keeda

20 ms·

331.
by keeda 5mo ago
> On paper, they were in the red, but everyone - especially investors - saw what was going to happen, given their trajectory. As I recall, no, Wall Street and public shareholders were getting pretty antsy over AMZN earnings, which is
332.
by keeda 5mo ago
You're right actually, what I really meant to say is a "higher-level skill" rather than a "higher skill-level." Higher-level skills don't necessarily mean a more difficult skill, they're usually just at
333.
by keeda 5mo ago
> Now almost all providers are hitting limits. Providers have been hitting limits and growing backlogs -- i.e. real money customers had committed to paying them but could not be realized due to lack of capacity -- to triple-digit bil
334.
by keeda 5mo ago
That's fair, I may be conflating your takes on mobile data with others who've made the comparison to the telecom bubble, and if so, mea culpa! But I also do disagree with the take that usage patterns indicate a fundamental shortag
335.
by keeda 5mo ago
Agreed, I appreciate his historical perspective, but I think one critical mistake his posts make is implying, largely because the parallels to history have been similar so far, that history will repeat. Like, yes, the telecom bubble was a c
336.
by keeda 5mo ago
Hmm, my understanding is that Dario split over insufficient focus on safety at OpenAI (which, admittedly, could just be the PR-friendly reason) -- something that Elon is also clearly not big on. Safety not only seems to be an anti-priority
337.
by keeda 5mo ago
While none of the billionnaires on the stand came across as stellar paragons of virtue, it's hilarious that even they could not stand Elon. That said, even though Altman is a shifty dude who's clearly playing a Game of Thrones w
338.
by keeda 5mo ago
Have posted this elsewhere: Accelerando has always been a favorite SciFi novel of mine but it hits very different today. As the name suggests, it’s about how the world evolves when accelerated by powerful AI technology. Notably it was writt
339.
by keeda 5mo ago
It does seem like there is a ton of negative PR and sentiment on social media (including HN) about anything Altman and even Dario do. Like, way more than warranted. It looks more and more like a coordinated campaign, a la https:/&#x2F
340.
by keeda 5mo ago
Missed opportunity to call this a "Phil-Anthropic" partnership. The word doesn't appear once in TFA. Highly disappointed. Seeing some of the comments here speculating about ulterior motives, I'd like to say there are p
341.
by keeda 5mo ago
Way back in the day when Bitcoin first came about, I once idly contemplated spending some time and money on it just because it was a very cool technology. At the time it was a bit of a hassle because you had to mine your own. Then I was esp
342.
by keeda 5mo ago
Right, on a LAN things are fine, but when it's in the cloud and the latency jumps to 100+ ms I would imagine it would make for a very laggy experience. Cloud gaming tackled these same problems but that required a huge investment in inf
343.
by keeda 5mo ago
Got it, I was picturing Android app development rather than working on the OS itself until I saw the sibling comments.
344.
by keeda 5mo ago
Agreed, we've seen the kind of world-power level shenanigans that Elon can pull. He's directly messing with governments, manipulating markets, and even influencing the course of armed conflicts by controlling StarLink. Altman can
345.
by keeda 5mo ago
I would imagine Android development, with its reliance on simulators for local UI testing, is pretty complicated to shoehorn into a web-based IDE? I think cloud-based IDEs would only really work for anything for which a text or web-based UI
346.
by keeda 5mo ago
Ooh, I hadn't read that one, have put on my list. I couldn't read the page properly because ads keep popping up and making the page jump around... but it seems the linked section was be about displacement of workers? If so, that&#
347.
by keeda 5mo ago
Technology is primarily an accelerator. It just accelerates things, both good and bad, that were already in motion or at least already possible. Which is why things like healthcare got better but things like wealth inequality got worse. Wha
348.
by keeda 5mo ago
> The world only needs so much software. Around the time of the dot com crash, there was a decent amount of rhetoric advising students and job seekers against getting into the software industry, because it was getting "too saturat
349.
by keeda 5mo ago
Hmm, I think "generalist" is the more current term for "Full-Stack Engineer." But that's more about technical skills. "High-agency" is more a combination of personality traits and technical ability. So in
350.
by keeda 5mo ago
I've been laid off from every job I've held (and once I was even re-hired a month later!) so I know the feeling. There seem to be others here who are also impacted and I fear the overall trend will only continue, so I wrote up my
351.
by keeda 5mo ago
A few people here have been impacted, so I want to talk about something constructive that could help them. As someone observing industry trends from the outside for a while, my advice to those looking to get hired these days: Build somethin
352.
by keeda 5mo ago
Even ignoring the semantic drift that has happened since he coined the term (on which there have already been a few HN threads), the key part of Karpathy's definition is "...and forget that the code even exists." Which is why
353.
by keeda 5mo ago
I could list dozens more sectors of the software industry that would far outnumber those you listed. And even within those you listed, those working on the mission critical parts are a very tiny fraction. Statistically, that is almost no-on
354.
by keeda 5mo ago
That may be true for highly critical systems, but those are a tiny, tiny, tiny minority of all software projects. I mean, how many engineers work on aviation or automotive or X-ray machine or other life-and-death code compared to pretty muc
355.
by keeda 5mo ago
The bottleneck was ALWAYS the code, which is why everything was built around it. This is the key line right here: > Negotiating, agreeing, communicating the shared picture of what we are building has become the work. And it’s just as ha
356.
by keeda 5mo ago
I think all coding will become vibe coding, but it will be no less an engineering discipline. Note: I still review pretty much every line of code that I own, regardless of who generates it, and I see the problems with agents very clearly.
357.
by keeda 5mo ago
LoC is perfectly fine as a metric for engineering output . It is terrible as a standalone measure of engineering productivity , and the problems occur when one tries to use it as such. It's still useful, however, because that is the
358.
by keeda 6mo ago
Snake oil may be a bit strong, because snake oil never works (except maybe as placebo?) whereas anything with an LLM, even though stochastic, has a pretty high chance of working. > ... you also realize that promised productivity gains
359.
by keeda 6mo ago
Totally agreed, to me data is just like code: extremely valuable for the functionality it provides, but in most other ways a serious liability. That said: > I don't think "obscurity" really buys you much (especially these
360.
by keeda 6mo ago
Yeah, and I expect estimating token budgets is going to go the same trajectory (along with the same accompanying annoyances) as estimating and tracking story points! But done with the right mindset and proper awareness of the inherent uncer

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