huorricannes

5 ms·

1. 1.▲
   by huorricannes 6mo ago

   in fact US army publicly admitting running a disinformation campaign involving flying planes knowing they would be seen by osint in the previous Iran attack from last summer
2. 2.▲
   by huorricannes 6mo ago

   occam doesn't work in financial markets. because if it did you would print money by following occam.
3. 3.▲
   by huorricannes 6mo ago

   the other side can and many times is an arbitrageour which has positions in both the prediction market and the real market
4. 4.▲
   by huorricannes 6mo ago

   the betting markets offset positions with the real markets. it's all connected
5. 5.▲
   by huorricannes 6mo ago

   intentionally/unintentionally is not relevant. it's legal to follow FBI cars and see who they raid so as to make trades. you could even have a hedge fund specialized on this. it's called alternative data you can even be a reg