learc83

77 ms·

721.
by learc83 7y ago
And you managed to both completely avoid my point and bring up generational politics.
722.
by learc83 7y ago
It doesn't matter how much debt we are in provided the rate of return for the investment is greater than the interest on the new debt. And that's without considering that inflation is very low, so we can print our way out of some
723.
by learc83 7y ago
>I've read that 20% of people who get infected will need ICU treatment. That number is far too high, and likely comes from an under counting of mild cases. Of the 705 infected on the diamond princess only 43 are or have been in crit
724.
by learc83 7y ago
Yes, obviously.
725.
by learc83 7y ago
We had candidates for SARS but it was contained before trials began. Coronavirus is generally too mild and there are too many varieties to worry about developing vaccines for them. It's not that they are particularly hard to develop a
726.
by learc83 7y ago
My brother's wife is also an ESL teacher. She had multiple students who traveled home to Wuhan during the winter break. Shortly after school starting she came down with a cold, gave it to my brother, and he had a pretty bad cough for a
727.
by learc83 7y ago
"The claim was quickly challenged by an infectious diseases expert who serves on a committee that advises the WHO’s health emergencies program. Gary Kobinger, director of the Infectious Disease Research Center at Laval University in Qu
728.
by learc83 7y ago
>320000 tests, of which less than 0.5% were positive, which means that they missed less than 200 cases That doesn't follow from your premise and it doesn't match what he said. "Of 320,000 tests performed, just under 0.5% w
729.
by learc83 7y ago
>corona virus is around 0.16 microns But virus particles aren't floating around in the air infecting people, it's spread mostly through respiratory droplets. Not saying that a surgical mask will protect you, but it's not b
730.
by learc83 7y ago
Only 4 have died, and all 4 were in their 80s.
731.
by learc83 7y ago
>But that could be said about any disease. With diseases that have been better studied, we have large population studies to determine how many people have been infected for every 1 person reported. >As is, it is mortality given that y
732.
by learc83 7y ago
5x worse than a typical flu season. We have atypical flu seasons all the time.
733.
by learc83 7y ago
>Given the 2-3 week transmissible incubation period No one knows if it's transmissible during the entire incubation period. It's almost certainly not given how other viruses behave. Also the possibility of transmission during a
734.
by learc83 7y ago
1. Yes it's the figure as of right now. There have been hundreds of people sick for over 2 weeks, and hundreds more who are coming up on the 2 week mark. There may very well be more deaths or there may not be. But my point is that the
735.
by learc83 7y ago
>And that's still going to be a lower bound since they'll all be getting medical care from often before they're even diagnosed. It's not a lower bound because cruise ships skew much older than the general population.
736.
by learc83 7y ago
>but it’s a world of difference from the 10% fatality rates being tossed around elsewhere in this thread. I agree. I misspoke when I said very little. I was taking issue with the OPs assertion that 0.5% was a best case mortality rate. I
737.
by learc83 7y ago
Here's a response I wrote earlier to that. After he said that someone else from the WHO contradicted him. "The claim was quickly challenged by an infectious diseases expert who serves on a committee that advises the WHO’s health e
738.
by learc83 7y ago
As you said cruise ships skew much older than the general population, so this tells us very little about the actual mortality rate. All 4 people who died were in their 80s.
739.
by learc83 7y ago
It's pretty easy to do raw sql rails migrations. I do it all the time.
740.
by learc83 7y ago
If you read more on that. After he said that someone else from the WHO immediately contradicted him. "The claim was quickly challenged by an infectious diseases expert who serves on a committee that advises the WHO’s health emergencies
741.
by learc83 7y ago
1. 4/700 is less than half the 1% lower end number that people are freaking about about when they say 20x more deadly than the flu. 2. All 4 people who died were in their 80s. Cruise ships skew much older than the general population, s
742.
by learc83 7y ago
Show me these papers that accounted for asymptomatic patients. https://smw.ch/article/doi/smw.2020.20203 "The resulting number, however, does not represent the true case fatality rate and might be off by orde
743.
by learc83 7y ago
>It has killed a lot more people in China than a normal flu No it hasn't. I can't find good numbers for China, but 80,000 died of the flu in the US in 2018 and china's population is about 4x higher. >SARS That's me
744.
by learc83 7y ago
Yes an ophthalmologist can do that, but it's not their primary function. The vast majority of times you go get a lens prescription, you're going to an optometrist.
745.
by learc83 7y ago
None of this is true for pharmacists, so I'm not sure why it would be true for optometrists.
746.
by learc83 7y ago
We've had time to do large population studies and build models to somewhat correct for this. Most of the death rates you're seeing throw around for COVID-19 are just naive number_dead / confirmed cases.
747.
by learc83 7y ago
We have no idea if it's 20x as deadly as the flu because we have no idea how many asymptomatic and mildly symptomatic cases are out there where no one sought treatment. The mortality numbers are an extreme case of selection bias. We al
748.
by learc83 7y ago
18% of cases, where the infected person both sought treatment and was actually tested. It is very likely that there are far more asymptomatic and mildly symptomatic people out there. The 18% number is mostly useless because it's a te
749.
by learc83 7y ago
Most of A, B, and C are done by techs. Pharmacists are there to manage the techs. But predominantly they are there to be prevent or be held liable for mistakes and loses/thefts of very high value inventory.
750.
by learc83 7y ago
When you get your eyes checked for glasses you go to an optometrist. Doesn't matter if it's big box store or a local guy--they have the same credentials. An ophthalmologist is an MD who specializes in eyes, and that's who you

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