joshjob42

4 ms·

1.
by joshjob42 8d ago
Why does their lifestyle require p(doom) to be large? Because they work at orgs focused on AI safety? I'm not sure what the claim is here.
2.
by joshjob42 2mo ago
Maybe, but I suspect that a lot of the actual things that produce the algorithm, proof, etc are not actually explicit reasoning. Q: "Why did you try that vs some other thing at this point?" A:"seemed right to do"/&q
3.
by joshjob42 2mo ago
Seems like the obvious solution is to put a bank of floor numbers above each elevator and when one arrives the floors it has been assigned to go to light up and the people going to them get in that one. So each person only needs to quickly
4.
by joshjob42 2mo ago
Sure and if she was funding high cost high risk high reward research I'd say that's a good case for that being higher in expected value but higher variance than GiveWell, but she is mostly not doing that, instead giving to basical
5.
by joshjob42 3mo ago
It's a real shame that she has wasted her money so catastrophically. You can save a life via GiveWell for what 5k or so? At best she saves one year of life for a dozen times that. On a QALY basis, she's probably 300x or more worse
6.
by joshjob42 3mo ago
I mean do a bunch of simulation work and statistics stuff but now jack about website design, so if I ever make a website about any project of mine it'll be vibedcoded or a barebones export of an org file README on github. Websites have
7.
by joshjob42 3mo ago
I think a stronger basis for that is probably the Neomacs project aiming to rewrite the elisp layer and all C code in Rust, incorporating GPU rendering etc along the way, see https://github.com/eval-exec/neomacs
8.
by joshjob42 3mo ago
Or that GNU updates a policy that will very rapidly go from probably net silly/mildly contestedly useful to completely ridiculous in a year or two. Not allowing LLM code will be basically turning down the work of the worlds best progra
9.
by joshjob42 3mo ago
Add LuaLaTeX and you're cookin' with gas. For real would be fantastic if we could get more or less the full LaTeX ecosystem readily and rapidly available online and in a huge variety of desktop applications.
10.
by joshjob42 4mo ago
I really like what Qwen are doing, and a lot of these Chinese labs, but until I can ask their models what happened during the student protests in 1989 or why human rights groups are upset about the Uighurs and the model gives me a straight
11.
by joshjob42 5mo ago
An employee often costs a company 2-3x their salary, so someone making 100k a year, costing 300k/yr, who is made 33% more productive (100k more worth of work to the company) offsets the compute cost.
12.
by joshjob42 5mo ago
Technically true, but if we're talking about local models, overwhelmingly you're gonna be bandwidth bound. You need about 2 flops per active parameter per token. An M5 chip has what, 150-200GB of bandwidth? But it can easily do so
13.
by joshjob42 5mo ago
There's a few major problems with the article. The most obvious is that frontier labs are not charging remotely close to the cost of tokens; afaik most estimate north of 80% profit margins. As a reference, providers are profitably prov
14.
by joshjob42 7mo ago
"If you distribute modified code, or offer it as a networked service, you must make the source available under the same terms. This is not a restriction on sharing. It is a condition placed on sharing: if you share, you must share in k
15.
by joshjob42 7mo ago
If the cost to copying code based on specifications, tests, etc is so close to zero as to be functionally zero cost, then any user can simply turn their AI on any library for which there is documentation and any ability to generate tests, h
16.
by joshjob42 7mo ago
My night and weekend project the last month or so has been creating and implementing a package that provides a pure s-exp syntax for Julia that lowers to Julia's AST directly, and lately been churning through (mostly Opus is doing the
17.
by joshjob42 7mo ago
I really don't see how that is true. For instance, once you develop atomically precise manufacturing ala Drexler and have a complete model of biology, etc., drive solar panel efficiency to very near the upper theoretical bound for infi
18.
by joshjob42 8mo ago
Most wouldn't because it's expensive. But at scale automated vehicles should be dramatically less expensive, in the range of 50-60¢/mi conservatively, and at that level it is going to be quite compelling to a lot of people si
19.
by joshjob42 1y ago
Actually it's mostly patch files but they're ignored by github.
20.
by joshjob42 1y ago
People leave the Culture, and you can form communities of various sorts, you just can't force people to not leave them. In a world with unlimited abundance, no disease, optional death, and more or less unlimited morphological freedom a
21.
by joshjob42 1y ago
Maybe it's just me but I do semi-regularly have my phone slip out of my hand and hit me in the face while in bed, haha.
22.
by joshjob42 1y ago
My OG Ultra lasts 3 days if I turn off the always on display, which I do because it doesn't serve much of a purpose, I can just tap the watch to wake it. It charges from 0 to full in 1.5 hours, pretty linearly, so dropping it on the ch
23.
by joshjob42 1y ago
I don't want/need the whole thing to be flat but I do prefer it to be stable. For instance if the plateau were a bit thicker so that the camera lens was flush with the surface (even just an extra bar sort of inside the plateau)
24.
by joshjob42 1y ago
But lighter than any iPhone since except maybe an SE.
25.
by joshjob42 1y ago
I'm going to preorder one because I want a light phone and a large screen. This will be the lightest iPhone in years while also having a bigger screen than most. I dropped from the Pro Max to the Pro last year because I was tired of ho
26.
by joshjob42 1y ago
Sure but the backup happens each day and then gets overwritten/deleted when the next days backup happens (which then deletes the disappearing messages that are expiring express the next backup). It just ensures you have access to any m
27.
by joshjob42 1y ago
They do and have done for years now. There’s been a files app since 2017. They’ve had Advanced Data Protection available for iOS backups since 2022. Signal has just been lazy and found maintaining the Android backups to be a pain, so they r
28.
by joshjob42 1y ago
I don't think it's appropriate to call someone you're talking to with disappearing messages turned off making a backup of the conversation so they have the (non-disappearing) message history if they drop their phone in a lake
29.
by joshjob42 1y ago
Only on Android, not iOS.
30.
by joshjob42 1y ago
It's a real shame they aren't implementing this on iOS in beta before the new iPhone launch. Android has had backups for a long time, just locally. iOS users have been SOL so if anything goes wrong with the transfer and sync on yo

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