaths lag a bit, as does reporting of the deaths, which downward biases the IFR. Antibodies also lag before they show up in the serology tests, which upward biases the IFR. But broadly, the studies I've cited largely
255.
by marcell 6y ago
I've looked into this a little bit, actually. There are two parts of flu/covid IFR: fatalities and infections. For flu fatalities, the CDC does indeed upward adjust the count. They do this by looking at how many people died of pne
256.
by marcell 6y ago
The 0.4% fatality estimate is from the CDC, presumably full of credentialed experts. My spreadsheet is a collection of studies from experts who have presumably dedicated their careers to virology and pandemics. The 0.2% number is also from
257.
by marcell 6y ago
The CDC latest best estimate is 0.4% death rate from Covid. This compares to a death rate from the flu of around 0.2%, also based on CDC estimates [1]. Every death is a tragedy, but we didn't do half-lockdowns for the flu before. Why a
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by marcell 6y ago
It maybe due to NY's policy at the start of the outbreak, which put recovering Covid patients in nursing homes. It probably spiked their death count without causing a corresponding spike in cases.
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by marcell 6y ago
No! I dug through that page and the cited papers, and it absolutely does not have any of the answers to those questions. If you find the answers on that page, I'd love to read them. For example, they say: > The numbers of influenza
260.
by marcell 6y ago
Sidebar, but I simply cannot figure out how the CDC estimates flu mortality. I've spent about an hour trying to find the info, and gave up. I was able to figure out how they estimate flu deaths: they take the officially diagnosed death
261.
by marcell 6y ago
Sure, but 2x deadlier than the flu just means 2 flu seasons. It's not great, but we don't do half-lockdowns fur 1 flu season. Why do a full lockdown for the equivalent of two flu seasons?
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by marcell 6y ago
I'm confused by the downvotes on this. The comment is quoting CDC numbers, this is not some fake news report. The 0.4% mortality for coronavirus is the CDC best estimate. The 0.2% is from the CDC website for the 2017 flu season. Edit:
263.
by marcell 6y ago
I’m living in America so I mainly follow the cases here. Do you have any data showing European hospitals going over capacity?
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by marcell 6y ago
Yes, lots. My county (Santa Clara) has less than 10% of beds used for Covid: https://www.sccgov.org/sites/covid19/Pages/dashboard.aspx#ho... This is direct, primary source data, not a media report.
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by marcell 6y ago
FWIW, in most of the US and Europe there is no pressure on healthcare facilities. Most hospitals are seeing lower than normal utilization, primarily from non-Covid cases. Edit: as an example, my county (Santa Clara) is using under 10% of ho
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by marcell 6y ago
I think Elon Musk summed up the counter argument to this pretty well on Joe Rogan's podcast: "If you don't make stuff, there's no stuff. Obviously."
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by marcell 6y ago
Ah, got it. I mis-parsed the comment.
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by marcell 6y ago
I'm not really following the logic... GP said this (TSMC intending to build a factory in US) was bad for US, because China could march into Taiwan and cut off US ability to make chips. Wouldn't a TSMC plant in US be good? Since US
269.
by marcell 6y ago
> If China marches into Taiwan, the U.S. will be left with no advanced-node manufacturing and it will have lost the technology race Can you explain this? If China takes over Taiwan, couldn't the US just take over whatever TSMC plant
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Show HN: Pandas in the Cloud: 100GB+ pandas dataframes with 4MB local memory(cloudpy.io)
3 points by marcell 6y ago|1 comments

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