l_e_o_n

4 ms·

1. 1.▲
   by l_e_o_n 3y ago

   Edited for clarity.
2. 2.▲
   by l_e_o_n 3y ago

   I'm talking about the whole sequence; you're talking about the number of heads (or) tails in the sequence. The number of heads is a sufficient statistic, so we'll get the same likelihood ratios out, but the likelihood values
3. 3.▲
   by l_e_o_n 3y ago

   You flip a possibly-biased coin 20 times and get half heads, half tails, e.g. "THHHTTTTTHTHTTHHHTHH". Under the model where the bias is 0.5—a fair coin—the probability of that sequence is (0.5)^20 or about one in a million. In fac