koe123

10 ms·

61.
by koe123 3mo ago
I think this problem is especially perfect for an LLM though. Its effectively translating with a great test harness. As for your other arguments, I’m not certain we won’t just Jevon's Paradox into more work.
62.
by koe123 3mo ago
As it pertains to military, just wait a few years I think.
63.
by koe123 3mo ago
Can I ask what data you are seeing?
64.
by koe123 4mo ago
Personal or work? Used by anyone or for fun?
65.
by koe123 4mo ago
Correlation isn’t causation. Students with test aptitude and ambition will score hire regardless of the test content.
66.
by koe123 4mo ago
We were alive in an interesting time where a clerical caste of society was needed to get the most out of capital. Once this is no longer the case it could be that we return to something feudal.
67.
by koe123 4mo ago
They are new proofs and for sure useful but as far as I’ve understood mainly interpolative. E.g. an LLM can “create” a poem about a purple chicken as it has datapoints for “purple” and “chicken”, so it can create something plausible inbetwe
68.
by koe123 4mo ago
Sounds great, but what is this belief based on? I think having a technical argument is important, as we live in a time with lots of hype merchants who stand to benefit from record breaking IPOs. Propaganda can affect us all, how do you know
69.
by koe123 4mo ago
So, what your saying is that there is a perhaps linear, perhaps exponential increase, and that you are projecting that increase forward indefinitely. Let me know if this is unfair. Counter argument: does anything else work this way? E.g. Mo
70.
by koe123 4mo ago
Who reviews these 100s of PRs tho? 100 PRs in an 8 hour workday = 1 PR every 4.8 minutes. If I saw this happening in my org it would be a huge red flag, am I old?
71.
by koe123 4mo ago
> singularity I just cant get over this term, do you honestly believe in this? I use AI daily and while it is super useful I see too many limitations for it to “recursively improve and cause an intelligence explosion”. 1. Clearly, the pe
72.
by koe123 4mo ago
100 PRs a day? I am sure this is hyperbole but otherwise you have a quote for me?
73.
by koe123 4mo ago
I do at least think its certainly the case they cannot stop R&D: no moat without being ahead of open-source right?
74.
by koe123 4mo ago
Counterpoint: what if he lied in the prospectus? With Elons proven track record of misleading investors and customers I think that possibility has to be considered.
75.
by koe123 4mo ago
Sounds like a similar track, and I agree that its a useful skill and talent. What I mainly noticed was, after really understanding my domain, the confidence of the SWEs I was working with despite being incorrect. Now I am a SWE and I try to
76.
by koe123 4mo ago
I think more broadly that grabbing attention with predictions and hot takes has become lucrative, and we definitely don’t celebrate prediction accuracy.
77.
by koe123 4mo ago
Expertise in naval gazing and science fiction writing is a prerequisite.
78.
by koe123 4mo ago
I come from a research background, and transitioned to software later. There is an interesting tendency of software engineers to believe they have skills outside of their skillset. Relevant here: the would we trust a Software engineer, whic
79.
by koe123 4mo ago
Quote the part where I state they are the same
80.
by koe123 4mo ago
One thing I have been thinking about is digital tariffs. The US is perfectly willing to slam billions into ventures that lose money for years. EU for example doesn’t work that way. Consequence: US can develop faster, unconstrained by profit
81.
by koe123 4mo ago
Plenty of people say vaccines contain microchips. Research is not linear so this simple linear regression I see people doing regarding capability scaling makes no sense. Nobody can forecast a breakthrough, what makes you believe you can?
82.
by koe123 4mo ago
I think taking Anthropic or any company in this space at face value is naive at best though. AGI has been 6 months away for years now. Surely anyone can think this through: Anthropic knows what theyre doing with their public facing reposito
83.
by koe123 5mo ago
In a way, we are betraying something here. My reading is: solving the social problems of capitalism feels so impossible, that reducing the need for anyone to do work is a liability. In a way this sentiment should make extremists of us all?
84.
by koe123 5mo ago
The most insane thing to me is that legal (non-asylum) immigration is somehow framed as a “moral” thing that nations do out of charity. Its not: you get to directly address a shortage in your country without the burden of raising and traini
85.
by koe123 5mo ago
My pet theory is that AI enables programmers to be relatively more productive than other roles. So, if I want to grow my company, shouldn't I hire MORE programmers? Anyone know a good counterargument? Along another vein, I guess I wond
86.
by koe123 5mo ago
I wonder how many Americans realize that their soft power is dead. Will it cost them?
87.
by koe123 6mo ago
Can I ask why you would say that specifically about the Dutch news
88.
by koe123 6mo ago
I suppose this could be rage bait, but would you justify the violence that the poster is afraid of also if someone is “ilk” of the other side of the aisle? E.g. white nationalist types? Does being “extreme” justify extra-judicial violence?
89.
by koe123 6mo ago
You make a good point, I’m sorry to generalize.
90.
by koe123 6mo ago
If by AGI you mean IPO, sure. I genuinely don't believe Dario nor Sam should be trusted at this point. Elon levels of overpromising and underdelivering.

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