jfager

11 ms·

61.
by jfager 15y ago
The unifying characteristic of the many specific biases and cognitive illusions Kahneman discusses is that System 2 systematically defers to System 1 to avoid doing work. I appreciate your point that Graham's specific claim is not substant
62.
by jfager 15y ago
You should read Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow , which says basically the same thing in thorough detail. The fact that you know of some number of difficult things that you've seen and considered says very little about whether t
63.
by jfager 15y ago
ck12.org
64.
by jfager 15y ago
Even with its many faults, you will claw my Kindle from my cold dead hand. I emphatically do not want an interactive color screen for reading books.
65.
by jfager 15y ago
Seconded. The last few chapters were unsatisfying to me, but overall a really fun read that does a good job of tying together a bunch of different threads of science around information theory.
66.
by jfager 15y ago
Of all the things women are told on a day-in, day-out basis, "you should start a start-up" seems really low on the list in terms of both frequency and maliciousness. It's also odd to simultaneously state that women are perfectly capable of
67.
by jfager 15y ago
No, it doesn't make sense, because it doesn't apply here. We aren't estimating the count of anything. We know he has two kids, we know there are two genders, and we know there are seven days. All other relevant counts can be calculated d
68.
by jfager 15y ago
The probability that he would make that statement given what his children are is a different question than the probability that the other child is also a boy given that he made that statement. Your conditional probabilities are correct, but
69.
by jfager 15y ago
Having 2 each of BM, GM, etc. is implicitly labeling 1BM, 2BM, 1GM, 2GM, etc. If you sampled with replacement, you have to admit the possibility that you draw the same BT twice. It's a stretch to suggest that the statement is ambiguous in
70.
by jfager 15y ago
You're making the exact mistake the author is cautioning against, which is assuming the day doesn't matter. Write out all the possibilities (see my other comment in this thread), eliminate the dupe, and you get 13/27.
71.
by jfager 15y ago
When in doubt, use brute force: 1BT 2BM 1BM 2BT 1BT 2BT 1BT 2BT <-- Counted twice 1BT 2BW 1BW 2BT 1BT 2BR 1BR 2BT 1BT 2BF 1BF 2BT 1BT 2BS 1BS 2BT 1BT 2BU 1BU 2BT 1BT 2GM 1GM 2BT
72.
by jfager 15y ago
I think the most jarring part of this ad is something that isn't patio11's fault: it's juxtaposed against an ad that completely stands out as an ad, which makes the 'blending' that much more 'blendy'. Without that other ad in the adjoinin
73.
by jfager 15y ago
You get typeclasses in Scala via an interaction between traits and implicits. See http://www.sidewayscoding.com/2011/01/introduction-to-type-c... for a super-quick overview and a link to a more comprehensive paper.
74.
by jfager 15y ago
That is crazy Orwellian. "We have an obligation to your parents to keep you safe, so we're going to beat you with batons and shoot pepper spray down your throats".
75.
by jfager 15y ago
They're also useful for facial expressions, which clearly have reproductive implications.
76.
by jfager 15y ago
You should check out the EmacsWiki macro tricks page: http://www.emacswiki.org/emacs/KeyboardMacrosTricks From there: If you want to produce this list: test1 test2 test3 ... Do like this: C-x r n q
77.
by jfager 15y ago
The fact that most business decisions are made by gut feeling implies that post-hoc pseudo-mathematical rationalization shouldn't be called out as bullshit?
78.
by jfager 15y ago
My point is that it's ridiculous to try to justify golden parachutes for bad CEOs using fake math, and the fact that the market bears these kinds of contracts isn't evidence on its own that they are good.
79.
by jfager 15y ago
Do you believe that everyone who becomes wealthy by definition must have created value? And that everyone who creates value by definition becomes wealthy? If so, then yes, we hopelessly disagree. If not, then you're agreeing that wealth ca
80.
by jfager 15y ago
You're just pretending you can calculate inherently incalculable probabilities. How do you determine the probability a company will fail under a variety of potential CEOs so that you could even get a mathematically-justifiable rank order?
81.
by jfager 15y ago
How exactly do you establish the %likelihood that a particular CEO will save your company to the degree of precision that you could actually meaningfully incorporate it into a business model?
82.
by jfager 15y ago
It's hard for me to think of another reasonable person I disagree with more frequently than Megan McArdle. Other than pure envy, it's hard to see how I could somehow be made worse off if Bill Gates' income suddenly doubled, but everything
83.
by jfager 15y ago
If you're looking for a jvm implementation, there are at least a couple: https://github.com/rkapsi/patricia-trie https://github.com/jfager/functional-critbit The latter is my own, with a focus on memory efficiency (by my benchmarks, it
84.
by jfager 15y ago
Why are you bringing up GDP? The discussion is about employment. Okun's Law isn't actually a law, it's a historically observed relationship.
85.
Entrepreneurs: how many jobs do you think you're going to create?
7 points by jfager 15y ago|1 comments
86.
by jfager 15y ago
One possibility is that previous technological advancements facilitated dispersion of labor, while the current crop facilitates the concentration of it. Advances in ocean-faring ships led to colonialism. Train travel led to a rapid westwar
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by jfager 15y ago
A free 3-hour conference at YC headquarters? How many microseconds after this was announced did it take to fill up?
88.
by jfager 15y ago
It's outright sociopathic to suggest that justice for a few weeks inconvenience is 35 years in prison and a million dollar fine.
89.
by jfager 15y ago
Advertising uses this not because it is "sexualized", but because men will buy toxic waste by the barrel if you draw nice titties on it. This statement makes no sense. Associating sex with non-sexual things is the definition of sexuali
90.
by jfager 15y ago
You seem to be suggesting that our culture can't be described as objectifying women unless all or most men are assholes to women in bars or engage in similar behavior, and in your other comments, unless such behavior happens exclusively to

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