jeremysalwen

14 ms·

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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
Simpson's paradox can be thought of as selection bias as well. To make the Simpson's paradox clear, consider the following simplified scenario: autopilot has more accidents per city mile, and more accidents per highway mile, but
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
>It was my understanding that the entire point of the protest was to publicly demonstrate their frustrations with the voting process. No, it was explicitly to change the outcome of the election, by changing the way the election was certi
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
The above comment says > There are supposedly seven people who "died in the Jan 6 riot" And then proceeds to dispute this, by showing that... each of those 7 people died as a result of injuries in the riot, with the sole except
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
> "one protestor/rioter shot by police at the Capital riot" i.e. one rioter died in the riot. > "one officer died from suspected injuries sustained", i.e. one officer died in the riot. >"two people die
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
Perfect example of false equivalency. Setting aside the issue of how the protestors were treated differently by capital police (many of whom supported Trump), one protest was against police brutality, and the other was an attempt to overth
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
Assuming there aren't economies of scale. Demand for solar had gone way up in recent decades (e.g. in germany, before it was cheap), and the price subsequently went down.
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
I think the point of FI is to lower consumption. As long as your total consumption matches your total production over your lifetime, it's sustainable. The level of consumption described in this post (30k/y) is at or below the me
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
No. He is arguing that we have achieved racial harmony. Read it again: > Two generations of Americans never had seen a segregated bathroom or bus or lunch counter. This country had achieved racial harmony. It was not that long ago that
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
We haven't even elected a president who was born after racial discrimination was no longer codified into law. And he's claiming that racism is ancient history?
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
> To paraphrase Peter Thiel, new technology is probably so fertile and productive simply because there are so few rules. It’s essentially illegal for you to build anything physical these days from a toothbrush (FDA regulates that) to a s
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
> NVIDIA didn't fire her, and they should have. Talk about cancel culture.
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
> My understanding is that people in those other countries have not been lead down such a path Ah, that makes sense. They would require evidence to believe something. So for example, in an election where there was no evidence of fraud,
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
Maybe the specific article I pointed to was not using the correct metric, but the fact still remains that most Americans are living paycheck to paycheck. I really don't see how the article you linked disagrees with this basic conclusio
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
I think it's more a spectrum than a line. In any case, I don't understand why someone would draw such a line above "upper middle class mathematician/researcher/manager job at fortune 500 company", because they
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
I think people have different definitions of "upper class". Maybe "Upper-middle class" would have been a better term, since pretty much everyone in the U.S. calls themselves some flavor of middle class. But my point is
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
Definitely a class difference. From the essay > Computers were expensive in those days and it took me years of nagging before I convinced my father to buy one, a TRS-80, in about 1980." Based on a quick search, the price was probabl
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
Why did you refuse the surgery? Do you think it would help with the pain?
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
The problem is that the source code is often just a wrapper for another function... which you then have to read the source code for, etc, etc. I can't personally guess the type of the `id` argument to the hypothetical `add_item(id, qty
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
You can claim that you are not pro-CCCP, but when you reject the clear evidence provided by numerous well respected an neutral news organizations that hundreds of thousands of Muslims are being locked up in camps without committing a crime
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
An absurd false equivalency. Trump lied to a crowd of people that the election was stolen, and directed them to "go to the capital" and "be strong", to attempt to overturn the legal results of a democratic election, and
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
If you are referring to the initial infections then you are just as misleading. Again, we don't need to speculate about how much the coronavirus was initially spread to different cities based on their tourist populations, we can just
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
You are spreading misinformation. First, the vast vast majority of transmission in the united states was not from visitors, but from community spread, even in highly visited cities like NYC. The 2 million number from the imperial paper eve
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2016/05/05/npr-bites/ > In all seriousness . . . > I have no problem with NPR. NPR is great. That’s why I’m bummed when it falls for junk science.
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
Actually looks like it's around 1500 USCF. https://chessgoals.com/rating-comparison/#Lichess_Rating_vs_...
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
For all the claims and all the links posted, the only crimes I actually saw on video were police assaulting nonviolent people who were acting as press and wearing clothing labeled press. Not really the slam dunk evidence that there are ton
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
Your claims are not supported by the article linked.
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
Nothing deep and nefarious needed. The rules were ambiguous (not enforced) and they didn't want this paper published, so they just had to say "no". No extreme motivation is necessary. It's hard to imagine that they exp
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
This post is from 2018, when AlphaFold won the CASP competition, but nobody was claiming that it "solved" the problem, as you are now hearing in response to AlphaFold's performance at the 2020 competition.
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
I'm not sure that graph contradicts OP's narrative. It clearly shows European PV capacity rapidly growing from almost nothing to near-present levels from 2006 to 2012, with the rest of the world accounting for only a tiny fractio
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by jeremysalwen 6y ago
There's something fundamentally missing from that explanation, because it doesn't explain where the energy is coming from. You can't load a spring without providing energy, and gravity cannot provide energy in a steady sta

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