light_triad

9 ms·

91.
by light_triad 2y ago
There's going to be a lot of "the big successes already happened" type comments about YC but I think they're wrong. Sure all big successes are unique in time, and entrepreneurship & web tech are mainstream now. But t
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Harvard admissions, VC investing: identifying "special" vs. "good"(medium.com)
1 points by light_triad 2y ago|0 comments
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by light_triad 2y ago
Some teams think they can A/B test their way to a great product. It can become a socially acceptable mechanism to avoid having opinions and reduce friction. Steve Blank's quote about validating assumptions: "Lean was designed
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by light_triad 2y ago
Sure luck plays a role. There are techniques to increase your odds of getting lucky though. Sam Altman argued a startup's chance of success is “something like Idea times Product times Execution times Team times Luck, where Luck is a ra
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by light_triad 2y ago
> If you’re going to pivot, make it big. This is a great point. I've seem teams apply lean startup by testing -> changing something -> testing -> changing something -> testing ... The problem is that the changes are so s
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by light_triad 2y ago
> Local brands, including Xiaomi, are gearing up to launch direct competitors, with the upcoming YU7 More details: Why a Chinese Gadget Company Can Make an Electric Car and Apple Can’t https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02
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by light_triad 2y ago
The incumbents have an advantage in distribution and adding AI as features in mature products. AI makes devs more productive but the need for moats still applies and competition will be worse not better. Distribution and defensibility is ke
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by light_triad 2y ago
A chat interface is great in the sense that it's open, flexible and intuitive. The downside is there's a tendency to anthropomorphise AI, and you might not want to talk to your computer: it takes too long to explain all the detail
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by light_triad 2y ago
Right, hence the term "workaround" not "solution"
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by light_triad 2y ago
"Deep research" is super impressive, but so far is more "search the web and surf pages autonomously to aggregate relevant data" It is in many ways a workaround to Google's SEO poisoning. Doing very deep research req
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by light_triad 2y ago
YES!! I need infinite credits for infinite Claude Code. Will try it to get Claude to do all my work.
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by light_triad 2y ago
Best demo - it's Claude Code all the way down. Claude Code === Claude Code
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by light_triad 2y ago
Thanks for this - exciting launch. Do you have examples of cool applications or demos that the HN crowd should check out?
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by light_triad 2y ago
Makes sense given what Nadella recently said: - Self claiming some AGI milestone is "non-sensical benchmark hacking" - The AI model race won't be winner-take-all - The real benchmark is if the world is growing at 10% MSFT is
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by light_triad 2y ago
Partly because coding has become so hyper specialised in large companies, partly because folks who sell AI have an incentive to exaggerate to sell more. Programming is over, jobs will disappear and we'll all be on UBI while AI turns in
106.
by light_triad 2y ago
Agreed UX can be easily copied, but brands are a moat for a number of (granted, psychological) reasons: 1. Status symbols - my Lambo signifies that my disposable income is greater than your disposable income 2. Fan clubs - I buy Nikes becau
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by light_triad 2y ago
AI enables new tools & features but in itself is not a product. There's a good essay from Andrew Chen on this topic: Revenge of the GPT Wrappers: Defensibility in a world of commoditized AI models "Network effects are what def
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by light_triad 2y ago
Beyond the marketing value of these types of announcements, how much time until consumer grade quantum cloud computing? Years, decades?
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by light_triad 2y ago
There's some revisionism here: having the internet in your pocket anywhere you went was a clear upgrade. Projecting a screen on your palm with low resolution was a clear downgrade. Disruption is incredibly difficult but this product wa
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by light_triad 2y ago
Interesting they thought they could disrupt phones: devices with almost 20 years of iterative improvements, extremely mature app stores, tons of functionality, fast ubiquitous internet, etc. You couldn't even connect the Ai Pin to your
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by light_triad 2y ago
This article reminds me of a tidbit about the VOC (Dutch East India Company): "There was an extraordinarily high mortality rate among employees of the VOC due to shipwrecks, illnesses such as scurvy and dysentery, and clashes with riva
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by light_triad 2y ago
Sure you'll find folks that perhaps literally believe that AI is bigger than fire and the wheel, or whatever. Or business leaders that more cynically try to ride the hype wave with their own customers. I think the key here is actual us
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by light_triad 2y ago
If you've been in SV long enough, you've seen multiple hype cycles. AI is the latest one. It doesn't mean AI is a con, there's just a tendency to exaggerate and make hyperbolic claims to sell. AI is primarily used to wri
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by light_triad 2y ago
Know some people who have these and apparently the AI is very limited. They were standing in front of the Golden Gate bridge and the glasses had no idea what they were looking at. I'm sure the AI will improve quite a bit but given the
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by light_triad 2y ago
To go big you first have to dominate a small market. Every big success started as a niche. It's not so much that you can pick the size of the success ahead of time, but rather make sure to increase the odds that things will work at all
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by light_triad 2y ago
If you press people on why they believe what they believe, you will often find that the axioms underlying their reasoning are slogans, trite phrases and hackneyed soundbites. But here's the catch: the memes, short texts, or short video
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by light_triad 2y ago
They're both excellent programs. The schools have different vibes: Berkeley is much more urban and closer to SF in culture while Stanford is more of a bubble. If you are interested in Academia after graduation, then your primary adviso
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by light_triad 2y ago
$1000-$2000+/h is not uncommon for top lawyers
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by light_triad 2y ago
What the author is missing is noblesse oblige. Some peasants become nobles, but will never stop being peasants. Some peasants were nobles all along.
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by light_triad 2y ago
This is an interesting read. After years of conversations with folks in SV all over the socioeconomic ladder I've concluded they're 2 types of thinking: - type 1 "employee thinking": focused on status, TC, consumption, v

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