jasoncrawford

10 ms·

1.
by jasoncrawford 3y ago
I disagree; this article makes a good case for the term “Dark Ages”: https://slatestarcodex.com/2017/10/15/were-there-dark-ages
2.
by jasoncrawford 3y ago
This Scott Alexander essay says that the FDA is too strict on some things and not strict enough on others, which is probably right: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/adumbrations-of-aducan...
3.
Who regulates the regulators? We need to go beyond review-and-approval(rootsofprogress.org)
195 points by jasoncrawford 3y ago|98 comments
4.
The A.I. Dilemma: Growth versus Existential Risk [pdf](web.stanford.edu)
1 points by jasoncrawford 3y ago|0 comments
5.
by jasoncrawford 3y ago
I think regulations can work when they enforce very well-supported, long-established best practices, such that if you don't do them it amounts to negligence. They might also work better if they say “you can't do it that way, whi
6.
Tyler Cowen AMA(progressforum.org)
1 points by jasoncrawford 4y ago|0 comments
7.
How to slow down scientific progress, according to Leo Szilard(rootsofprogress.org)
179 points by jasoncrawford 4y ago|31 comments
8.
What People of 1923 Predicted About 2023(jasonfeifer.com)
1 points by jasoncrawford 4y ago|0 comments
9.
What everyone should know about first aid(jasoncrawford.org)
5 points by jasoncrawford 4y ago|0 comments
10.
Patrick McKenzie (Patio11) AMA on the Progress Forum(progressforum.org)
1 points by jasoncrawford 4y ago|0 comments
11.
We need a new philosophy of progress(bigthink.com)
4 points by jasoncrawford 4y ago|3 comments
12.
The Lessons of Xanadu(jasoncrawford.org)
5 points by jasoncrawford 4y ago|1 comments
13.
Technocracy and the Space Age(rootsofprogress.org)
3 points by jasoncrawford 4y ago|0 comments
14.
by jasoncrawford 4y ago
> The living standard of kings hasn't quite changed since 2000 BC. Not true. Ancient/medieval kings still got smallpox, peed in chamber pots, and shivered in the winter cold. They couldn't hear the music of great performer
15.
Do we need a better understanding of 'progress'?(bbc.com)
6 points by jasoncrawford 4y ago|4 comments
16.
What are the best examples of catastrophic resource shortages?(rootsofprogress.org)
2 points by jasoncrawford 4y ago|0 comments
17.
by jasoncrawford 4y ago
Arthur C. Clarke's First Law: “When a distinguished but elderly scientist states that something is possible, they are almost certainly right. When they state that something is impossible, they are very probably wrong.” https:/&#x
18.
Why Pessimism Sounds Smart(rootsofprogress.org)
2 points by jasoncrawford 4y ago|1 comments
19.
Why “progress studies” is interdisciplinary(rootsofprogress.org)
2 points by jasoncrawford 4y ago|1 comments
20.
by jasoncrawford 4y ago
Unless we also had progress in energy technology that could overcome this, which unfortunately we haven't.
21.
by jasoncrawford 4y ago
It's not always assumed to be exponential. It was assumed exponential by Paul Romer because long-term economic growth is pretty exponential. Much subsequent work has followed that model, but not all of it.
22.
by jasoncrawford 4y ago
Good point. The paper does cross-validate the models, and I am told that cross-validation properly penalizes overfitting with too many parameters… but I don't understand the statistics well enough here.
23.
by jasoncrawford 4y ago
Yes, but if your data is actually exponential, the linear segments are not going to be better approximations than an exponential curve. That's what's going on here
24.
Is growth linear, not exponential?(rootsofprogress.org)
73 points by jasoncrawford 4y ago|75 comments
25.
A Simple Guide to Life(jasoncrawford.org)
12 points by jasoncrawford 4y ago|0 comments
26.
Flywheels of Progress(rootsofprogress.org)
5 points by jasoncrawford 5y ago|0 comments
27.
What Is a “Philosophy of Progress?”(rootsofprogress.org)
2 points by jasoncrawford 5y ago|0 comments
28.
Reflections on Six Months of Fatherhood(jasoncrawford.org)
3 points by jasoncrawford 5y ago|0 comments
29.
What if the Industrial Revolution had started 2k years ago rather than 200?(fasterplease.substack.com)
2 points by jasoncrawford 5y ago|0 comments
30.
Progress, humanism, agency: An intellectual core for the progress movement(rootsofprogress.org)
1 points by jasoncrawford 5y ago|0 comments

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