iuyhtgbd

4 ms·

1.
by iuyhtgbd 2y ago
Don't chide people for failing to read your mind. If you wanted people to take that away, you should've said that. Using a specific example as a metonym for a larger phenomenon is a poor choice in terms of clarity. Of course peopl
2.
by iuyhtgbd 2y ago
Each eligible voter is a random variable, independence aside. Silver's model does not operate on the level of the voter however. A random variable is a very flexible abstraction, almost anything can be a random variable if you can find
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by iuyhtgbd 2y ago
Those "two" new accounts are probably the same person, I'm sure that paid trolls occasionally drop in on HN, but HN has plenty of native trolls doing it for the love of the game (or out of sincere ideological commitment).
4.
by iuyhtgbd 2y ago
For sure. Thanks for explaining, I think you're right. Whenever I hear him interviewed (or read his books) I come away with the impression Silverman is a bit up his own rear but I don't see what's objectionable about writing
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by iuyhtgbd 2y ago
This is such tired debate that comes up whenever 538 is mentioned in discussion. Polls sample an election's outcome many times throughout the campaign. Statistics works. You can't know the future but you can predict it with error
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by iuyhtgbd 2y ago
I don't know if I'm just dense but I continue to have no idea what the implication is.
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by iuyhtgbd 2y ago
What does that mean?
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by iuyhtgbd 2y ago
It was preserved in the sense a fossil is preserved. The object was destroyed but some of it's structure remains. (Which is ludicrously cool. The world is so strange and wonderful. Though it's also a world where a volcano can erup
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by iuyhtgbd 2y ago
I mean, Chrome is also reskinned to serve a particular niche by a number of providers. I don't think that really cuts it in either case.
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by iuyhtgbd 2y ago
That's like saying HR's budget is the same as Accounting's budget because they're both part of Incorporated Widgets, and that we should fire Bob in HR because Sandra is a good accountant. Doesn't make a whole lot of
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by iuyhtgbd 2y ago
This is a false dichotomy. There's no conflict between studying things from a social science angle and creating water infrastructure. They're not coming out of the same budget, they're not coming out of the same talent pool,
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by iuyhtgbd 2y ago
Makes sense to me that violence could be related to climate phenomena like draught, and that you might want to pay people to study when and how that has happened and predict when and where it may happen again.